Matteo Arnaldi vs Tristan SchoolkatePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Matteo Arnaldi and Tristan Schoolkate have met 2 times since 2025; Matteo Arnaldi leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at National Bank Open - Toronto in 2025 on hard. On hard courts Arnaldi leads 2–0. Arnaldi has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Arnaldi has taken 4 sets to Schoolkate's 1. Their most recent meeting: Matteo Arnaldi won at Vienna (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Arnaldi | Schoolkate | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Matteo Arnaldi | Tristan Schoolkate | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 41% | 7/17 | 62% | 16/26 |
| Wins a set when losing | 58% | 11/19 | 41% | 11/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 58% | 21/36 | 40% | 21/53 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 24% | 4/17 | 48% | 14/29 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 63% | 10/16 | 62% | 13/21 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 60% | 12/20 | 48% | 15/31 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 87% | 13/15 | 79% | 19/24 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 47% | 7/15 | 67% | 16/24 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Arnaldi 1, Schoolkate 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Arnaldi
⚙️ Grinder
Schoolkate
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 56% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 1,470 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Tristan Schoolkate.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Oct 19, 2025
Vienna
H Hard · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jul 29, 2025
National Bank Open - Toronto
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Arnaldi | Schoolkate | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Matteo Arnaldi | Tristan Schoolkate | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 10/10 | 100% | 9/9 |
| 3 or more | 90% | 9/10 | 100% | 9/9 |
| 5 or more | 70% | 7/10 | 100% | 9/9 |
| 10 or more | 20% | 2/10 | 44% | 4/9 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/9 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Arnaldi | Schoolkate |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–5 | 6–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.87 | 1.76 |
| ROI % | -50.4% | -15.0% |
| Units P/L | -3.53u | -1.80u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Arnaldi | Schoolkate |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 1 |
| Matches | 3 | 2 |
| Distance | 712 mi · 1,146 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | CAN → USA | USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Arnaldi has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Schoolkate's 50%).
| Opponent | Arnaldi | Schoolkate |
|---|---|---|
| Rei Sakamoto | W 76 64 | W 63 64 |
| Jesper de Jong | W 64 76 | L 64 67 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Martin Landaluce
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Tallon Griekspoor
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Fabian Marozsan
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Damir Dzumhur
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · Quarterfinals
Jul 16
Federico Agustin Gomez
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Quentin Halys
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Giles Hussey
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 23
Matteo Berrettini
Roland Garros · Quarterfinals
Jun 3
Andre Ilagan
Brownsburg Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 14
Federico Cina
Brownsburg Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 13
Quinn Vandecasteele
Brownsburg Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 13
Murphy Cassone
Granby Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 14
Arthur Gea
Newport Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 9
August Holmgren
Newport Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 8
Nicolas Mejia
Wimbledon · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jun 25
Daniel Evans
Wimbledon · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 24
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 42–55 matches
| Metric | Arnaldi | Schoolkate |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 50% | 47% |
| Sets won | 49% | 47% |
| Games won | 49% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Arnaldi | Schoolkate |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Arnaldi | Schoolkate |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
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