Mackenzie McDonald vs Taylor FritzPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Mackenzie McDonald and Taylor Fritz have met 5 times since 2015; Taylor Fritz leads 3–2. Their first meeting came at Champaign in 2015 on hard. On hard courts Fritz leads 3–1. Across all meetings McDonald has taken 5 sets to Fritz's 7. Their most recent meeting: Mackenzie McDonald won at Rothesay International - Eastbourne (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | McDonald | Fritz | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Mackenzie McDonald | Taylor Fritz | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 17/25 | 56% | 20/36 |
| Wins a set when losing | 24% | 6/25 | 35% | 7/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 28% | 14/50 | 41% | 23/56 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 15/30 | 36% | 18/50 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 29% | 5/17 | 67% | 4/6 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 41% | 7/17 | 63% | 22/35 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 87% | 20/23 | 90% | 28/31 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 17/23 | 65% | 20/31 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (McDonald 1, Fritz 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
McDonald
⚙️ Grinder
Fritz
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 56% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 1,470 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Taylor Fritz.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Jun 28, 2023
Rothesay International - Eastbourne
G Grass · 2nd Round
Feb 18, 2023
Delray Beach Open - Delray Beach
H Hard · Semifinals
Feb 10, 2019
Delray Beach
H Hard · Round of 32
Nov 9, 2017
Knoxville
H Hard · Round of 32
Nov 18, 2015
Champaign
H Hard · Semifinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | McDonald | Fritz | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Mackenzie McDonald | Taylor Fritz | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 8/8 | 100% | 24/24 |
| 3 or more | 50% | 4/8 | 100% | 24/24 |
| 5 or more | 38% | 3/8 | 96% | 23/24 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 79% | 19/24 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 42% | 10/24 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 17% | 4/24 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | McDonald | Fritz |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–6 | 19–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.96 | 1.44 |
| ROI % | -24.7% | +11.1% |
| Units P/L | -2.72u | +2.67u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | McDonald | Fritz |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 3 |
| Matches | 1 | 8 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 1,200 mi · 1,932 km |
| Route | CAN | USA → CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Fritz has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs McDonald's 40%).
| Opponent | McDonald | Fritz |
|---|---|---|
| Jacob Fearnley | L 46 57 | W 63 67 61 |
| Christopher O'Connell | W 63 64 64 | W 64 63 |
| Alex Michelsen | L 46 57 | W 63 64 |
| Thiago Agustin Tirante | L 26 06 | L 57 36 |
| Patrick Kypson | L 63 16 46 46 | W 62 62 75 |
| Martin Landaluce | W 36 62 75 | W 67 75 76 |
| Jenson Brooksby | W 64 62 | W 64 63 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | W 64 36 63 | W 63 67 63 |
| Sebastian Korda | L 46 57 | W 67 64 76 |
| Alex de Minaur | L 26 26 36 | L 67 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Jacob Fearnley
Quebec City Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 20
Alex Michelsen
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Adam Walton
Newport Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 8
Patrick Kypson
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Roberto Carballes Baena
Wimbledon · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 29
Felipe Meligeni Alves
Wimbledon · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 29
Christopher O'Connell
Wimbledon · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jun 25
Shintaro Mochizuki
Nottingham 2 Challenger · 2nd Round
Jun 16
Brandon Nakashima
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Christopher O'Connell
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Daniel Merida Aguilar
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Alex Michelsen
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Thiago Agustin Tirante
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Rafael Jodar
Citi Open - Washington · Final
Aug 3
Brandon Nakashima
Citi Open - Washington · Semifinals
Aug 1
Alex Michelsen
Citi Open - Washington · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 53–68 matches
| Metric | McDonald | Fritz |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 49% | 65% |
| Sets won | 48% | 60% |
| Games won | 50% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | McDonald | Fritz |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 1 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | McDonald | Fritz |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 3 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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