Matteo Arnaldi vs Simon CarrPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Matteo Arnaldi and Simon Carr have met 1 time since 2023; Matteo Arnaldi leads 1–0. Across all meetings Arnaldi has taken 2 sets to Carr's 0. Their most recent meeting: Matteo Arnaldi won at Dubai (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Arnaldi | Carr | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Matteo Arnaldi | Simon Carr | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 42% | 8/19 | — | |
| Wins a set when losing | 53% | 9/17 | — | |
| Goes to a deciding set | 56% | 20/36 | — | |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 31% | 5/16 | — | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 65% | 11/17 | — | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 60% | 12/20 | — | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 93% | 13/14 | — | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 57% | 8/14 | — | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Arnaldi 1, Carr 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Arnaldi
💥 Big Hitter
Carr
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🪃 Counterpuncher is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 3,969 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Feb 25, 2023
Dubai
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Arnaldi | Carr |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–5 | - |
| Avg odds | 3.31 | - |
| ROI % | -27.4% | - |
| Units P/L | -2.19u | - |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Arnaldi | Carr |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 4 | — |
| Distance | 1,092 mi · 1,758 km | — |
| Route | JPN → CHN | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Taylor Fritz
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Bernard Tomic
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Carlos Alcaraz
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Rei Sakamoto
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Sep 30
James Duckworth
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Martin Landaluce
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Tallon Griekspoor
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Fabian Marozsan
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Matteo Arnaldi
Dubai · 1st Round Qualifying
Feb 25
Gonzalo Bueno
Davis Cup, Group I, PO, PER-IRL 4-0 · Rubber 1
Feb 3
Maks Kasnikowski
Calgary · 1st Round Qualifying
Nov 6
Mitchell Krueger
Las Vegas Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 25
Donald Young
Las Vegas · 2nd Round Qualifying
Oct 24
Nick Chappell
Las Vegas · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 23
Martin Damm
Fairfield · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 9
Alex Michelsen
Tiburon · 2nd Round Qualifying
Oct 3
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 43–43 matches
| Metric | Arnaldi | Carr |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 53% | - |
| Sets won | 50% | - |
| Games won | 49% | - |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Arnaldi | Carr |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Arnaldi | Carr |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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