Madison Keys vs Victoria MbokoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇸Madison Keys
#23 · 31 yrs · Right-Handed
2 meetings · sets 3–3
🇨🇦Victoria Mboko
#15 · 19 yrs · Right-Handed
13wMadison Keys and Victoria Mboko have met 2 times since 2026; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at Adelaide International - Adelaide in 2026 on hard. Across all meetings Keys has taken 3 sets to Mboko's 3. Their most recent meeting: Madison Keys won at French Open - Paris (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Keys | Mboko | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Madison Keys | Victoria Mboko | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 24/32 | 56% | 18/32 |
| Wins a set when losing | 53% | 8/15 | 23% | 3/13 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 34% | 16/47 | 38% | 17/45 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 59% | 22/37 | 48% | 16/33 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 38% | 3/8 | 55% | 6/11 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 45% | 5/11 | 43% | 6/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 25/30 | 100% | 26/26 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 80% | 24/30 | 69% | 18/26 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Keys 0, Mboko 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Keys
💥 Big Hitter
Mboko
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Madison Keys and Victoria Mboko are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,096 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
May 30, 2026
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 3rd Round
Jan 15, 2026
Adelaide International - Adelaide
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Keys | Mboko |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 13–6 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.44 | - |
| ROI % | -10.3% | - |
| Units P/L | -1.95u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Keys | Mboko |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 6 | — |
| Distance | 411 mi · 662 km | — |
| Route | CAN → POL | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 7 shared opponents, both Keys and Mboko posted a 71% win rate.
| Opponent | Keys | Mboko |
|---|---|---|
| Katerina Siniakova | W 61 63 | W 57 64 62 |
| Amanda Anisimova | W 36 62 63 | W 64 61 |
| Talia Gibson | W 64 64 | W 67 61 64 |
| Karolina Muchova | W 64 75 | L 57 67 |
| Nikola Bartunkova | L 36 61 46 | W 61 62 |
| Anastasia Zakharova | W 64 61 | W 61 75 |
| Aryna Sabalenka | L 36 36 | L 67 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Sara Bejlek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Xiyu Wang
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Katerina Siniakova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Daria Snigur
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Marta Kostyuk
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Antonia Ruzic
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Liudmila Samsonova
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Linda Noskova
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 6
Madison Keys
French Open - Paris · 3rd Round
May 30
Katerina Siniakova
French Open - Paris · 2nd Round
May 28
Nikola Bartunkova
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 26
Emma Navarro
Internationaux de Strasbourg - Strasbourg · Final
May 23
Jaqueline Cristian
Internationaux de Strasbourg - Strasbourg · Semifinals
May 22
Leylah Fernandez
Internationaux de Strasbourg - Strasbourg · Quarterfinals
May 21
Lois Boisson
Internationaux de Strasbourg - Strasbourg · 2nd Round
May 19
Caty Mcnally
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid · 2nd Round
Apr 24
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 45–47 matches
| Metric | Keys | Mboko |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 68% | 71% |
| Sets won | 65% | 63% |
| Games won | 56% | 55% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Keys | Mboko |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 500 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Keys | Mboko |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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