Magda Linette vs Naomi OsakaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇵🇱Magda Linette
#77 · 34 yrs · Right-Handed
63 meetings · sets 2–5
🇯🇵Naomi Osaka
#18 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
Magda Linette and Naomi Osaka have met 3 times since 2018; Naomi Osaka leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Washington in 2018 on hard. On hard courts Osaka leads 2–1. Osaka has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Linette has taken 2 sets to Osaka's 5. Their most recent meeting: Naomi Osaka won at Us Open (2019).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Linette | Osaka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Magda Linette | Naomi Osaka | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 33% | 7/21 | 67% | 22/33 |
| Wins a set when losing | 17% | 4/23 | 27% | 3/11 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 41% | 18/44 | 32% | 14/44 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 25% | 4/16 | 55% | 18/33 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 44% | 12/27 | 60% | 6/10 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 33% | 3/9 | 71% | 10/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 14/16 | 94% | 32/34 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 44% | 7/16 | 65% | 22/34 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Linette 0, Osaka 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Linette
🤖 Servebot
Osaka
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 3,072 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Aug 28, 2019
Us Open
H Hard · Round of 64
Jan 15, 2019
Australian Open
H Hard · Round of 128
Aug 2, 2018
Washington
H Hard · Round of 16
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Linette | Osaka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Magda Linette | Naomi Osaka | ||
| 1 or more | 75% | 6/8 | 92% | 12/13 |
| 3 or more | 63% | 5/8 | 77% | 10/13 |
| 5 or more | 13% | 1/8 | 69% | 9/13 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 31% | 4/13 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Linette | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 1–7 | 9–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.23 | 1.46 |
| ROI % | -86.6% | -14.3% |
| Units P/L | -6.93u | -1.86u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Linette | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 1 |
| Matches | 3 | 3 |
| Distance | 1,246 mi · 2,005 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | POR → ROU → CZE | ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Osaka has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Linette's 30%).
| Opponent | Linette | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Karolina Muchova | L 16 16 | L 57 61 67 |
| Katerina Siniakova | L 46 36 | W 62 57 61 |
| Leylah Fernandez | L 16 46 | W 64 64 |
| Iva Jovic | L 36 57 | W 76 67 64 |
| Alexandra Eala | L 36 67 | L 46 26 |
| Elisabetta Cocciaretto | W 75 26 63 | W 46 64 63 |
| Ashlyn Krueger | L 16 46 | W |
| Xi Yao Wang | W 61 75 | W 63 63 |
| Ekaterina Alexandrova | W 62 46 61 | W 62 62 |
| Iga Swiatek | L 46 46 | L 26 16 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Sinja Kraus
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 10
Katerina Siniakova
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Darya Astakhova
Korea Open - Seoul · 1st Round
Sep 21
Francesca Jones
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 3
Elena Gabriela Ruse
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Iva Jovic
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Carol Zhao
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 3
Leylah Fernandez
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 27
Karolina Muchova
China Open - Beijing · 4th Round
Oct 6
Sara Bejlek
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 4
Maria Timofeeva
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Elena Rybakina
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 7
Elise Mertens
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 6
Katerina Siniakova
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Anastasia Zakharova
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Elena Rybakina
National Bank Open - Toronto · Quarterfinals
Aug 12
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 44–44 matches
| Metric | Linette | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 48% | 75% |
| Sets won | 43% | 68% |
| Games won | 48% | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Linette | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 2 |
| WTA 500 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Linette | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 2 |
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