Magdalena Frech vs Naomi OsakaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ต๐ฑMagdalena Frech
#37 ยท 28 yrs ยท Right-Handed
1 meeting ยท sets 0โ2

๐ฏ๐ตNaomi Osaka
#13 ยท 28 yrs ยท Right-Handed
Magdalena Frech and Naomi Osaka have met 1 time since 2026; Naomi Osaka leads 1โ0. Across all meetings Frech has taken 0 sets to Osaka's 2. Their most recent meeting: Naomi Osaka won at Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Frech | Osaka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Magdalena Frech | Naomi Osaka | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 63% | 10/16 | 71% | 22/31 |
| Wins a set when losing | 36% | 8/22 | 33% | 4/12 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 37% | 14/38 | 30% | 13/43 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 46% | 6/13 | 53% | 17/32 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 68% | 17/25 | 67% | 6/9 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 7/14 | 64% | 9/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 75% | 15/20 | 88% | 29/33 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 50% | 10/20 | 67% | 22/33 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Frech 0, Osaka 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Frech
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Osaka
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Magdalena Frech and Naomi Osaka are ๐ฅ Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,096 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jun 22, 2026
Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg
G Grass ยท 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Frech | Osaka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Magdalena Frech | Naomi Osaka | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 10/10 | 100% | 15/15 |
| 3 or more | 70% | 7/10 | 93% | 14/15 |
| 5 or more | 40% | 4/10 | 87% | 13/15 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 7% | 1/15 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Frech | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5โ7 | 12โ3 |
| Avg odds | 3.40 | 1.50 |
| ROI % | -17.8% | +15.1% |
| Units P/L | -2.13u | +2.27u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Frech | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 5 | 5 |
| Distance | 411 mi ยท 662 km | 350 mi ยท 563 km |
| Route | CAN โ POL | AUT โ CAN |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Osaka has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Frech's 40%).
| Opponent | Frech | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Elena Rybakina | L 46 67 | L 64 67 46 |
| Antonia Ruzic | W 62 75 | W 63 36 64 |
| Leylah Fernandez | L 46 63 46 | W 64 64 |
| Alexandra Eala | L 06 63 46 | L 46 26 |
| Elsa Jacquemot | W 64 60 | W 61 75 |
| Eva Lys | L 67 36 | W 64 46 63 |
| Aliaksandra Sasnovich | W 67 64 76 | L 61 46 26 |
| Laura Siegemund | L 46 67 | W 63 76 |
| Talia Gibson | W 76 63 | L 57 46 |
| Linda Noskova | L 76 46 46 | L 67 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Elena Rybakina
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 3rd Round
Aug 17
Jelena Ostapenko
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 15
Antonia Ruzic
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 1st Round
Aug 13
Jessica Pegula
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 2nd Round
Aug 5
Leolia Jeanjean
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 1st Round
Aug 3
Jessica Pegula
Mubadala DC Open - Washington ยท 2nd Round
Jul 30
Ann Li
Mubadala DC Open - Washington ยท 1st Round
Jul 29
Anna Kalinskaya
Wimbledon - London ยท 1st Round
Jun 29
Elena Rybakina
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท Quarterfinals
Aug 12
Leylah Fernandez
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 4th Round
Aug 10
Elise Mertens
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 3rd Round
Aug 8
Panna Udvardy
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 2nd Round
Aug 6
Alexandra Eala
Mubadala DC Open - Washington ยท Semifinals
Aug 1
Elisabetta Cocciaretto
Mubadala DC Open - Washington ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Karolina Muchova
Wimbledon - London ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 7
Aryna Sabalenka
Wimbledon - London ยท 4th Round
Jul 5
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 38โ43 matches
| Metric | Frech | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 42% | 72% |
| Sets won | 44% | 67% |
| Games won | 49% | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Frech | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Frech | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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