Mackenzie McDonald vs Mitchell KruegerPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Mackenzie McDonald and Mitchell Krueger have met 6 times since 2015; Mackenzie McDonald leads 4–2. Their first meeting came at Champaign in 2015 on hard. On hard courts McDonald leads 3–2. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Krueger leading those 1–0. Across all meetings McDonald has taken 9 sets to Krueger's 4. Their most recent meeting: Mackenzie McDonald won at Nonthaburi 4 Challenger (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | McDonald | Krueger | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Mackenzie McDonald | Mitchell Krueger | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 17/25 | 52% | 11/21 |
| Wins a set when losing | 24% | 6/25 | 36% | 9/25 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 28% | 14/50 | 41% | 19/46 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 15/30 | 36% | 10/28 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 29% | 5/17 | 41% | 7/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 41% | 7/17 | 22% | 5/23 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 87% | 20/23 | 84% | 16/19 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 17/23 | 58% | 11/19 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 5 of 6 completed meetings ended in straight sets (McDonald 4, Krueger 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
McDonald
⚙️ Grinder
Krueger
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
⚙️ Grinder vs 🏹 Frontrunner is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 279 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
6 career meetings, newest first
Sep 26, 2024
Nonthaburi 4 Challenger
H Hard · 2nd Round
Feb 10, 2019
Dallas
H Hard · Final
Jan 12, 2019
Newport Beach
H Hard · Round of 32
Jun 6, 2017
Surbiton
G Grass · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jul 13, 2016
Lexington
H Hard · Round of 32
Nov 15, 2015
Champaign
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | McDonald | Krueger | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Mackenzie McDonald | Mitchell Krueger | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 8/8 | 100% | 6/6 |
| 3 or more | 50% | 4/8 | 83% | 5/6 |
| 5 or more | 38% | 3/8 | 33% | 2/6 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/6 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | McDonald | Krueger |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–6 | 4–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.96 | 1.55 |
| ROI % | -24.7% | -44.9% |
| Units P/L | -2.72u | -4.04u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | McDonald | Krueger |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 1 |
| Matches | 1 | 1 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | CAN | JAM |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Jacob Fearnley
Quebec City Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 20
Alex Michelsen
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Adam Walton
Newport Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 8
Patrick Kypson
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Roberto Carballes Baena
Wimbledon · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 29
Felipe Meligeni Alves
Wimbledon · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 29
Christopher O'Connell
Wimbledon · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jun 25
Shintaro Mochizuki
Nottingham 2 Challenger · 2nd Round
Jun 16
Mario Gonzalez Fernandez
Kingston 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 25
Alex Martinez
Lincoln Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 13
Gavin Young
Futures 2026
Jul 10
Gavin Young
M25 Dallas · Quarterfinals
Jul 10
Oliver Okonkwo
M25 Dallas · 2nd Round
Jul 9
Ivan Mitric
Futures 2026
Jul 8
Aleksandar Mitric
M25 Dallas · 1st Round
Jul 8
Dhakshineswar Suresh
Cary challenger
Jun 28
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 46–53 matches
| Metric | McDonald | Krueger |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 49% | 46% |
| Sets won | 48% | 46% |
| Games won | 50% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | McDonald | Krueger |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 4 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | McDonald | Krueger |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 2 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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