Naomi Osaka vs Tamara KorpatschPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ฏ๐ตNaomi Osaka
#13 ยท 28 yrs ยท Right-Handed
1 meeting ยท sets 2โ0

๐ฉ๐ชTamara Korpatsch
#47 ยท 31 yrs ยท Right-Handed
3Naomi Osaka and Tamara Korpatsch have met 1 time since 2024; Naomi Osaka leads 1โ0. Across all meetings Osaka has taken 2 sets to Korpatsch's 0. Their most recent meeting: Naomi Osaka won at Brisbane International - Brisbane (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Osaka | Korpatsch | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Naomi Osaka | Tamara Korpatsch | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 22/31 | 67% | 26/39 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 4/12 | 30% | 8/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 30% | 13/43 | 32% | 21/66 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 53% | 17/32 | 65% | 20/31 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 67% | 6/9 | 52% | 17/33 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 64% | 9/14 | 57% | 4/7 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 29/33 | 89% | 33/37 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 22/33 | 70% | 26/37 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Osaka 1, Korpatsch 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Osaka
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Korpatsch
๐ช Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The ๐ฅ Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs ๐ช Counterpuncher across 7,380 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Naomi Osaka.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jan 1, 2024
Brisbane International - Brisbane
H Hard ยท 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Osaka | Korpatsch | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Naomi Osaka | Tamara Korpatsch | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 15/15 | 70% | 7/10 |
| 3 or more | 93% | 14/15 | 20% | 2/10 |
| 5 or more | 87% | 13/15 | 10% | 1/10 |
| 10 or more | 7% | 1/15 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/10 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Osaka | Korpatsch |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12โ3 | 5โ7 |
| Avg odds | 1.50 | 3.65 |
| ROI % | +15.1% | -9.3% |
| Units P/L | +2.27u | -1.12u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Osaka | Korpatsch |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 5 | 3 |
| Distance | 350 mi ยท 563 km | 411 mi ยท 662 km |
| Route | AUT โ CAN | CAN โ POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Osaka has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Korpatsch's 29%).
| Opponent | Osaka | Korpatsch |
|---|---|---|
| Iva Jovic | W 76 67 64 | L 46 36 |
| Anhelina Kalinina | W 61 63 | W 63 16 61 |
| Daria Kasatkina | W 61 63 | L 62 36 57 |
| Coco Gauff | W 63 62 | L 26 16 |
| Xi Yao Wang | W 63 63 | W 62 26 63 |
| Diana Shnaider | W 61 62 | L 36 16 |
| Antonia Ruzic | W 63 36 64 | L 46 63 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Elena Rybakina
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท Quarterfinals
Aug 12
Leylah Fernandez
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 4th Round
Aug 10
Elise Mertens
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 3rd Round
Aug 8
Panna Udvardy
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 2nd Round
Aug 6
Alexandra Eala
Mubadala DC Open - Washington ยท Semifinals
Aug 1
Elisabetta Cocciaretto
Mubadala DC Open - Washington ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Karolina Muchova
Wimbledon - London ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 7
Aryna Sabalenka
Wimbledon - London ยท 4th Round
Jul 5
Iva Jovic
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 17
Maya Joint
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 1st Round
Aug 14
Renata Zarazua
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 1st Round
Aug 4
Anna Bondar
MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg ยท Final
Jul 26
Anhelina Kalinina
MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Julia Stusek
MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg ยท 2nd Round
Jul 22
Varvara Lepchenko
Nordea Open - Bastad ยท 2nd Round
Jul 8
Linea Bajraliu
Nordea Open - Bastad ยท 1st Round
Jul 7
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 43โ66 matches
| Metric | Osaka | Korpatsch |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 72% | 59% |
| Sets won | 67% | 56% |
| Games won | 56% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Osaka | Korpatsch |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Osaka | Korpatsch |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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