Naomi Osaka vs Yulia PutintsevaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ฏ๐ตNaomi Osaka
#18 ยท 28 yrs ยท Right-Handed
7 meetings ยท sets 8โ7

๐ฐ๐ฟYulia Putintseva
#79 ยท 31 yrs ยท Right-Handed
3Naomi Osaka and Yulia Putintseva have met 7 times since 2018; Naomi Osaka leads 4โ3. Their first meeting came at Hobart in 2018 on hard. On hard courts Osaka leads 4โ1. On grass courts Putintseva leads 2โ0. Osaka has won the last 4 meetings. Across all meetings Osaka has taken 8 sets to Putintseva's 7. Their most recent meeting: Naomi Osaka won at Mubadala Citi DC Open - Washington (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Osaka | Putintseva | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Naomi Osaka | Yulia Putintseva | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 67% | 22/33 | 74% | 23/31 |
| Wins a set when losing | 27% | 3/11 | 44% | 11/25 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 32% | 14/44 | 34% | 19/56 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 55% | 18/33 | 53% | 18/34 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 60% | 6/10 | 60% | 12/20 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 71% | 10/14 | 71% | 10/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 94% | 32/34 | 87% | 27/31 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 65% | 22/34 | 74% | 23/31 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 6 of 7 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Osaka 3, Putintseva 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Osaka
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Putintseva
๐ช Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The ๐ฅ Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs ๐ช Counterpuncher across 7,733 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Naomi Osaka.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
7 career meetings, newest first
Jul 22, 2025
Mubadala Citi DC Open - Washington
H Hard ยท 1st Round
Sep 27, 2024
China Open - Beijing
H Hard ยท 2nd Round
Apr 12, 2024
Billie Jean King Cup, Qualifiers, JPN-KAZ 3-1
H Hard ยท Rubber 2
Sep 20, 2019
Osaka
H Hard ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 2, 2019
Wimbledon
G Grass ยท Round of 128
Jun 20, 2019
Birmingham
G Grass ยท Round of 16
Jan 10, 2018
Hobart
H Hard ยท Round of 32
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Osaka | Putintseva | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Naomi Osaka | Yulia Putintseva | ||
| 1 or more | 92% | 12/13 | 90% | 9/10 |
| 3 or more | 77% | 10/13 | 30% | 3/10 |
| 5 or more | 69% | 9/13 | 10% | 1/10 |
| 10 or more | 31% | 4/13 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/10 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Osaka | Putintseva |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9โ4 | 5โ6 |
| Avg odds | 1.46 | 2.11 |
| ROI % | -14.3% | -1.7% |
| Units P/L | -1.86u | -0.19u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Osaka | Putintseva |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 1 |
| Matches | 3 | 2 |
| Distance | 0 mi ยท 0 km | 0 mi ยท 0 km |
| Route | ROU | CZE |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Osaka has a higher win rate against shared opponents (78% vs Putintseva's 44%).
| Opponent | Osaka | Putintseva |
|---|---|---|
| Ashlyn Krueger | W | W 61 63 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 16 46 | L 36 36 |
| Elsa Jacquemot | W 61 75 | W 61 62 |
| Iva Jovic | W 76 67 64 | L 06 16 |
| Maria Victoria Quinde Serrano | W 62 75 | L 57 76 57 |
| Camila Osorio | W 62 75 | L 57 76 57 |
| Talia Gibson | L 57 46 | W 46 64 61 |
| Antonia Ruzic | W 63 36 64 | W 64 63 |
| Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva | W 75 62 | L 46 61 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Karolina Muchova
China Open - Beijing ยท 4th Round
Oct 6
Sara Bejlek
China Open - Beijing ยท 3rd Round
Oct 4
Maria Timofeeva
China Open - Beijing ยท 2nd Round
Oct 2
Elena Rybakina
U.S. Open - New York ยท 4th Round
Sep 7
Elise Mertens
U.S. Open - New York ยท 3rd Round
Sep 6
Katerina Siniakova
U.S. Open - New York ยท 2nd Round
Sep 3
Anastasia Zakharova
U.S. Open - New York ยท 1st Round
Sep 1
Elena Rybakina
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท Quarterfinals
Aug 12
Ashlyn Krueger
Wuhan Open - Wuhan ยท 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Elena Gabriela Ruse
Wuhan Open - Wuhan ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 10
Qinwen Zheng
U.S. Open - New York ยท 2nd Round
Sep 3
Belinda Bencic
U.S. Open - New York ยท 1st Round
Sep 1
Maya Joint
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey ยท 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 24
Victoria Rodriguez
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 23
Liudmila Samsonova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 1st Round
Aug 14
Shuai Zhang
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 1st Round
Aug 3
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 44โ56 matches
| Metric | Osaka | Putintseva |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 75% | 55% |
| Sets won | 68% | 56% |
| Games won | 56% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Osaka | Putintseva |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 500 | 1 | 1 |
| WTA 250 | 1 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
| Other | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Osaka | Putintseva |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 4 | 1 |
| Grass | 0 | 2 |
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