Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida vs Santiago Rodriguez TavernaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇧🇷Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
#254 · 25 yrs · R
44 meetings · sets 4–6
🇦🇷Santiago Rodriguez Taverna
#430 · 27 yrs · R
7wMatheus Pucinelli De Almeida and Santiago Rodriguez Taverna have met 4 times since 2022; Santiago Rodriguez Taverna leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Montevideo Challenger in 2022 on clay. On clay courts Taverna leads 2–1. Taverna has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Almeida has taken 4 sets to Taverna's 6. Their most recent meeting: Santiago Rodriguez Taverna won at M25 Lajeado 1 (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Pucinelli De Almeida | Rodriguez Taverna | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida | Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 31/43 | 52% | 12/23 |
| Wins a set when losing | 48% | 12/25 | 42% | 11/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 35% | 24/68 | 45% | 22/49 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 45% | 18/40 | 33% | 7/21 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 77% | 10/13 | 59% | 10/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 37% | 7/19 | 61% | 14/23 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 84% | 38/45 | 79% | 19/24 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 69% | 31/45 | 50% | 12/24 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Pucinelli De Almeida 1, Rodriguez Taverna 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Almeida
⚔️ The Gladiator
Taverna
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 55% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 399 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Santiago Rodriguez Taverna.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Nov 1, 2025
M25 Lajeado 1
C Clay · Semifinals
May 3, 2025
Porto Alegre Challenger
C Clay · Semifinals
Nov 29, 2023
Temuco Challenger
H Hard · 2nd Round
Nov 8, 2022
Montevideo Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Almeida | Taverna | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida | Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | ||
| 1 or more | 82% | 23/28 | 78% | 7/9 |
| 3 or more | 36% | 10/28 | 44% | 4/9 |
| 5 or more | 11% | 3/28 | 44% | 4/9 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/28 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/28 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/28 | 0% | 0/9 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Almeida | Taverna |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 16–6 | 4–2 |
| Avg odds | 1.75 | 2.28 |
| ROI % | +11.1% | +15.8% |
| Units P/L | +2.45u | +0.95u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Almeida | Taverna |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 4 | — |
| Matches | 8 | — |
| Distance | 684 mi · 1,101 km | — |
| Route | GER → GBR | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Almeida has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Taverna's 40%).
| Opponent | Almeida | Taverna |
|---|---|---|
| Juan Pablo Varillas | L 36 67 | L 46 67 |
| Eduardo Ribeiro | W 61 64 | W 75 06 61 |
| Thiago Cigarran | W 61 63 | W 76 36 62 |
| Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | W 67 63 61 | L 46 46 |
| Laelson Rodrigues | W 61 63 | W 61 61 |
| Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | W 62 62 | L 46 36 |
| Rafael Tosetto | W 60 61 | W 61 64 |
| Hugo Dellien | L 46 64 67 | L 63 46 16 |
| Daniel Dutra da Silva | W 46 64 63 | L 36 46 |
| Joao Eduardo Schiessl | W 64 62 | L 76 26 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Oliver Tarvet
Roehampton 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 25
Oliver Tarvet
Roehampton 1 Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 19
Peter Makk
Roehampton 1 Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 18
Jan Kumstat
Hamburg Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 15
Dylan Dietrich
Hamburg Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 14
Max Schoenhaus
Hamburg Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 12
Florian Broska
Hamburg Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 11
Federico Agustin Gomez
Bonn Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Nicolas Mejia
Bogota Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 9
Samuel Alejandro Linde Palacios
Bogota Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 7
Thiago Cigarran
Piracicaba Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 25
Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi
Asuncion Challenger · 2nd Round
Jun 17
Ignacio Parisca Romera
CIT Open · Round of 32
Jun 16
Ignacio Parisca
Asuncion Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 16
Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi
San Miguel de Tucuman Challenger · 2nd Round
Jun 11
Karim Bennani
San Miguel de Tucuman Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 9
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 49–68 matches
| Metric | Almeida | Taverna |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 63% | 47% |
| Sets won | 61% | 48% |
| Games won | 56% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Almeida | Taverna |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M25 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Almeida | Taverna |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 2 |
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