Head-to-Head

Madison Keys vs Shuai ZhangPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

🇺🇸Madison Keys

#23 · 31 yrs · Right-Handed

1–3

4 meetings · sets 3–6

🇨🇳Shuai Zhang

#53 · 37 yrs · Right-Handed

4Beat 4 favorites

Madison Keys and Shuai Zhang have met 4 times since 2016; Shuai Zhang leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Australian Open in 2016 on hard. On hard courts Zhang leads 2–1. Across all meetings Keys has taken 3 sets to Zhang's 6. Their most recent meeting: Madison Keys won at Mubadala Silicon Valley Classic - San Jose (2022).

Spread & Straight-Sets Form

Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months

Indicator	Keys	Zhang
Indicator	Madison Keys		Shuai Zhang
Wins in straight sets	75%	24/32	67%	22/33
Wins a set when losing	53%	8/15	27%	7/26
Goes to a deciding set	34%	16/47	31%	18/59
Covers −1.5 sets as favorite	59%	22/37	50%	14/28
Covers +1.5 sets as underdog	38%	3/8	45%	13/29
Tiebreak sets won	45%	5/11	67%	6/9
Wins after taking set 1	83%	25/30	90%	28/31
Wins 2-0 after taking set 1	80%	24/30	71%	22/31

Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Keys 1, Zhang 2).

Style Matchup

Playing styles and historical archetype record

Keys

💥 Big Hitter

Power groundstrokesHigh winner countAggressive shotsShort rallies

Zhang

🎯 Baseliner

Precise groundstrokesCourt controlPatient constructionConsistent depth

Matchup analysis

The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 54% vs 🎯 Baseliner across 330 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Madison Keys.

Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the baseliner's precise groundstrokes.

Previous meetings

4 career meetings, newest first

Aug 1, 2022

Mubadala Silicon Valley Classic - San Jose

H Hard · 1st Round

Keys

Aug 4, 2021

Mubadala Silicon Valley Classic - San Jose

H Hard · 2nd Round

6⁵7

Zhang

Sep 28, 2020

French Open - Paris

C Clay · 1st Round

6²7

Zhang

Jan 21, 2016

Australian Open

H Hard · Round of 16

Zhang

Prop Research

Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days

Outcome	Keys	Zhang
Outcome	Madison Keys		Shuai Zhang
1 or more	100%	19/19	56%	5/9
3 or more	68%	13/19	11%	1/9
5 or more	37%	7/19	0%	0/9
10 or more	16%	3/19	0%	0/9
15 or more	0%	0/19	0%	0/9
20 or more	0%	0/19	0%	0/9

Player ROI

Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days

Metric	Keys	Zhang
W-L	13–6	6–7
Avg odds	1.44	3.16
ROI %	-10.3%	-9.2%
Units P/L	-1.95u	-1.19u

Travel

Last 30 days

Metric	Keys	Zhang
Countries	2	3
Events	2	3
Matches	6	5
Distance	411 mi · 662 km	1,715 mi · 2,760 km
Route	CAN → POL	CAN → POL → AUT

Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.

Common opponents

Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months

Keys has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Zhang's 40%).

Opponent	Keys	Zhang
Kayla Day	W 67 64 63	W 26 62 62
Aryna Sabalenka	L 36 36	L 36 46
Linda Noskova	L 46 67	L 75 16 46
Amanda Anisimova	W 36 62 63	L 67 06
Karolina Muchova	W 64 75	L 36 26
Elena Gabriela Ruse	W 60 63	L 57 46
Xi Yao Wang	W 76 61	W 64 62
Diane Parry	W 64 63	W 62 75
Yuliia Starodubtseva	W 16 62 63	L 26 16
Anastasia Zakharova	W 64 61	W 64 61

Recent Form

Last five matches per player

Keys

LWWWLWLL

Sara Bejlek

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals

6⁵7

Aug 21

Xiyu Wang

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round

76³

Aug 20

Katerina Siniakova

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round

Aug 18

Daria Snigur

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round

Aug 16

Marta Kostyuk

National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round

Aug 7

Antonia Ruzic

National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round

Aug 4

Liudmila Samsonova

Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round

Jul 28

Linda Noskova

Wimbledon - London · 4th Round

6²7

Jul 6

Zhang

LLWLWLWL

Maria Timofeeva

Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · 1st Round

Aug 26

Ann Li

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round

Aug 16

Kayla Day

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round

Aug 15

Aryna Sabalenka

National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round

Aug 7

Yulia Putintseva

National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round

Aug 3

Karolina Muchova

Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round

Jul 1

Bianca Andreescu

Wimbledon - London · 1st Round

76³

76⁶

Jun 29

Elena Gabriela Ruse

Bad Homburg WTA

Jun 20

Rivalry momentum

Cumulative head-to-head lead over time

↑ KeysZhang ahead↓ Zhang

Win rate

Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 47–59 matches

Metric	Keys	Zhang
Matches won	68%	56%
Sets won	65%	54%
Games won	56%	51%

Record by tier

Head-to-head record by tournament tier

Stage	Keys	Zhang
Grand Slam	0	2
WTA 500	1	1

By surface

Head-to-head record per surface

Surface	Keys	Zhang
Hard	1	2
Clay	0	1

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Madison Keys vs Shuai Zhang FAQ

Shuai Zhang leads the head-to-head 3–1 over 4 meetings.

Spread & Straight-Sets Form

Style Matchup

Previous meetings

Prop Research

Player ROI

Travel

Common opponents

Recent Form

Rivalry momentum

Win rate

Record by tier

By surface

More Keys rivalries

More Zhang rivalries

Madison Keys vs Shuai Zhang FAQ

Who leads the Madison Keys vs Shuai Zhang head-to-head?

Who won the last Madison Keys vs Shuai Zhang match?

How many times have Madison Keys and Shuai Zhang played?

Who leads the Madison Keys vs Shuai Zhang head-to-head on hard courts?

When did Madison Keys and Shuai Zhang last play each other?