Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida vs Nicolas JarryPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇧🇷Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
#240 · 25 yrs · R
3 meetings · sets 4–4
🇨🇱Nicolas Jarry
#854 · 31 yrs · R
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida and Nicolas Jarry have met 3 times since 2021; Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Todi Challenger in 2021 on clay. On clay courts Almeida leads 2–1. Across all meetings Almeida has taken 4 sets to Jarry's 4. Their most recent meeting: Nicolas Jarry won at Mexico City Challenger (2022).
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- Cali Challenger
- Level
- ATP Challenger Tour
- Round
- 2nd Round
- Surface
- Clay
- Date & time
- October 22 · 12:30 PM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
At 1.69 or shorter, Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida has won 57 of 87 (66%). The price implied 63%, so Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida has beaten it by 3 points.
At 2.09 or longer, Nicolas Jarry has won 16 of 53 (30%). The price implied 37%, so Nicolas Jarry has fallen 7 points short of it.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Nicolas Jarry meets Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida in the second round of the Cali Challenger on October 22 on clay. Jarry, ranked 854th, has won two straight matches but carries a 45% record on the surface. Pucinelli De Almeida, ranked 240th, has played at a 70% clip on clay and arrives after a single-match layoff.
The head-to-head stands at 2-1 in favor of Pucinelli De Almeida across three prior meetings. Jarry has found some rhythm over his last five outings, winning four of them, while Pucinelli De Almeida has gone 3-2 in the same span. Both players posted a .500 record over their last ten matches, and both have seen minutes on court in recent days.
Jarry relies on his serve as his primary weapon; depth and velocity through the court define his approach. Pucinelli De Almeida plays a more complete baseline game, trading shots with tempo and physicality from the back of the court. On clay, where patience and consistency matter, Pucinelli De Almeida's superior record on the surface and higher ranking suggest comfort in the conditions. Jarry must leverage his service game and limit extended rallies to compete.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Pucinelli De Almeida | Jarry | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida | Nicolas Jarry | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 73% | 33/45 | 50% | 2/4 |
| Wins a set when losing | 48% | 12/25 | 44% | 4/9 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 34% | 24/70 | 46% | 6/13 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 51% | 22/43 | 40% | 2/5 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 85% | 11/13 | 57% | 4/7 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 30% | 6/20 | 33% | 3/9 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 87% | 40/46 | 80% | 4/5 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 72% | 33/46 | 40% | 2/5 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Pucinelli De Almeida 0, Jarry 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Almeida
⚔️ The Gladiator
Jarry
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 56% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 951 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Nicolas Jarry.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Apr 6, 2022
Mexico City Challenger
C Clay · 2nd Round
Mar 17, 2022
Concepcion 2 Challenger
C Clay · 2nd Round
Jul 16, 2021
Todi Challenger
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Almeida | Jarry |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 15–8 | 1–0 |
| Avg odds | 1.83 | 2.50 |
| ROI % | +0.6% | +150.0% |
| Units P/L | +0.13u | +1.50u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Almeida | Jarry |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 4 | — |
| Distance | 835 mi · 1,344 km | — |
| Route | ARG → BRA | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Jarry has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Almeida's 0%).
| Opponent | Almeida | Jarry |
|---|---|---|
| Tomas Barrios Vera | L 16 63 36 | W 64 67 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Jose Pereira
Cali Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 20
Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva
Antofagasta Challenger · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Genaro Alberto Olivieri
Antofagasta Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 7
Alex Barrena
Antofagasta Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 6
Tomas Barrios Vera
Curitiba Challenger · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva
Curitiba Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 30
Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos
Curitiba Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Hugo Dellien
Buenos Aires Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Tomas Barrios Vera
Cali Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 19
Elmer Moller
Oeiras 3 Challenger · 1st Round
Apr 14
Jurij Rodionov
Madrid Challenger · Semifinals
Apr 11
Nerman Fatic
Madrid Challenger · Quarterfinals
Apr 10
Dominic Stricker
Madrid Challenger · 2nd Round
Apr 9
Miguel Damas
Madrid Challenger · 1st Round
Apr 7
Mattia Bellucci
Miami Open - Miami · 1st Round Qualifying
Mar 16
Adam Walton
Cap Cana Challenger · 1st Round
Mar 10
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 13–70 matches
| Metric | Almeida | Jarry |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 64% | 31% |
| Sets won | 62% | 38% |
| Games won | 56% | 47% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Almeida | Jarry |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 2 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Almeida | Jarry |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 2 | 1 |