Naomi Osaka vs Sara ErraniPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇯🇵Naomi Osaka
#13 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
3 meetings · sets 6–0
🇮🇹Sara Errani
Unranked · 39 yrs · Right-Handed
69wNaomi Osaka and Sara Errani have met 3 times since 2016; Naomi Osaka leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at Miami in 2016 on hard. On hard courts Osaka leads 2–0. Osaka has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Osaka has taken 6 sets to Errani's 0. Their most recent meeting: Naomi Osaka won at Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Osaka | Errani | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Naomi Osaka | Sara Errani | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 22/31 | — | |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 4/12 | — | |
| Goes to a deciding set | 30% | 13/43 | — | |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 53% | 17/32 | — | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 67% | 6/9 | — | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 64% | 9/14 | — | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 29/33 | — | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 22/33 | — | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 3 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Osaka 3, Errani 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Osaka
💥 Big Hitter
Errani
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 7,380 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Naomi Osaka.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
May 7, 2025
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · 1st Round
Mar 7, 2024
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 1st Round
Mar 23, 2016
Miami
H Hard · Round of 64
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Osaka | Errani |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–3 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.50 | - |
| ROI % | +15.1% | - |
| Units P/L | +2.27u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Osaka | Errani |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 5 | — |
| Distance | 350 mi · 563 km | — |
| Route | AUT → CAN | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Elena Rybakina
National Bank Open - Toronto · Quarterfinals
Aug 12
Leylah Fernandez
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 10
Elise Mertens
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Panna Udvardy
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Alexandra Eala
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · Semifinals
Aug 1
Elisabetta Cocciaretto
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Karolina Muchova
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 7
Aryna Sabalenka
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 5
Naomi Osaka
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome · 1st Round
May 7
Magdalena Frech
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix - Stuttgart · 1st Round
Apr 16
Katie Boulter
Ningbo Open - Ningbo · 1st Round
Oct 15
Diana Shnaider
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Aug 31
Caroline Dolehide
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Aug 29
Cristina Bucsa
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 27
Qinwen Zheng
Olympics - Paris · 1st Round
Jul 28
Qinwen Zheng
Palermo Ladies Open - Palermo · 1st Round
Jul 16
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 43–43 matches
| Metric | Osaka | Errani |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 72% | - |
| Sets won | 67% | - |
| Games won | 56% | - |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Osaka | Errani |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 1000 | 3 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Osaka | Errani |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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