Naomi Osaka vs Talia GibsonPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇯🇵Naomi Osaka
#13 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
2 meetings · sets 2–2
🇦🇺Talia Gibson
#61 · 21 yrs · Right-Handed
Naomi Osaka and Talia Gibson have met 2 times since 2025; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at Wimbledon - London in 2025 on grass. Across all meetings Osaka has taken 2 sets to Gibson's 2. Their most recent meeting: Talia Gibson won at Miami Open - Miami (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Osaka | Gibson | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Naomi Osaka | Talia Gibson | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 69% | 22/32 | 69% | 25/36 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 4/12 | 43% | 12/28 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 32% | 14/44 | 36% | 23/64 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 52% | 17/33 | 44% | 14/32 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 67% | 6/9 | 70% | 19/27 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 64% | 9/14 | 50% | 8/16 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 30/34 | 80% | 33/41 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 65% | 22/34 | 61% | 25/41 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Osaka 1, Gibson 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Osaka
💥 Big Hitter
Gibson
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 3,090 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Mar 21, 2026
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jun 30, 2025
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Osaka | Gibson | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Naomi Osaka | Talia Gibson | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 16/16 | 92% | 11/12 |
| 3 or more | 88% | 14/16 | 75% | 9/12 |
| 5 or more | 81% | 13/16 | 33% | 4/12 |
| 10 or more | 6% | 1/16 | 8% | 1/12 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Osaka | Gibson |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–4 | 4–9 |
| Avg odds | 1.66 | 2.41 |
| ROI % | +7.9% | -37.1% |
| Units P/L | +1.27u | -4.83u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Osaka | Gibson |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 3 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 6 | 5 |
| Distance | 350 mi · 563 km | 913 mi · 1,469 km |
| Route | AUT → CAN | CAN → POL → ESP |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Osaka has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Gibson's 10%).
| Opponent | Osaka | Gibson |
|---|---|---|
| Aryna Sabalenka | W 62 76 | L 26 67 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 64 67 46 | L 26 26 |
| Ekaterina Alexandrova | W 62 62 | L 75 16 36 |
| Xi Yao Wang | W 63 63 | L 26 36 |
| Magdalena Frech | W 64 61 | L 67 36 |
| Iva Jovic | W 76 67 64 | W 62 62 |
| Aliaksandra Sasnovich | L 61 46 26 | L 46 06 |
| Diana Shnaider | W 61 62 | L 75 16 16 |
| Linda Noskova | L 67 36 | L 26 64 26 |
| Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva | W 75 62 | L 67 57 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Elena Rybakina
National Bank Open - Toronto · Quarterfinals
Aug 12
Leylah Fernandez
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 10
Elise Mertens
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Panna Udvardy
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Alexandra Eala
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · Semifinals
Aug 1
Elisabetta Cocciaretto
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Karolina Muchova
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 7
Aryna Sabalenka
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 5
Lizette Cabrera
Philly Open - Philadelphia · 1st Round
Aug 24
Aryna Sabalenka
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Lilli Tagger
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Ekaterina Alexandrova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 6
Maja Chwalinska
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Tatjana Maria
The Memphis Classic - Memphis · 1st Round
Jul 28
Marie Bouzkova
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Madison Keys
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 23
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 44–64 matches
| Metric | Osaka | Gibson |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 73% | 56% |
| Sets won | 67% | 56% |
| Games won | 57% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Osaka | Gibson |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Osaka | Gibson |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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