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Head-to-Head

Mackenzie McDonald vs Taylor FritzPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

Mackenzie McDonald

🇺🇸Mackenzie McDonald

#169 · 31 yrs · R

3
2–3

5 meetings · sets 5–7

Taylor Fritz

🇺🇸Taylor Fritz

#12 · 28 yrs · R

Mackenzie McDonald and Taylor Fritz have met 5 times since 2015; Taylor Fritz leads 3–2. Their first meeting came at Champaign in 2015 on hard. On hard courts Fritz leads 3–1. Across all meetings McDonald has taken 5 sets to Fritz's 7. Their most recent meeting: Mackenzie McDonald won at Rothesay International - Eastbourne (2023).

Spread & Straight-Sets Form

Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months

IndicatorMcDonaldFritz
Wins in straight sets65%55%
Wins a set when losing32%42%
Goes to a deciding set33%44%
Covers −1.5 sets as favorite42%35%
Covers +1.5 sets as underdog37%80%
Tiebreak sets won24%60%
Wins after taking set 174%85%
Wins 2-0 after taking set 168%59%

Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (McDonald 1, Fritz 2).

Style Matchup

Playing styles and historical archetype record

McDonald

⚙️ Grinder

Relentless consistencyDeep court positioningHigh rally toleranceMental fortitude
vs

Fritz

🤖 Servebot

High ace rateDominant serviceWeaker returnBig first serve

Matchup analysis

The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 56% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 720 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Taylor Fritz.

Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.

Previous meetings

5 career meetings, newest first

Jun 28, 2023

Rothesay International - Eastbourne

G Grass · 2nd Round

763
768
McDonald

Feb 18, 2023

Delray Beach Open - Delray Beach

H Hard · Semifinals

36
667
Fritz

Feb 10, 2019

Delray Beach

H Hard · Round of 32

36
64
63
McDonald

Nov 9, 2017

Knoxville

H Hard · Round of 32

46
36
Fritz

Nov 18, 2015

Champaign

H Hard · Semifinals

7764
26
26
Fritz

Prop Research

Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days

OutcomeMcDonaldFritz
1 or more86%100%
3 or more57%100%
5 or more57%88%
10 or more0%50%
15 or more0%13%
20 or more0%6%

Player ROI

Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days

MetricMcDonaldFritz
W-L3–711–5
Avg odds2.211.44
ROI %-56.3%-11.1%
Units P/L-5.63u-1.78u

Travel

Last 30 days

MetricMcDonaldFritz
Countries13
Events13
Matches13
Distance0 mi · 0 km7,032 mi · 11,317 km
RoutePORGBR → JPN → CHN

Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.

Common opponents

Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months

Fritz has a higher win rate against shared opponents (78% vs McDonald's 22%).

OpponentMcDonaldFritz
Matteo Arnaldi
W
60
61
W
75
64
Jacob Fearnley
L
46
57
W
63
67
61
Christopher O'Connell
W
63
64
64
W
64
63
Alex Michelsen
L
46
57
W
63
64
Thiago Agustin Tirante
L
26
06
L
57
36
Patrick Kypson
L
63
16
46
46
W
62
62
75
Martin Landaluce
L
36
46
W
67
75
76
Sebastian Korda
L
46
57
W
67
64
76
Alex de Minaur
L
26
26
36
L
67
36

Recent Form

Last five matches per player

McDonald
LLLWWLLL
L

Ryan Nijboer

Braga Challenger · 1st Round

16
64
36

Oct 7

L

Toby Samuel

Porto Challenger · 1st Round

57
16

Sep 29

L

Dalibor Svrcina

U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round Qualifying

64
26
57

Aug 28

W

Thiago Seyboth Wild

U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying

64
64

Aug 26

W

Stefano Napolitano

U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying

64
75

Aug 25

L

Jacob Fearnley

Quebec City Challenger · 1st Round

46
57

Aug 20

L

Yibing Wu

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round Qualifying

677
61
57

Aug 11

L

Alex Michelsen

Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round

46
57

Jul 28

Fritz
WLLLWWLW
W

Matteo Arnaldi

Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round

75
64

Oct 10

L

Jaume Munar

Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round

767
46
36

Oct 1

L

Carlos Alcaraz

Laver Cup - London · Round Robin

36
64
1113

Sep 26

L

Francisco Cerundolo

U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round

63
64
36
46
46

Sep 5

W

Mattia Bellucci

U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round

60
61
61

Sep 3

W

Darwin Blanch

U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round

63
62
64

Sep 1

L

Brandon Nakashima

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals

697
64
36

Aug 21

W

Christopher O'Connell

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round

64
63

Aug 20

Rivalry momentum

Cumulative head-to-head lead over time

↑ McDonaldFritz ahead↓ Fritz

Win rate

Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 51–61 matches

MetricMcDonaldFritz
Matches won41%62%
Sets won43%59%
Games won49%52%

Record by tier

Head-to-head record by tournament tier

StageMcDonaldFritz
ATP 25021
ATP Challenger Tour02

By surface

Head-to-head record per surface

SurfaceMcDonaldFritz
Hard13
Grass10

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Mackenzie McDonald vs Taylor Fritz FAQ

Taylor Fritz leads the head-to-head 3–2 over 5 meetings.