Naomi Osaka vs Yulia PutintsevaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ฏ๐ตNaomi Osaka
#13 ยท 28 yrs ยท Right-Handed
7 meetings ยท sets 8โ7

๐ฐ๐ฟYulia Putintseva
#80 ยท 31 yrs ยท Right-Handed
3Naomi Osaka and Yulia Putintseva have met 7 times since 2018; Naomi Osaka leads 4โ3. Their first meeting came at Hobart in 2018 on hard. On hard courts Osaka leads 4โ1. On grass courts Putintseva leads 2โ0. Osaka has won the last 4 meetings. Across all meetings Osaka has taken 8 sets to Putintseva's 7. Their most recent meeting: Naomi Osaka won at Mubadala Citi DC Open - Washington (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Osaka | Putintseva | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Naomi Osaka | Yulia Putintseva | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 69% | 22/32 | 65% | 17/26 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 4/12 | 42% | 10/24 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 32% | 14/44 | 38% | 19/50 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 52% | 17/33 | 48% | 14/29 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 67% | 6/9 | 53% | 10/19 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 64% | 9/14 | 56% | 9/16 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 30/34 | 92% | 22/24 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 65% | 22/34 | 71% | 17/24 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 6 of 7 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Osaka 3, Putintseva 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Osaka
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Putintseva
๐น Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
๐ฅ Big Hitter vs ๐น Frontrunner is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 1,181 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
7 career meetings, newest first
Jul 22, 2025
Mubadala Citi DC Open - Washington
H Hard ยท 1st Round
Sep 27, 2024
China Open - Beijing
H Hard ยท 2nd Round
Apr 12, 2024
Billie Jean King Cup, Qualifiers, JPN-KAZ 3-1
H Hard ยท Rubber 2
Sep 20, 2019
Osaka
H Hard ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 2, 2019
Wimbledon
G Grass ยท Round of 128
Jun 20, 2019
Birmingham
G Grass ยท Round of 16
Jan 10, 2018
Hobart
H Hard ยท Round of 32
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Osaka | Putintseva | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Naomi Osaka | Yulia Putintseva | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 16/16 | 100% | 12/12 |
| 3 or more | 88% | 14/16 | 17% | 2/12 |
| 5 or more | 81% | 13/16 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 10 or more | 6% | 1/16 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Osaka | Putintseva |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12โ4 | 6โ7 |
| Avg odds | 1.66 | 1.75 |
| ROI % | +7.9% | -34.0% |
| Units P/L | +1.27u | -4.42u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Osaka | Putintseva |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 6 | 2 |
| Distance | 350 mi ยท 563 km | 411 mi ยท 662 km |
| Route | AUT โ CAN | CAN โ POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Osaka has a higher win rate against shared opponents (63% vs Putintseva's 25%).
| Opponent | Osaka | Putintseva |
|---|---|---|
| Elena Rybakina | L 64 67 46 | L 36 36 |
| Elsa Jacquemot | W 61 75 | W 61 62 |
| Iva Jovic | W 76 67 64 | L 06 16 |
| Maria Victoria Quinde Serrano | W 62 75 | L 57 76 57 |
| Camila Osorio | W 62 75 | L 57 76 57 |
| Talia Gibson | L 57 46 | W 46 64 61 |
| Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva | W 75 62 | L 46 61 46 |
| Linda Noskova | L 67 36 | L 46 64 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Elena Rybakina
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท Quarterfinals
Aug 12
Leylah Fernandez
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 4th Round
Aug 10
Elise Mertens
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 3rd Round
Aug 8
Panna Udvardy
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 2nd Round
Aug 6
Alexandra Eala
Mubadala DC Open - Washington ยท Semifinals
Aug 1
Elisabetta Cocciaretto
Mubadala DC Open - Washington ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Karolina Muchova
Wimbledon - London ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 7
Aryna Sabalenka
Wimbledon - London ยท 4th Round
Jul 5
Liudmila Samsonova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 1st Round
Aug 14
Shuai Zhang
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 1st Round
Aug 3
Elina Avanesyan
MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg ยท 2nd Round
Jul 23
Mona Barthel
MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg ยท 1st Round
Jul 21
Mayar Sherif
UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Alina Charaeva
UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi ยท 2nd Round
Jul 15
Claire Liu
UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi ยท 1st Round
Jul 14
Chi Fan Liu
Iasi WTA ยท Round of 32
Jul 14
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 44โ50 matches
| Metric | Osaka | Putintseva |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 73% | 52% |
| Sets won | 67% | 52% |
| Games won | 57% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Osaka | Putintseva |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 500 | 1 | 1 |
| WTA 250 | 1 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
| Other | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Osaka | Putintseva |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 4 | 1 |
| Grass | 0 | 2 |
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