Matteo Arnaldi vs Tristan SchoolkatePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Matteo Arnaldi and Tristan Schoolkate have met 2 times since 2025; Matteo Arnaldi leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at National Bank Open - Toronto in 2025 on hard. On hard courts Arnaldi leads 2–0. Arnaldi has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Arnaldi has taken 4 sets to Schoolkate's 1. Their most recent meeting: Matteo Arnaldi won at Vienna (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Arnaldi | Schoolkate | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Matteo Arnaldi | Tristan Schoolkate | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 42% | 8/19 | 66% | 21/32 |
| Wins a set when losing | 56% | 10/18 | 47% | 14/30 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 57% | 21/37 | 40% | 25/62 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 31% | 5/16 | 54% | 19/35 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 67% | 12/18 | 61% | 14/23 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 62% | 13/21 | 48% | 15/31 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 87% | 13/15 | 83% | 24/29 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 53% | 8/15 | 72% | 21/29 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Arnaldi 1, Schoolkate 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Arnaldi
💥 Big Hitter
Schoolkate
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Oct 19, 2025
Vienna
H Hard · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jul 29, 2025
National Bank Open - Toronto
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Arnaldi | Schoolkate | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Matteo Arnaldi | Tristan Schoolkate | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 8/8 | 100% | 16/16 |
| 3 or more | 88% | 7/8 | 100% | 16/16 |
| 5 or more | 63% | 5/8 | 88% | 14/16 |
| 10 or more | 13% | 1/8 | 38% | 6/16 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 19% | 3/16 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 6% | 1/16 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Arnaldi | Schoolkate |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–5 | 11–7 |
| Avg odds | 3.31 | 1.89 |
| ROI % | -27.4% | +2.6% |
| Units P/L | -2.19u | +0.47u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Arnaldi | Schoolkate |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 4 |
| Matches | 4 | 8 |
| Distance | 1,092 mi · 1,758 km | 6,970 mi · 11,217 km |
| Route | JPN → CHN | FRA → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 2 shared opponents, both Arnaldi and Schoolkate posted a 50% win rate.
| Opponent | Arnaldi | Schoolkate |
|---|---|---|
| Rei Sakamoto | W 26 64 64 | W 63 64 |
| James Duckworth | L 75 36 26 67 | L 36 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Taylor Fritz
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Bernard Tomic
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Carlos Alcaraz
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Rei Sakamoto
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Sep 30
James Duckworth
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Martin Landaluce
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Tallon Griekspoor
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Fabian Marozsan
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Dane Sweeny
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Harold Mayot
Mouilleron-Le-Captif Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Philip Henning
Mouilleron-Le-Captif Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 30
Matteo Martineau
St. Tropez Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Harold Mayot
Rennes Challenger · Semifinals
Sep 19
Matisse Bobichon
Rennes Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Anton Matusevich
Rennes Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Marek Gengel
Rennes Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 16
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 44–66 matches
| Metric | Arnaldi | Schoolkate |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 52% | 50% |
| Sets won | 50% | 50% |
| Games won | 49% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Arnaldi | Schoolkate |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Arnaldi | Schoolkate |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
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