Maria Sakkari vs Serena WilliamsPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

π¬π·Maria Sakkari
#33 Β· 30 yrs Β· Right-Handed
2 meetings Β· sets 3β3
πΊπΈSerena Williams
Unranked Β· 44 yrs Β· Right-Handed
9wMaria Sakkari and Serena Williams have met 2 times since 2020; they are level 1β1. Their first meeting came at Western & Southern Open - New York in 2020 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1β1. Across all meetings Sakkari has taken 3 sets to Williams's 3. Their most recent meeting: Serena Williams won at U.S. Open - New York (2020).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | Sakkari | Williams | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Maria Sakkari | Serena Williams | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 62% | 13/21 | β | |
| Wins a set when losing | 23% | 5/22 | 100% | 1/1 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 30% | 13/43 | 100% | 1/1 |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 45% | 9/20 | β | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 11/22 | 100% | 1/1 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 38% | 5/13 | 100% | 1/1 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 77% | 17/22 | β | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 59% | 13/22 | β | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample β read with care. Head-to-head: 0 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Sakkari 0, Williams 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sakkari
π€ Servebot
Williams
π₯ Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
π€ Servebot vs π₯ Big Hitter is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 3,090 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Sep 7, 2020
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard Β· 4th Round
Aug 25, 2020
Western & Southern Open - New York
H Hard Β· 3rd Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | Sakkari | Williams |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8β6 | 0β1 |
| Avg odds | 2.26 | 1.93 |
| ROI % | -8.9% | -100.0% |
| Units P/L | -1.25u | -1.00u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Sakkari | Williams |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | β |
| Events | 2 | β |
| Matches | 4 | β |
| Distance | 411 mi Β· 662 km | β |
| Route | CAN β POL | β |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Iga Swiatek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 3rd Round
Aug 17
Kamilla Rakhimova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 2nd Round
Aug 16
Coco Gauff
National Bank Open - Toronto Β· 3rd Round
Aug 8
Zeynep Sonmez
National Bank Open - Toronto Β· 2nd Round
Aug 5
Barbora Krejcikova
Athens Open - Athens Β· Final
Jul 19
Alina Korneeva
Athens Open - Athens Β· Semifinals
Jul 18
Alycia Parks
Athens Open - Athens Β· Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Harriet Dart
Athens Open - Athens Β· 2nd Round
Jul 15
Maya Joint
Wimbledon - London Β· 1st Round
Jun 30
Ajla Tomljanovic
U.S. Open - New York Β· 3rd Round
Sep 2
Anett Kontaveit
U.S. Open - New York Β· 2nd Round
Aug 31
Danka Kovinic
U.S. Open - New York Β· 1st Round
Aug 29
Emma Raducanu
Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati Β· 1st Round
Aug 16
Belinda Bencic
National Bank Open - Toronto Β· 2nd Round
Aug 10
Nuria Parrizas Diaz
National Bank Open - Toronto Β· 1st Round
Aug 8
Harmony Tan
Wimbledon - London Β· 1st Round
Jun 28
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 1β43 matches
| Metric | Sakkari | Williams |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 49% | 0% |
| Sets won | 47% | 33% |
| Games won | 49% | 42% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Sakkari | Williams |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| Other | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Sakkari | Williams |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.