Marton Fucsovics vs Matteo ArnaldiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Marton Fucsovics and Matteo Arnaldi have met 3 times since 2023; Marton Fucsovics leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Canberra Challenger in 2023 on hard. On hard courts Fucsovics leads 2–1. Across all meetings Fucsovics has taken 5 sets to Arnaldi's 3. Their most recent meeting: Marton Fucsovics won at Tokyo (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Fucsovics | Arnaldi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Marton Fucsovics | Matteo Arnaldi | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 83% | 10/12 | 41% | 7/17 |
| Wins a set when losing | 24% | 4/17 | 58% | 11/19 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 21% | 6/29 | 58% | 21/36 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 54% | 7/13 | 24% | 4/17 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 29% | 4/14 | 63% | 10/16 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 44% | 4/9 | 60% | 12/20 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 10/12 | 87% | 13/15 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 83% | 10/12 | 47% | 7/15 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Fucsovics 1, Arnaldi 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Fucsovics
🎯 Baseliner
Arnaldi
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 56% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 460 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Marton Fucsovics.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Sep 23, 2025
Tokyo
H Hard · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jan 2, 2024
Brisbane International - Brisbane
H Hard · 1st Round
Jan 4, 2023
Canberra Challenger
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Fucsovics | Arnaldi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Marton Fucsovics | Matteo Arnaldi | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 6/6 | 100% | 11/11 |
| 3 or more | 67% | 4/6 | 91% | 10/11 |
| 5 or more | 50% | 3/6 | 73% | 8/11 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 27% | 3/11 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 9% | 1/11 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/11 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Fucsovics | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–4 | 3–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.91 | 1.87 |
| ROI % | +5.0% | -33.3% |
| Units P/L | +0.30u | -2.66u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Fucsovics | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 1 | 3 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 712 mi · 1,146 km |
| Route | CAN | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Arnaldi has a higher win rate against shared opponents (71% vs Fucsovics's 43%).
| Opponent | Fucsovics | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | L 67 26 36 | L 46 46 |
| Hubert Hurkacz | W 36 76 76 | W 64 64 |
| Matteo Berrettini | L 76 57 16 26 | W 75 52 |
| Frances Tiafoe | W 36 61 75 | W 76 67 36 76 64 |
| Jaume Munar | L 64 57 16 | W 63 36 63 |
| Aleksandr Shevchenko | L 36 67 | L 67 76 26 |
| Jesper de Jong | W 61 62 | W 64 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Corentin Moutet
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Learner Tien
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Luca Van Assche
Wimbledon · Round of 128
Jun 29
Brandon Nakashima
HSBC Championships - London · 1st Round
Jun 16
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch · 2nd Round
Jun 11
Hubert Hurkacz
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch · 1st Round
Jun 10
Matteo Berrettini
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 25
Martin Landaluce
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Tallon Griekspoor
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Fabian Marozsan
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Damir Dzumhur
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · Quarterfinals
Jul 16
Federico Agustin Gomez
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Quentin Halys
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Giles Hussey
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 23
Matteo Berrettini
Roland Garros · Quarterfinals
Jun 3
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 34–42 matches
| Metric | Fucsovics | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 41% | 50% |
| Sets won | 43% | 49% |
| Games won | 48% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Fucsovics | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Fucsovics | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 1 |
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