Naomi Osaka vs Talia GibsonPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇯🇵Naomi Osaka
#18 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
2 meetings · sets 2–2
🇦🇺Talia Gibson
#41 · 21 yrs · Right-Handed
3Naomi Osaka and Talia Gibson have met 2 times since 2025; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at Wimbledon - London in 2025 on grass. Across all meetings Osaka has taken 2 sets to Gibson's 2. Their most recent meeting: Talia Gibson won at Miami Open - Miami (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Osaka | Gibson | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Naomi Osaka | Talia Gibson | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 67% | 22/33 | 71% | 30/42 |
| Wins a set when losing | 27% | 3/11 | 40% | 12/30 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 32% | 14/44 | 33% | 24/72 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 55% | 18/33 | 50% | 19/38 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 60% | 6/10 | 72% | 21/29 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 71% | 10/14 | 61% | 11/18 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 94% | 32/34 | 85% | 39/46 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 65% | 22/34 | 65% | 30/46 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Osaka 1, Gibson 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Osaka
💥 Big Hitter
Gibson
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 3,072 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Mar 21, 2026
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jun 30, 2025
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Osaka | Gibson | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Naomi Osaka | Talia Gibson | ||
| 1 or more | 92% | 12/13 | 85% | 11/13 |
| 3 or more | 77% | 10/13 | 69% | 9/13 |
| 5 or more | 69% | 9/13 | 31% | 4/13 |
| 10 or more | 31% | 4/13 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Osaka | Gibson |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–4 | 5–8 |
| Avg odds | 1.46 | 2.17 |
| ROI % | -14.3% | -25.9% |
| Units P/L | -1.86u | -3.37u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Osaka | Gibson |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 3 |
| Events | 1 | 3 |
| Matches | 3 | 6 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 3,433 mi · 5,525 km |
| Route | ROU | SGP → ROU → CZE |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Osaka has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Gibson's 30%).
| Opponent | Osaka | Gibson |
|---|---|---|
| Sara Bejlek | W 76 64 | W 61 60 |
| Leylah Fernandez | W 64 64 | L 57 06 |
| Maria Sakkari | L 46 26 | W 61 46 62 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 16 46 | L 26 26 |
| Donna Vekic | W 76 64 | L 26 64 36 |
| Aryna Sabalenka | W 62 76 | L 26 67 |
| Ekaterina Alexandrova | W 62 62 | L 75 16 36 |
| Elisabetta Cocciaretto | W 46 64 63 | W |
| Xi Yao Wang | W 63 63 | L 26 36 |
| Magdalena Frech | W 64 61 | L 67 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Karolina Muchova
China Open - Beijing · 4th Round
Oct 6
Sara Bejlek
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 4
Maria Timofeeva
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Elena Rybakina
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 7
Elise Mertens
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 6
Katerina Siniakova
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Anastasia Zakharova
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Elena Rybakina
National Bank Open - Toronto · Quarterfinals
Aug 12
Sara Sorribes Tormo
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 10
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Sep 30
Leylah Fernandez
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · Final
Sep 27
Maria Sakkari
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Viktoria Morvayova
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Fiona Ferro
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · 1st Round
Sep 21
Donna Vekic
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Lizette Cabrera
Philly Open - Philadelphia · 1st Round
Aug 24
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 44–72 matches
| Metric | Osaka | Gibson |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 75% | 58% |
| Sets won | 68% | 57% |
| Games won | 56% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Osaka | Gibson |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Osaka | Gibson |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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