Marie Bouzkova vs Naomi OsakaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇨🇿Marie Bouzkova
#28 · 27 yrs · Right-Handed
3 meetings · sets 1–6
🇯🇵Naomi Osaka
#18 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
Marie Bouzkova and Naomi Osaka have met 3 times since 2020; Naomi Osaka leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at Australian Open - Melbourne in 2020 on hard. On hard courts Osaka leads 2–0. Osaka has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Bouzkova has taken 1 sets to Osaka's 6. Their most recent meeting: Naomi Osaka won at Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Bouzkova | Osaka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Marie Bouzkova | Naomi Osaka | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 83% | 25/30 | 67% | 22/33 |
| Wins a set when losing | 27% | 6/22 | 27% | 3/11 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 21% | 11/52 | 32% | 14/44 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 64% | 21/33 | 55% | 18/33 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 35% | 6/17 | 60% | 6/10 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 10/20 | 71% | 10/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 27/30 | 94% | 32/34 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 83% | 25/30 | 65% | 22/34 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Bouzkova 0, Osaka 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Bouzkova
🏹 Frontrunner
Osaka
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🏹 Frontrunner vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 1,247 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
May 10, 2025
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · 3rd Round
Aug 30, 2021
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 1st Round
Jan 20, 2020
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Bouzkova | Osaka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Marie Bouzkova | Naomi Osaka | ||
| 1 or more | 83% | 10/12 | 92% | 12/13 |
| 3 or more | 50% | 6/12 | 77% | 10/13 |
| 5 or more | 8% | 1/12 | 69% | 9/13 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 31% | 4/13 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Bouzkova | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–5 | 9–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.12 | 1.46 |
| ROI % | -15.4% | -14.3% |
| Units P/L | -1.84u | -1.86u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Bouzkova | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 1 |
| Matches | 3 | 3 |
| Distance | 654 mi · 1,053 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | ROU → CZE | ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Osaka has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Bouzkova's 50%).
| Opponent | Bouzkova | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Elise Mertens | L 46 46 | W 63 36 75 |
| Iga Swiatek | L 67 67 | L 26 16 |
| Katerina Siniakova | W 76 63 | W 62 57 61 |
| Elsa Jacquemot | W 62 62 | W 61 75 |
| Iva Jovic | W 76 76 | W 76 67 64 |
| Panna Udvardy | W 67 62 62 | W 62 64 |
| Talia Gibson | W 61 36 62 | L 57 46 |
| Magdalena Frech | L 36 64 36 | W 64 61 |
| Donna Vekic | L 67 36 | W 76 64 |
| Anhelina Kalinina | L 46 36 | W 61 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Clara Tauson
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 1st Round
Oct 12
Qinwen Zheng
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 5
Kimberly Birrell
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Iga Swiatek
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Harriet Dart
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Elsa Jacquemot
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Coco Gauff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Iva Jovic
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 19
Karolina Muchova
China Open - Beijing · 4th Round
Oct 6
Sara Bejlek
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 4
Maria Timofeeva
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Elena Rybakina
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 7
Elise Mertens
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 6
Katerina Siniakova
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Anastasia Zakharova
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Elena Rybakina
National Bank Open - Toronto · Quarterfinals
Aug 12
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 44–52 matches
| Metric | Bouzkova | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 58% | 75% |
| Sets won | 57% | 68% |
| Games won | 53% | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Bouzkova | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 2 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Bouzkova | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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