Maria Timofeeva vs Naomi OsakaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇿Maria Timofeeva
#63 · 22 yrs · Right-Handed
Title1 meeting · sets 1–2
🇯🇵Naomi Osaka
#18 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
Maria Timofeeva and Naomi Osaka have met 1 time since 2026; Naomi Osaka leads 1–0. Across all meetings Timofeeva has taken 1 sets to Osaka's 2. Their most recent meeting: Naomi Osaka won at China Open - Beijing (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Timofeeva | Osaka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Maria Timofeeva | Naomi Osaka | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 80% | 37/46 | 67% | 22/33 |
| Wins a set when losing | 26% | 5/19 | 27% | 3/11 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 22% | 14/65 | 32% | 14/44 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 72% | 28/39 | 55% | 18/33 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 65% | 13/20 | 60% | 6/10 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 60% | 9/15 | 71% | 10/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 93% | 42/45 | 94% | 32/34 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 82% | 37/45 | 65% | 22/34 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Timofeeva 0, Osaka 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Timofeeva
👑 The Complete Package
Osaka
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
👑 The Complete Package vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 4,271 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Oct 2, 2026
China Open - Beijing
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Timofeeva | Osaka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Maria Timofeeva | Naomi Osaka | ||
| 1 or more | 85% | 11/13 | 92% | 12/13 |
| 3 or more | 54% | 7/13 | 77% | 10/13 |
| 5 or more | 15% | 2/13 | 69% | 9/13 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 31% | 4/13 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Timofeeva | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–3 | 9–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.03 | 1.46 |
| ROI % | +33.4% | -14.3% |
| Units P/L | +4.68u | -1.86u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Timofeeva | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 1 |
| Matches | 7 | 3 |
| Distance | 5,859 mi · 9,429 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | EGY → ROU | ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Osaka has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Timofeeva's 50%).
| Opponent | Timofeeva | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Sara Bejlek | L 16 16 | W 76 64 |
| Elise Mertens | L 26 67 | W 63 36 75 |
| Magdalena Frech | L 46 67 | W 64 61 |
| Donna Vekic | W 64 62 | W 76 64 |
| Suzan Lamens | W 62 62 | W 76 36 62 |
| Antonia Ruzic | W 75 64 | W 63 36 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Naomi Osaka
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Darja Vidmanova
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Sep 30
Reese Brantmeier
Eupago Porto Open - Porto · Final
Sep 27
Mia Pohankova
Eupago Porto Open - Porto · Semifinals
Sep 26
Gabriela Andrea Knutson
Eupago Porto Open - Porto · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Kajsa Rinaldo Persson
Eupago Porto Open - Porto · 2nd Round
Sep 23
Sofia Johnson
Eupago Porto Open - Porto · 1st Round
Sep 22
Elise Mertens
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Karolina Muchova
China Open - Beijing · 4th Round
Oct 6
Sara Bejlek
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 4
Maria Timofeeva
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Elena Rybakina
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 7
Elise Mertens
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 6
Katerina Siniakova
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Anastasia Zakharova
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Elena Rybakina
National Bank Open - Toronto · Quarterfinals
Aug 12
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 44–65 matches
| Metric | Timofeeva | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 71% | 75% |
| Sets won | 67% | 68% |
| Games won | 56% | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Timofeeva | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Timofeeva | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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