Naomi Osaka vs Sara BejlekPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇯🇵Naomi Osaka
#18 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
1 meeting · sets 2–0
🇨🇿Sara Bejlek
#30 · 20 yrs · Left-Handed
3Naomi Osaka and Sara Bejlek have met 1 time since 2026; Naomi Osaka leads 1–0. Across all meetings Osaka has taken 2 sets to Bejlek's 0. Their most recent meeting: Naomi Osaka won at China Open - Beijing (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Osaka | Bejlek | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Naomi Osaka | Sara Bejlek | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 67% | 22/33 | 78% | 25/32 |
| Wins a set when losing | 27% | 3/11 | 11% | 2/19 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 32% | 14/44 | 18% | 9/51 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 55% | 18/33 | 65% | 20/31 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 60% | 6/10 | 45% | 9/20 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 71% | 10/14 | 54% | 7/13 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 94% | 32/34 | 97% | 29/30 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 65% | 22/34 | 83% | 25/30 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Osaka 1, Bejlek 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Osaka
💥 Big Hitter
Bejlek
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 7,733 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Naomi Osaka.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Oct 4, 2026
China Open - Beijing
H Hard · 3rd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Osaka | Bejlek | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Naomi Osaka | Sara Bejlek | ||
| 1 or more | 92% | 12/13 | 53% | 9/17 |
| 3 or more | 77% | 10/13 | 29% | 5/17 |
| 5 or more | 69% | 9/13 | 12% | 2/17 |
| 10 or more | 31% | 4/13 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/17 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Osaka | Bejlek |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–4 | 10–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.46 | 2.60 |
| ROI % | -14.3% | +35.3% |
| Units P/L | -1.86u | +6.00u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Osaka | Bejlek |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 3 | 4 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 7,530 mi · 12,118 km |
| Route | ROU | UKR → ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Osaka has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Bejlek's 60%).
| Opponent | Osaka | Bejlek |
|---|---|---|
| Maria Timofeeva | W 63 36 63 | W 61 61 |
| Aryna Sabalenka | W 62 76 | W 76 64 |
| Ekaterina Alexandrova | W 62 62 | W 46 61 62 |
| Panna Udvardy | W 62 64 | W 75 61 |
| Iga Swiatek | L 26 16 | L 06 36 |
| Ashlyn Krueger | W | W 63 60 |
| Sorana Cirstea | W 63 46 62 | L 16 67 |
| Laura Siegemund | W 63 76 | W 36 76 76 |
| Iva Jovic | W 76 67 64 | L 67 46 |
| Talia Gibson | L 57 46 | L 16 06 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Karolina Muchova
China Open - Beijing · 4th Round
Oct 6
Sara Bejlek
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 4
Maria Timofeeva
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Elena Rybakina
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 7
Elise Mertens
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 6
Katerina Siniakova
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Anastasia Zakharova
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Elena Rybakina
National Bank Open - Toronto · Quarterfinals
Aug 12
Naomi Osaka
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 4
Maddison Inglis
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Cristina Bucsa
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · Quarterfinals
Sep 17
Alycia Parks
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · 2nd Round
Sep 15
Cristina Bucsa
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Coco Gauff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 23
Madison Keys
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Aryna Sabalenka
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 44–51 matches
| Metric | Osaka | Bejlek |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 75% | 63% |
| Sets won | 68% | 59% |
| Games won | 56% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Osaka | Bejlek |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Osaka | Bejlek |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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