Matteo Arnaldi vs Tallon GriekspoorPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Matteo Arnaldi and Tallon Griekspoor have met 2 times since 2026; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at French Open - Paris in 2026 on clay. Across all meetings Arnaldi has taken 4 sets to Griekspoor's 3. Their most recent meeting: Tallon Griekspoor won at National Bank Open - Montreal (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Arnaldi | Griekspoor | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Matteo Arnaldi | Tallon Griekspoor | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 41% | 7/17 | 67% | 12/18 |
| Wins a set when losing | 58% | 11/19 | 48% | 10/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 58% | 21/36 | 41% | 16/39 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 24% | 4/17 | 35% | 7/20 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 63% | 10/16 | 56% | 9/16 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 60% | 12/20 | 50% | 10/20 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 87% | 13/15 | 76% | 16/21 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 47% | 7/15 | 57% | 12/21 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Arnaldi 0, Griekspoor 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Arnaldi
⚙️ Grinder
Griekspoor
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 56% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 1,470 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Tallon Griekspoor.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Aug 7, 2026
National Bank Open - Montreal
H Hard · 3rd Round
May 26, 2026
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Arnaldi | Griekspoor | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Matteo Arnaldi | Tallon Griekspoor | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 10/10 | 100% | 9/9 |
| 3 or more | 90% | 9/10 | 89% | 8/9 |
| 5 or more | 70% | 7/10 | 67% | 6/9 |
| 10 or more | 20% | 2/10 | 33% | 3/9 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 33% | 3/9 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/9 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Arnaldi | Griekspoor |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–5 | 4–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.87 | 2.04 |
| ROI % | -50.4% | +16.1% |
| Units P/L | -3.53u | +1.45u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Arnaldi | Griekspoor |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 1 |
| Matches | 3 | 4 |
| Distance | 712 mi · 1,146 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | CAN → USA | CAN |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Griekspoor has a higher win rate against shared opponents (63% vs Arnaldi's 25%).
| Opponent | Arnaldi | Griekspoor |
|---|---|---|
| Alexander Zverev | L 46 46 | W 67 62 64 |
| Damir Dzumhur | L 67 76 67 | W 63 64 |
| Quentin Halys | L 63 16 67 36 | W 75 76 |
| Raphael Collignon | W 64 67 57 64 76 | L 57 16 |
| Alex Molcan | L 36 16 | W 62 64 |
| Hubert Hurkacz | W 64 64 | L 36 67 |
| Andrey Rublev | L 46 26 36 | W 75 76 |
| Jacob Fearnley | L 57 26 | L 36 76 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Martin Landaluce
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Tallon Griekspoor
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Fabian Marozsan
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Damir Dzumhur
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · Quarterfinals
Jul 16
Federico Agustin Gomez
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Quentin Halys
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Giles Hussey
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 23
Matteo Berrettini
Roland Garros · Quarterfinals
Jun 3
Daniel Merida Aguilar
National Bank Open - Montreal · 4th Round
Aug 9
Matteo Arnaldi
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Alexander Zverev
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Lorenzo Sonego
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Alejandro Tabilo
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 27
Edas Butvilas
Bundesliga - men
Jul 12
Luca Van Assche
Bundesliga - men
Jul 10
James Duckworth
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 42–42 matches
| Metric | Arnaldi | Griekspoor |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 50% | 43% |
| Sets won | 49% | 46% |
| Games won | 49% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Arnaldi | Griekspoor |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Arnaldi | Griekspoor |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.