Mattia Bellucci and Pablo Carreno Busta have met 2 times since 2023; they are level 1–1. Their most recent meeting: Pablo Carreno Busta won at Brisbane International presented by ANZ (2026).
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Bellucci
💥 Big Hitter
Busta
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 55% vs 🏹 Frontrunner across 302 matches in our dataset — a stylistic lean toward Mattia Bellucci.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the frontrunner's fast starts.
2 career meetings, newest first
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Bellucci | Busta | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Mattia Bellucci | Pablo Carreno Busta | ||
| 1 or more | 91% | 20/22 | 92% | 11/12 |
| 3 or more | 68% | 15/22 | 50% | 6/12 |
| 5 or more | 55% | 12/22 | 25% | 3/12 |
| 10 or more | 14% | 3/22 | 25% | 3/12 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/22 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/22 | 0% | 0/12 |
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Bellucci | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–10 | 5–3 |
| Avg odds | 2.17 | 2.03 |
| ROI % | +4.5% | +10.4% |
| Units P/L | +0.95u | +0.83u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Busta has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Bellucci's 60%).
| Opponent | Bellucci | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | W 62 67 61 | L 36 36 |
| Thiago Agustin Tirante | W 64 64 | W 76 75 36 64 |
| Quentin Halys | L 36 67 36 | L 64 57 36 |
| Jiri Lehecka | W 76 61 75 | W 63 76 63 |
| Francisco Comesana | W 64 63 | W 64 63 |
| Martin Landaluce | L 46 36 | W 62 36 63 |
| Dusan Lajovic | W 76 64 | L 46 63 36 |
| Reda Bennani | W 63 36 64 | W 64 62 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | L 67 46 | W 63 62 |
| Miomir Kecmanovic | L 16 46 | W 46 63 76 |
Last five matches per player
Raphael Collignon
Terra Wortmann Open · Round of 16
Jun 18
Mikhail Kukushkin
Terra Wortmann Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 13
Taylor Fritz
BOSS OPEN · Quarterfinals
Jun 12
Yannick Hanfmann
BOSS OPEN · Round of 16
Jun 11
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
BOSS OPEN · Round of 32
Jun 10
Alexander Bublik
Terra Wortmann Open · Round of 32
Jun 9
Alex Bolt
Terra Wortmann Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 2
Alex Bolt
Lexus Birmingham Open · Round of 32
Jun 2
Rafael Jodar
Roland Garros · Round of 16
May 31
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Roland Garros · Round of 32
May 29
Thanasi Kokkinakis
Roland Garros · Round of 64
May 27
Jiri Lehecka
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Sebastian Baez
Copa Faulconbridge · Round of 16
May 14
Francisco Comesana
Copa Faulconbridge · Round of 32
May 12
Alejandro Tabilo
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 128
May 6
Martin Damm
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · 1st Round Qualifying
May 4
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 57–65 matches
| Metric | Bellucci | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 54% | 67% |
| Sets won | 51% | 60% |
| Games won | 50% | 53% |
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Bellucci | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Bellucci | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
