Marin Cilic vs Novak DjokovicPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Marin Cilic and Novak Djokovic have met 11 times since 2015; Novak Djokovic leads 9–2. Their first meeting came at ATP Masters 1000 Monte-Carlo in 2015 on clay. On hard courts Djokovic leads 7–1. On grass courts they are level 1–1. Djokovic has won the last 6 meetings. 2 of their meetings have been finals, split 1–1. Across all meetings Cilic has taken 6 sets to Djokovic's 21. Their most recent meeting: Novak Djokovic won at Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Cilic | Djokovic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Marin Cilic | Novak Djokovic | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 12/17 | 44% | 4/9 |
| Wins a set when losing | 29% | 5/17 | 75% | 3/4 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 29% | 10/34 | 62% | 8/13 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 65% | 11/17 | 33% | 4/12 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 47% | 7/15 | 100% | 1/1 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 39% | 7/18 | 80% | 4/5 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 13/16 | 63% | 5/8 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 75% | 12/16 | 50% | 4/8 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 6 of 9 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Cilic 1, Djokovic 5).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Cilic
🤖 Servebot
Djokovic
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
Both Marin Cilic and Novak Djokovic are 🤖 Servebot types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 6,464 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
11 career meetings, newest first
Oct 3, 2025
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai
H Hard · 2nd Round
Oct 2, 2022
Tel Aviv Watergen Open - Tel Aviv
H Hard · Final
Dec 3, 2021
Davis Cup, Finals, SF, CRO-SRB 2-1
H Hard · Rubber 2
Nov 16, 2018
Nitto ATP Finals
H Hard · Round Robin
Nov 2, 2018
ATP Masters 1000 Paris
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Aug 16, 2018
ATP Masters 1000 Cincinnati
H Hard · Semifinals
Jun 24, 2018
London / Queen's Club
G Grass · Final
Nov 4, 2016
ATP Masters 1000 Paris
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Sep 11, 2015
US Open
H Hard · Semifinals
Jul 8, 2015
Wimbledon
G Grass · Quarterfinals
Apr 13, 2015
ATP Masters 1000 Monte-Carlo
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Cilic | Djokovic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Marin Cilic | Novak Djokovic | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 4/4 | 88% | 7/8 |
| 3 or more | 75% | 3/4 | 75% | 6/8 |
| 5 or more | 75% | 3/4 | 50% | 4/8 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/4 | 25% | 2/8 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/4 | 13% | 1/8 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/4 | 0% | 0/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Cilic | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 1–3 | 5–3 |
| Avg odds | 2.27 | 1.67 |
| ROI % | -56.3% | +17.7% |
| Units P/L | -2.25u | +1.42u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Cilic | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 1 | 6 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 663 mi · 1,067 km |
| Route | CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Djokovic has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Cilic's 25%).
| Opponent | Cilic | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| Daniil Medvedev | L 16 26 46 | W |
| Alexander Zverev | L 26 75 46 | W 46 64 64 |
| Nuno Borges | W 36 76 63 | W 63 76 |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | L 67 36 | W 76 36 63 67 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Arthur Fery
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 7
Daniel Merida Aguilar
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 15
Daniel Merida Aguilar
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Frances Tiafoe
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Sho Shimabukuro
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Daniil Medvedev
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Ugo Humbert
HSBC Championships - London · 1st Round
Jun 16
Daniil Medvedev
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch · Quarterfinals
Jun 13
Hubert Hurkacz
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Alex de Minaur
China Open - Beijing · Final
Oct 6
Daniil Medvedev
China Open - Beijing · Semifinals
Oct 5
Alexander Zverev
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Bu Yunchaokete
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Nuno Borges
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Sep 30
Mariano Navone
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 28–39 matches
| Metric | Cilic | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 49% | 71% |
| Sets won | 49% | 63% |
| Games won | 50% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Cilic | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 1 |
| Grand Slam | 0 | 2 |
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 4 |
| Other | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Cilic | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 7 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
| Grass | 1 | 1 |
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