Naomi Osaka vs Wakana SonobePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

🇯🇵Naomi Osaka
#13 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
1 meeting · sets 2–0
🇯🇵Wakana Sonobe
#675 · 18 yrs · Left-Handed
42wNaomi Osaka and Wakana Sonobe have met 1 time since 2025; Naomi Osaka leads 1–0. Across all meetings Osaka has taken 2 sets to Sonobe's 0. Their most recent meeting: Naomi Osaka won at Japan Open - Osaka (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Osaka | Sonobe | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Naomi Osaka | Wakana Sonobe | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 22/31 | 100% | 1/1 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 4/12 | 25% | 1/4 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 30% | 13/43 | 20% | 1/5 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 53% | 17/32 | 0% | 0/1 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 67% | 6/9 | 50% | 2/4 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 64% | 9/14 | 0% | 0/1 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 29/33 | 50% | 1/2 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 22/33 | 50% | 1/2 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Osaka 1, Sonobe 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Osaka
💥 Big Hitter
Sonobe
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 👑 The Complete Package is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 3,896 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Oct 13, 2025
Japan Open - Osaka
H Hard · 1st Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Osaka | Sonobe |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–3 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.50 | - |
| ROI % | +15.1% | - |
| Units P/L | +2.27u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Osaka | Sonobe |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 5 | — |
| Distance | 350 mi · 563 km | — |
| Route | AUT → CAN | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Elena Rybakina
National Bank Open - Toronto · Quarterfinals
Aug 12
Leylah Fernandez
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 10
Elise Mertens
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Panna Udvardy
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Alexandra Eala
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · Semifinals
Aug 1
Elisabetta Cocciaretto
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Karolina Muchova
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 7
Aryna Sabalenka
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 5
Christasha Mcneil
W50 Austin 1 · 1st Round
Nov 12
Sofia Kenin
Toray Pan Pacific Open - Tokyo · 2nd Round
Oct 23
Nikola Bartunkova
Toray Pan Pacific Open - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 21
Naomi Osaka
Japan Open - Osaka · 1st Round
Oct 13
Emerson Jones
W50 Rancho Santa Fe 1 · 1st Round
Sep 30
Katrina Scott
W75 Granby · Round of 16
Jul 17
Nadia Lagaev
W75 Granby · Round of 32
Jul 16
Ons Jabeur
Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open - Abu Dhabi · 2nd Round
Feb 5
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 5–43 matches
| Metric | Osaka | Sonobe |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 72% | 20% |
| Sets won | 67% | 27% |
| Games won | 56% | 42% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Osaka | Sonobe |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 250 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Osaka | Sonobe |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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