Naomi Osaka vs Sloane StephensPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

π―π΅Naomi Osaka
#18 Β· 28 yrs Β· Right-Handed
3 meetings Β· sets 3β5

πΊπΈSloane Stephens
#133 Β· 33 yrs Β· Right-Handed
4w4Naomi Osaka and Sloane Stephens have met 3 times since 2016; Sloane Stephens leads 2β1. Their first meeting came at Acapulco in 2016 on hard. On hard courts Stephens leads 2β1. Across all meetings Osaka has taken 3 sets to Stephens's 5. Their most recent meeting: Naomi Osaka won at BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells (2022).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | Osaka | Stephens | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Naomi Osaka | Sloane Stephens | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 67% | 22/33 | 72% | 13/18 |
| Wins a set when losing | 27% | 3/11 | 24% | 5/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 32% | 14/44 | 26% | 10/39 |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 55% | 18/33 | 40% | 4/10 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 60% | 6/10 | 52% | 14/27 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 71% | 10/14 | 57% | 4/7 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 94% | 32/34 | 78% | 14/18 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 65% | 22/34 | 72% | 13/18 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Osaka 0, Stephens 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Osaka
π₯ Big Hitter
Stephens
βοΈ Grinder
Matchup analysis
The π₯ Big Hitter archetype wins about 60% vs βοΈ Grinder across 1,462 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Naomi Osaka.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Mar 10, 2022
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard Β· 1st Round
Oct 24, 2018
Singapore
H Hard Β· Round Robin
Feb 26, 2016
Acapulco
H Hard Β· Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets Β· Last 90 days
| Outcome | Osaka | Stephens | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Naomi Osaka | Sloane Stephens | ||
| 1 or more | 92% | 12/13 | 73% | 11/15 |
| 3 or more | 77% | 10/13 | 7% | 1/15 |
| 5 or more | 69% | 9/13 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 10 or more | 31% | 4/13 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | Osaka | Stephens |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9β4 | 9β7 |
| Avg odds | 1.46 | 2.98 |
| ROI % | -14.3% | +21.4% |
| Units P/L | -1.86u | +3.43u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Osaka | Stephens |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 1 |
| Matches | 3 | 3 |
| Distance | 0 mi Β· 0 km | 0 mi Β· 0 km |
| Route | ROU | UKR |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced Β· Last 12 months
Osaka has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Stephens's 0%).
| Opponent | Osaka | Stephens |
|---|---|---|
| Sara Bejlek | W 76 64 | L 36 26 |
| Anastasia Zakharova | W 76 76 | L 06 16 |
| Anhelina Kalinina | W 61 63 | L 62 67 26 |
| Maria Victoria Quinde Serrano | W 62 75 | L 46 16 |
| Camila Osorio | W 62 75 | L 46 16 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Karolina Muchova
China Open - Beijing Β· 4th Round
Oct 6
Sara Bejlek
China Open - Beijing Β· 3rd Round
Oct 4
Maria Timofeeva
China Open - Beijing Β· 2nd Round
Oct 2
Elena Rybakina
U.S. Open - New York Β· 4th Round
Sep 7
Elise Mertens
U.S. Open - New York Β· 3rd Round
Sep 6
Katerina Siniakova
U.S. Open - New York Β· 2nd Round
Sep 3
Anastasia Zakharova
U.S. Open - New York Β· 1st Round
Sep 1
Elena Rybakina
National Bank Open - Toronto Β· Quarterfinals
Aug 12
Peyton Stearns
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara Β· Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Janice Tjen
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara Β· 2nd Round
Sep 16
Carole Monnet
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara Β· 1st Round
Sep 14
Marta Kostyuk
U.S. Open - New York Β· 2nd Round
Sep 2
Clara Tauson
U.S. Open - New York Β· 1st Round
Sep 1
Mananchaya Sawangkaew
Philly Open - Philadelphia Β· 1st Round
Aug 25
Marta Kostyuk
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 3rd Round
Aug 18
Anastasia Potapova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 2nd Round
Aug 17
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 39β44 matches
| Metric | Osaka | Stephens |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 75% | 46% |
| Sets won | 68% | 47% |
| Games won | 56% | 48% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Osaka | Stephens |
|---|---|---|
| WTA Finals | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 250 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Osaka | Stephens |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 2 |
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