Matteo Arnaldi vs Tallon GriekspoorPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Matteo Arnaldi and Tallon Griekspoor have met 2 times since 2026; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at French Open - Paris in 2026 on clay. Across all meetings Arnaldi has taken 4 sets to Griekspoor's 3. Their most recent meeting: Tallon Griekspoor won at National Bank Open - Montreal (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Arnaldi | Griekspoor | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Matteo Arnaldi | Tallon Griekspoor | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 42% | 8/19 | 72% | 13/18 |
| Wins a set when losing | 56% | 10/18 | 40% | 8/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 57% | 21/37 | 34% | 13/38 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 31% | 5/16 | 42% | 8/19 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 67% | 12/18 | 56% | 9/16 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 62% | 13/21 | 45% | 9/20 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 87% | 13/15 | 84% | 16/19 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 53% | 8/15 | 68% | 13/19 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Arnaldi 0, Griekspoor 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Arnaldi
💥 Big Hitter
Griekspoor
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Aug 7, 2026
National Bank Open - Montreal
H Hard · 3rd Round
May 26, 2026
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Arnaldi | Griekspoor | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Matteo Arnaldi | Tallon Griekspoor | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 8/8 | 100% | 9/9 |
| 3 or more | 88% | 7/8 | 100% | 9/9 |
| 5 or more | 63% | 5/8 | 78% | 7/9 |
| 10 or more | 13% | 1/8 | 22% | 2/9 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 22% | 2/9 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/9 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Arnaldi | Griekspoor |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–5 | 4–6 |
| Avg odds | 3.31 | 2.59 |
| ROI % | -27.4% | +1.3% |
| Units P/L | -2.19u | +0.13u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Arnaldi | Griekspoor |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 4 | 3 |
| Distance | 1,092 mi · 1,758 km | 1,611 mi · 2,592 km |
| Route | JPN → CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Griekspoor has a higher win rate against shared opponents (44% vs Arnaldi's 22%).
| Opponent | Arnaldi | Griekspoor |
|---|---|---|
| Andrey Rublev | L 46 26 36 | L 46 75 67 |
| James Duckworth | L 75 36 26 67 | L 46 64 57 46 |
| Alexander Zverev | L 46 46 | W 67 62 64 |
| Lorenzo Musetti | L | L 46 57 |
| Damir Dzumhur | L 67 76 67 | W 63 64 |
| Quentin Halys | L 63 16 67 36 | W 75 76 |
| Raphael Collignon | W 64 67 57 64 76 | L 57 16 |
| Alex Molcan | L 36 16 | W 62 64 |
| Hubert Hurkacz | W 64 64 | L 36 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Taylor Fritz
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Bernard Tomic
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Carlos Alcaraz
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Rei Sakamoto
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Sep 30
James Duckworth
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Martin Landaluce
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Tallon Griekspoor
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Fabian Marozsan
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Pavel Kotov
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Andrey Rublev
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Denis Shapovalov
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 24
Nicolas Mejia
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, NED-COL 4-0 · Rubber 2
Sep 18
Ben Shelton
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Daniel Merida Aguilar
National Bank Open - Montreal · 4th Round
Aug 9
Matteo Arnaldi
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Alexander Zverev
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 42–44 matches
| Metric | Arnaldi | Griekspoor |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 52% | 43% |
| Sets won | 50% | 45% |
| Games won | 49% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Arnaldi | Griekspoor |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Arnaldi | Griekspoor |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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