Marie Bouzkova vs Naomi OsakaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇨🇿Marie Bouzkova
#26 · 27 yrs · Right-Handed
3 meetings · sets 1–6
🇯🇵Naomi Osaka
#13 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
Marie Bouzkova and Naomi Osaka have met 3 times since 2020; Naomi Osaka leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at Australian Open - Melbourne in 2020 on hard. On hard courts Osaka leads 2–0. Osaka has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Bouzkova has taken 1 sets to Osaka's 6. Their most recent meeting: Naomi Osaka won at Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Bouzkova | Osaka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Marie Bouzkova | Naomi Osaka | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 84% | 26/31 | 69% | 22/32 |
| Wins a set when losing | 24% | 5/21 | 33% | 4/12 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 19% | 10/52 | 32% | 14/44 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 66% | 21/32 | 52% | 17/33 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 29% | 5/17 | 67% | 6/9 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 63% | 10/16 | 64% | 9/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 28/31 | 88% | 30/34 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 84% | 26/31 | 65% | 22/34 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Bouzkova 0, Osaka 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Bouzkova
👑 The Complete Package
Osaka
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
👑 The Complete Package vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 3,896 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
May 10, 2025
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · 3rd Round
Aug 30, 2021
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 1st Round
Jan 20, 2020
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Bouzkova | Osaka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Marie Bouzkova | Naomi Osaka | ||
| 1 or more | 89% | 16/18 | 100% | 16/16 |
| 3 or more | 39% | 7/18 | 88% | 14/16 |
| 5 or more | 6% | 1/18 | 81% | 13/16 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 6% | 1/16 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/16 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/16 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Bouzkova | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–5 | 12–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.78 | 1.66 |
| ROI % | +9.4% | +7.9% |
| Units P/L | +1.50u | +1.27u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Bouzkova | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 4 | 6 |
| Distance | 411 mi · 662 km | 350 mi · 563 km |
| Route | CAN → POL | AUT → CAN |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Osaka has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Bouzkova's 40%).
| Opponent | Bouzkova | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Coco Gauff | L 36 26 | W 63 62 |
| Iva Jovic | W 76 76 | W 76 67 64 |
| Elise Mertens | L 46 46 | W 61 62 |
| Panna Udvardy | W 67 62 62 | W 62 64 |
| Talia Gibson | W 61 36 62 | L 57 46 |
| Elsa Jacquemot | W 62 62 | W 61 75 |
| Magdalena Frech | L 36 64 36 | W 64 61 |
| Donna Vekic | L 67 36 | W 76 64 |
| Iga Swiatek | L 26 36 | L 26 16 |
| Anhelina Kalinina | L 46 36 | W 61 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Coco Gauff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Iva Jovic
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 19
Lucrezia Stefanini
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Taylor Townsend
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Tereza Valentova
Livesport Prague Open - Prague · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Carol Young Suh Lee
Livesport Prague Open - Prague · 2nd Round
Jul 22
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
Livesport Prague Open - Prague · 1st Round
Jul 20
Elise Mertens
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 6
Elena Rybakina
National Bank Open - Toronto · Quarterfinals
Aug 12
Leylah Fernandez
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 10
Elise Mertens
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Panna Udvardy
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Alexandra Eala
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · Semifinals
Aug 1
Elisabetta Cocciaretto
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Karolina Muchova
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 7
Aryna Sabalenka
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 5
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 44–52 matches
| Metric | Bouzkova | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 60% | 73% |
| Sets won | 59% | 67% |
| Games won | 53% | 57% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Bouzkova | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 2 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Bouzkova | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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