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Head-to-Head

Naomi Osaka vs Sloane StephensPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

Naomi Osaka and Sloane Stephens have met 3 times since 2016; Sloane Stephens leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Acapulco in 2016 on hard. On hard courts Stephens leads 2–1. Across all meetings Osaka has taken 3 sets to Stephens's 5. Their most recent meeting: Naomi Osaka won at BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells (2022).

Spread & Straight-Sets Form

Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months

IndicatorOsakaStephens
Wins in straight sets67%72%
Wins a set when losing27%24%
Goes to a deciding set32%26%
Covers βˆ’1.5 sets as favorite55%40%
Covers +1.5 sets as underdog60%52%
Tiebreak sets won71%57%
Wins after taking set 194%78%
Wins 2-0 after taking set 165%72%

Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Osaka 0, Stephens 1).

Style Matchup

Playing styles and historical archetype record

Osaka

πŸ’₯ Big Hitter

Power groundstrokesHigh winner countAggressive shotsShort rallies
vs

Stephens

βš™οΈ Grinder

Relentless consistencyDeep court positioningHigh rally toleranceMental fortitude

Matchup analysis

The πŸ’₯ Big Hitter archetype wins about 60% vs βš™οΈ Grinder across 1,462 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Naomi Osaka.

Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.

Previous meetings

3 career meetings, newest first

Mar 10, 2022

BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells

H Hard Β· 1st Round

36
61
62
Osaka

Oct 24, 2018

Singapore

H Hard Β· Round Robin

57
64
16
Stephens

Feb 26, 2016

Acapulco

H Hard Β· Quarterfinals

36
57
Stephens

Prop Research

Hit rates on common betting markets Β· Last 90 days

OutcomeOsakaStephens
1 or more92%73%
3 or more77%7%
5 or more69%0%
10 or more31%0%
15 or more0%0%
20 or more0%0%

Player ROI

Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days

MetricOsakaStephens
W-L9–49–7
Avg odds1.462.98
ROI %-14.3%+21.4%
Units P/L-1.86u+3.43u

Travel

Last 30 days

MetricOsakaStephens
Countries11
Events11
Matches33
Distance0 mi Β· 0 km0 mi Β· 0 km
RouteROUUKR

Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.

Common opponents

Results vs. opponents both players faced Β· Last 12 months

Osaka has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Stephens's 0%).

OpponentOsakaStephens
Sara Bejlek
W
76
64
L
36
26
Anastasia Zakharova
W
76
76
L
06
16
Anhelina Kalinina
W
61
63
L
62
67
26
Maria Victoria Quinde Serrano
W
62
75
L
46
16
Camila Osorio
W
62
75
L
46
16

Recent Form

Last five matches per player

Osaka
LWWLWWWL
L

Karolina Muchova

China Open - Beijing Β· 4th Round

57
61
677

Oct 6

W

Sara Bejlek

China Open - Beijing Β· 3rd Round

764
64

Oct 4

W

Maria Timofeeva

China Open - Beijing Β· 2nd Round

63
36
63

Oct 2

L

Elena Rybakina

U.S. Open - New York Β· 4th Round

16
46

Sep 7

W

Elise Mertens

U.S. Open - New York Β· 3rd Round

63
36
75

Sep 6

W

Katerina Siniakova

U.S. Open - New York Β· 2nd Round

62
57
61

Sep 3

W

Anastasia Zakharova

U.S. Open - New York Β· 1st Round

766
76

Sep 1

L

Elena Rybakina

National Bank Open - Toronto Β· Quarterfinals

64
657
46

Aug 12

Stephens
LWWLWLLW
L

Peyton Stearns

Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara Β· Quarterfinals

667
46

Sep 18

W

Janice Tjen

Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara Β· 2nd Round

764
763

Sep 16

W

Carole Monnet

Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara Β· 1st Round

64
765

Sep 14

L

Marta Kostyuk

U.S. Open - New York Β· 2nd Round

16
57

Sep 2

W

Clara Tauson

U.S. Open - New York Β· 1st Round

64
61

Sep 1

L

Mananchaya Sawangkaew

Philly Open - Philadelphia Β· 1st Round

64
26
26

Aug 25

L

Marta Kostyuk

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 3rd Round

57
57

Aug 18

W

Anastasia Potapova

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 2nd Round

62
64

Aug 17

Rivalry momentum

Cumulative head-to-head lead over time

↑ OsakaStephens ahead↓ Stephens

Win rate

Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 39–44 matches

MetricOsakaStephens
Matches won75%46%
Sets won68%47%
Games won56%48%

Record by tier

Head-to-head record by tournament tier

StageOsakaStephens
WTA Finals01
WTA 25001
WTA 100010

By surface

Head-to-head record per surface

SurfaceOsakaStephens
Hard12

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Naomi Osaka vs Sloane Stephens FAQ

Sloane Stephens leads the head-to-head 2–1 over 3 meetings.