Marin Cilic vs Novak DjokovicPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Marin Cilic and Novak Djokovic have met 11 times since 2015; Novak Djokovic leads 9–2. Their first meeting came at ATP Masters 1000 Monte-Carlo in 2015 on clay. On hard courts Djokovic leads 7–1. On grass courts they are level 1–1. Djokovic has won the last 6 meetings. 2 of their meetings have been finals, split 1–1. Across all meetings Cilic has taken 6 sets to Djokovic's 21. Their most recent meeting: Novak Djokovic won at Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Cilic | Djokovic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Marin Cilic | Novak Djokovic | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 74% | 14/19 | 50% | 5/10 |
| Wins a set when losing | 25% | 5/20 | 75% | 3/4 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 26% | 10/39 | 57% | 8/14 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 65% | 11/17 | 36% | 5/14 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 48% | 10/21 | — | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 42% | 8/19 | 75% | 3/4 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 15/18 | 70% | 7/10 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 14/18 | 50% | 5/10 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 6 of 9 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Cilic 1, Djokovic 5).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Cilic
🤖 Servebot
Djokovic
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 3,444 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
11 career meetings, newest first
Oct 3, 2025
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai
H Hard · 2nd Round
Oct 2, 2022
Tel Aviv Watergen Open - Tel Aviv
H Hard · Final
Dec 3, 2021
Davis Cup, Finals, SF, CRO-SRB 2-1
H Hard · Rubber 2
Nov 16, 2018
Nitto ATP Finals
H Hard · Round Robin
Nov 2, 2018
ATP Masters 1000 Paris
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Aug 16, 2018
ATP Masters 1000 Cincinnati
H Hard · Semifinals
Jun 24, 2018
London / Queen's Club
G Grass · Final
Nov 4, 2016
ATP Masters 1000 Paris
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Sep 11, 2015
US Open
H Hard · Semifinals
Jul 8, 2015
Wimbledon
G Grass · Quarterfinals
Apr 13, 2015
ATP Masters 1000 Monte-Carlo
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Cilic | Djokovic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Marin Cilic | Novak Djokovic | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 8/8 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 3 or more | 75% | 6/8 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 5 or more | 75% | 6/8 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 10 or more | 13% | 1/8 | 71% | 5/7 |
| 15 or more | 13% | 1/8 | 29% | 2/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Cilic | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–5 | 5–2 |
| Avg odds | 2.30 | 1.71 |
| ROI % | -34.5% | -12.4% |
| Units P/L | -2.76u | -0.87u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Cilic | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 1 |
| Matches | 3 | 1 |
| Distance | 712 mi · 1,146 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | CAN → USA | USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Djokovic has a higher win rate against shared opponents (83% vs Cilic's 33%).
| Opponent | Cilic | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| Jannik Sinner | L 26 26 | L 46 46 46 |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | L 67 36 | W 76 36 63 67 76 |
| Arthur Rinderknech | L 26 46 | W 75 64 16 76 |
| Nuno Borges | W 36 76 63 | W 76 64 |
| Zizou Bergs | W 46 63 64 | W 63 75 |
| Taylor Fritz | L 67 67 | W 63 75 36 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Daniel Merida Aguilar
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 15
Frances Tiafoe
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Sho Shimabukuro
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Daniil Medvedev
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Ugo Humbert
HSBC Championships - London · 1st Round
Jun 16
Daniil Medvedev
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch · Quarterfinals
Jun 13
Nuno Borges
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch · 2nd Round
Jun 12
Denis Shapovalov
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch · 1st Round
Jun 8
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Jannik Sinner
Wimbledon - London · Semifinals
Jul 10
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 7
Roman Safiullin
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 5
Arthur Rinderknech
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Yibing Wu
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Joao Fonseca
French Open - Paris · 3rd Round
May 29
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 31–44 matches
| Metric | Cilic | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 48% | 74% |
| Sets won | 48% | 65% |
| Games won | 50% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Cilic | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 1 |
| Grand Slam | 0 | 2 |
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 4 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 0 | 1 |
| Other | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Cilic | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 7 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
| Grass | 1 | 1 |
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