Madison Keys vs Victoria AzarenkaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇸Madison Keys
#23 · 31 yrs · Right-Handed
4 meetings · sets 4–6
🇧🇾Victoria Azarenka
#452 · 36 yrs · Right-Handed
52wMadison Keys and Victoria Azarenka have met 4 times since 2021; Victoria Azarenka leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at French Open - Paris in 2021 on clay. On hard courts Azarenka leads 2–1. Across all meetings Keys has taken 4 sets to Azarenka's 6. Their most recent meeting: Madison Keys won at Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Keys | Azarenka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Madison Keys | Victoria Azarenka | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 24/32 | — | |
| Wins a set when losing | 53% | 8/15 | — | |
| Goes to a deciding set | 34% | 16/47 | — | |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 59% | 22/37 | — | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 38% | 3/8 | — | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 45% | 5/11 | — | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 25/30 | — | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 80% | 24/30 | — | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 2 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Keys 1, Azarenka 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Keys
💥 Big Hitter
Azarenka
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 👑 The Complete Package is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 3,896 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Feb 22, 2023
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai
H Hard · 3rd Round
Jan 20, 2023
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 3rd Round
Oct 20, 2022
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara
H Hard · 3rd Round
Jun 4, 2021
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 3rd Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Keys | Azarenka |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 13–6 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.44 | - |
| ROI % | -10.3% | - |
| Units P/L | -1.95u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Keys | Azarenka |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 6 | — |
| Distance | 411 mi · 662 km | — |
| Route | CAN → POL | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Sara Bejlek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Xiyu Wang
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Katerina Siniakova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Daria Snigur
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Marta Kostyuk
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Antonia Ruzic
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Liudmila Samsonova
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Linda Noskova
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 6
Jessica Pegula
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Aug 29
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Hina Inoue
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 24
Anastasia Zakharova
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jul 1
Iga Swiatek
Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg · 2nd Round
Jun 24
Laura Siegemund
Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg · 1st Round
Jun 23
Sofia Kenin
French Open - Paris · 2nd Round
May 29
Yanina Wickmayer
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 27
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 47–47 matches
| Metric | Keys | Azarenka |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 68% | - |
| Sets won | 65% | - |
| Games won | 56% | - |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Keys | Azarenka |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 2 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Keys | Azarenka |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 2 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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