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Head-to-Head

Madison Keys vs Shuai ZhangPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

Madison Keys

🇺🇸Madison Keys

#20 · 31 yrs · Right-Handed

5w
1–3

4 meetings · sets 3–6

Shuai Zhang

🇨🇳Shuai Zhang

#81 · 37 yrs · Right-Handed

6w3

Madison Keys and Shuai Zhang have met 4 times since 2016; Shuai Zhang leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Australian Open in 2016 on hard. On hard courts Zhang leads 2–1. Across all meetings Keys has taken 3 sets to Zhang's 6. Their most recent meeting: Madison Keys won at Mubadala Silicon Valley Classic - San Jose (2022).

Spread & Straight-Sets Form

Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months

IndicatorKeysZhang
Wins in straight sets74%70%
Wins a set when losing56%30%
Goes to a deciding set36%30%
Covers −1.5 sets as favorite57%47%
Covers +1.5 sets as underdog38%41%
Tiebreak sets won46%75%
Wins after taking set 181%91%
Wins 2-0 after taking set 178%72%

Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Keys 1, Zhang 2).

Style Matchup

Playing styles and historical archetype record

Keys

💥 Big Hitter

Power groundstrokesHigh winner countAggressive shotsShort rallies
vs

Zhang

🎯 Baseliner

Precise groundstrokesCourt controlPatient constructionConsistent depth

Matchup analysis

The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 56% vs 🎯 Baseliner across 404 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Madison Keys.

Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the baseliner's precise groundstrokes.

Previous meetings

4 career meetings, newest first

Aug 1, 2022

Mubadala Silicon Valley Classic - San Jose

H Hard · 1st Round

64
62
Keys

Aug 4, 2021

Mubadala Silicon Valley Classic - San Jose

H Hard · 2nd Round

57
657
Zhang

Sep 28, 2020

French Open - Paris

C Clay · 1st Round

36
627
Zhang

Jan 21, 2016

Australian Open

H Hard · Round of 16

63
36
36
Zhang

Prop Research

Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days

OutcomeKeysZhang
1 or more100%17%
3 or more70%0%
5 or more50%0%
10 or more20%0%
15 or more0%0%
20 or more0%0%

Player ROI

Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days

MetricKeysZhang
W-L6–42–5
Avg odds1.403.35
ROI %-24.8%-32.4%
Units P/L-2.48u-2.27u

Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.

Common opponents

Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months

Keys has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Zhang's 40%).

OpponentKeysZhang
Kayla Day
W
67
64
63
W
26
62
62
Aryna Sabalenka
L
36
36
L
36
46
Linda Noskova
L
46
67
L
75
16
46
Karolina Muchova
W
64
75
L
36
26
Talia Gibson
W
64
64
L
16
46
Elena Gabriela Ruse
W
60
63
L
57
46
Diane Parry
L
W
62
75
Yuliia Starodubtseva
W
16
62
63
L
26
16
Anastasia Zakharova
W
64
61
W
64
61
Fiona Ferro
W
64
62
W
62
36
64

Recent Form

Last five matches per player

Keys
LWWLWWWL
L

Qinwen Zheng

U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round

61
637
57

Sep 5

W

Anna Bondar

U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round

57
64
765

Sep 3

W

Alina Korneeva

U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round

75
64

Sep 1

L

Sara Bejlek

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals

63
46
657

Aug 21

W

Xiyu Wang

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round

763
64

Aug 20

W

Katerina Siniakova

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round

61
63

Aug 18

W

Daria Snigur

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round

46
63
63

Aug 16

L

Marta Kostyuk

National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round

36
16

Aug 7

Zhang
LLLWLWWL
L

Leylah Fernandez

U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round

36
26

Aug 30

L

Maria Timofeeva

Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · 1st Round

16
36

Aug 26

L

Ann Li

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round

57
36

Aug 16

W

Kayla Day

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round

26
62
62

Aug 15

L

Aryna Sabalenka

National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round

36
46

Aug 7

W

Jelena Ostapenko

National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round

Aug 4

W

Yulia Putintseva

National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round

64
61

Aug 3

L

Gabriela Andrea Knutson

Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round Qualifying

46
61
16

Jul 25

Rivalry momentum

Cumulative head-to-head lead over time

↑ KeysZhang ahead↓ Zhang

Win rate

Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 50–63 matches

MetricKeysZhang
Matches won68%52%
Sets won65%52%
Games won56%51%

Record by tier

Head-to-head record by tournament tier

StageKeysZhang
Grand Slam02
WTA 50011

By surface

Head-to-head record per surface

SurfaceKeysZhang
Hard12
Clay01

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Madison Keys vs Shuai Zhang FAQ

Shuai Zhang leads the head-to-head 3–1 over 4 meetings.