Magda Linette vs Naomi OsakaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇵🇱Magda Linette
#78 · 34 yrs · Right-Handed
3 meetings · sets 2–5
🇯🇵Naomi Osaka
#13 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
Magda Linette and Naomi Osaka have met 3 times since 2018; Naomi Osaka leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Washington in 2018 on hard. On hard courts Osaka leads 2–1. Osaka has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Linette has taken 2 sets to Osaka's 5. Their most recent meeting: Naomi Osaka won at Us Open (2019).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Linette | Osaka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Magda Linette | Naomi Osaka | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 33% | 7/21 | 69% | 22/32 |
| Wins a set when losing | 10% | 2/21 | 33% | 4/12 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 16/42 | 32% | 14/44 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 31% | 4/13 | 52% | 17/33 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 43% | 12/28 | 67% | 6/9 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 43% | 3/7 | 64% | 9/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 93% | 14/15 | 88% | 30/34 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 47% | 7/15 | 65% | 22/34 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Linette 0, Osaka 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Linette
🤖 Servebot
Osaka
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 3,090 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Aug 28, 2019
Us Open
H Hard · Round of 64
Jan 15, 2019
Australian Open
H Hard · Round of 128
Aug 2, 2018
Washington
H Hard · Round of 16
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Linette | Osaka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Magda Linette | Naomi Osaka | ||
| 1 or more | 80% | 8/10 | 100% | 16/16 |
| 3 or more | 50% | 5/10 | 88% | 14/16 |
| 5 or more | 20% | 2/10 | 81% | 13/16 |
| 10 or more | 10% | 1/10 | 6% | 1/16 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/16 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/16 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Linette | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–6 | 12–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.47 | 1.66 |
| ROI % | -34.2% | +7.9% |
| Units P/L | -3.42u | +1.27u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Linette | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 3 | 6 |
| Distance | 411 mi · 662 km | 350 mi · 563 km |
| Route | CAN → POL | AUT → CAN |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Osaka has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Linette's 30%).
| Opponent | Linette | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Leylah Fernandez | L 16 46 | W 64 64 |
| Iva Jovic | L 36 57 | W 76 67 64 |
| Alexandra Eala | L 36 67 | L 46 26 |
| Elisabetta Cocciaretto | W 75 26 63 | W 46 64 63 |
| Karolina Muchova | L 16 16 | L 67 46 |
| Xi Yao Wang | W 61 75 | W 63 63 |
| Ekaterina Alexandrova | W 62 46 61 | W 62 62 |
| Iga Swiatek | L 46 46 | L 26 16 |
| Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva | L 75 67 57 | W 75 62 |
| Antonia Ruzic | L 26 36 | W 63 36 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Elena Gabriela Ruse
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Iva Jovic
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Carol Zhao
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 3
Leylah Fernandez
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 27
Mai Hontama
Athens Open - Athens · 1st Round
Jul 13
Mirra Andreeva
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Maja Chwalinska
Boodles Tennis Challenge · -
Jun 26
Barbora Krejcikova
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch · Semifinals
Jun 13
Elena Rybakina
National Bank Open - Toronto · Quarterfinals
Aug 12
Leylah Fernandez
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 10
Elise Mertens
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Panna Udvardy
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Alexandra Eala
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · Semifinals
Aug 1
Elisabetta Cocciaretto
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Karolina Muchova
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 7
Aryna Sabalenka
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 5
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 42–44 matches
| Metric | Linette | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 50% | 73% |
| Sets won | 44% | 67% |
| Games won | 48% | 57% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Linette | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 2 |
| WTA 500 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Linette | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 2 |
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