Marton Fucsovics vs Matteo ArnaldiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Marton Fucsovics and Matteo Arnaldi have met 3 times since 2023; Marton Fucsovics leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Canberra Challenger in 2023 on hard. On hard courts Fucsovics leads 2–1. Across all meetings Fucsovics has taken 5 sets to Arnaldi's 3. Their most recent meeting: Marton Fucsovics won at Tokyo (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Fucsovics | Arnaldi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Marton Fucsovics | Matteo Arnaldi | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 89% | 8/9 | 42% | 8/19 |
| Wins a set when losing | 15% | 2/13 | 56% | 10/18 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 14% | 3/22 | 57% | 21/37 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 71% | 5/7 | 31% | 5/16 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 31% | 4/13 | 67% | 12/18 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 4/8 | 62% | 13/21 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 8/9 | 87% | 13/15 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 89% | 8/9 | 53% | 8/15 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Fucsovics 1, Arnaldi 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Fucsovics
🎯 Baseliner
Arnaldi
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🎯 Baseliner vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 1,249 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Sep 23, 2025
Tokyo
H Hard · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jan 2, 2024
Brisbane International - Brisbane
H Hard · 1st Round
Jan 4, 2023
Canberra Challenger
H Hard · 2nd Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Fucsovics | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 0–2 | 4–6 |
| Avg odds | 3.24 | 2.92 |
| ROI % | -100.0% | -29.3% |
| Units P/L | -2.00u | -2.93u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Fucsovics | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 4 |
| Distance | — | 1,092 mi · 1,758 km |
| Route | — | JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 5 shared opponents, both Fucsovics and Arnaldi posted a 60% win rate.
| Opponent | Fucsovics | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Lorenzo Musetti | W 75 61 | L |
| Hubert Hurkacz | W 36 76 76 | W 64 64 |
| Matteo Berrettini | L 76 57 16 26 | W |
| Aleksandr Shevchenko | L 36 67 | L 67 76 26 |
| Jesper de Jong | W 61 62 | W 64 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Daniel Merida Aguilar
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Terence Atmane
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Corentin Moutet
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Learner Tien
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Luca Van Assche
Wimbledon · Round of 128
Jun 29
Luca Van Assche
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Brandon Nakashima
HSBC Championships - London · 1st Round
Jun 16
Taylor Fritz
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Bernard Tomic
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Carlos Alcaraz
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Rei Sakamoto
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Sep 30
James Duckworth
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Martin Landaluce
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Tallon Griekspoor
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Fabian Marozsan
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 28–44 matches
| Metric | Fucsovics | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 39% | 52% |
| Sets won | 40% | 50% |
| Games won | 47% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Fucsovics | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Fucsovics | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 1 |
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