Naomi Osaka vs Sloane StephensPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇯🇵Naomi Osaka
#13 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
3 meetings · sets 3–5
🇺🇸Sloane Stephens
#208 · 33 yrs · Right-Handed
4Naomi Osaka and Sloane Stephens have met 3 times since 2016; Sloane Stephens leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Acapulco in 2016 on hard. On hard courts Stephens leads 2–1. Across all meetings Osaka has taken 3 sets to Stephens's 5. Their most recent meeting: Naomi Osaka won at BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells (2022).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Osaka | Stephens | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Naomi Osaka | Sloane Stephens | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 69% | 22/32 | 71% | 5/7 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 4/12 | 28% | 5/18 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 32% | 14/44 | 28% | 7/25 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 52% | 17/33 | 20% | 1/5 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 67% | 6/9 | 47% | 9/19 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 64% | 9/14 | 50% | 1/2 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 30/34 | 67% | 6/9 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 65% | 22/34 | 56% | 5/9 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Osaka 0, Stephens 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Osaka
💥 Big Hitter
Stephens
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 61% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 1,327 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Naomi Osaka.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Mar 10, 2022
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 1st Round
Oct 24, 2018
Singapore
H Hard · Round Robin
Feb 26, 2016
Acapulco
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Osaka | Stephens | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Naomi Osaka | Sloane Stephens | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 16/16 | 80% | 8/10 |
| 3 or more | 88% | 14/16 | 10% | 1/10 |
| 5 or more | 81% | 13/16 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 10 or more | 6% | 1/16 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/10 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Osaka | Stephens |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–4 | 5–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.66 | 3.00 |
| ROI % | +7.9% | +8.3% |
| Units P/L | +1.27u | +0.83u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Osaka | Stephens |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 4 |
| Events | 2 | 4 |
| Matches | 6 | 7 |
| Distance | 350 mi · 563 km | 1,730 mi · 2,784 km |
| Route | AUT → CAN | ECU → CAN → POL → ESP |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Osaka has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Stephens's 0%).
| Opponent | Osaka | Stephens |
|---|---|---|
| Maria Victoria Quinde Serrano | W 62 75 | L 46 16 |
| Camila Osorio | W 62 75 | L 46 16 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Elena Rybakina
National Bank Open - Toronto · Quarterfinals
Aug 12
Leylah Fernandez
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 10
Elise Mertens
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Panna Udvardy
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Alexandra Eala
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · Semifinals
Aug 1
Elisabetta Cocciaretto
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Karolina Muchova
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 7
Aryna Sabalenka
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 5
Mananchaya Sawangkaew
Philly Open - Philadelphia · 1st Round
Aug 25
Marta Kostyuk
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Anastasia Potapova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 17
Sinja Kraus
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 15
Belinda Bencic
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Solana Sierra
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 4
Darja Vidmanova
The Memphis Classic - Memphis · 2nd Round
Jul 31
Yuliia Starodubtseva
The Memphis Classic - Memphis · 1st Round
Jul 29
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 25–44 matches
| Metric | Osaka | Stephens |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 73% | 28% |
| Sets won | 67% | 33% |
| Games won | 57% | 42% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Osaka | Stephens |
|---|---|---|
| WTA Finals | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 250 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Osaka | Stephens |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 2 |
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