Mackenzie McDonald vs Mitchell KruegerPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Mackenzie McDonald and Mitchell Krueger have met 6 times since 2015; Mackenzie McDonald leads 4–2. Their first meeting came at Champaign in 2015 on hard. On hard courts McDonald leads 3–2. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Krueger leading those 1–0. Across all meetings McDonald has taken 9 sets to Krueger's 4. Their most recent meeting: Mackenzie McDonald won at Nonthaburi 4 Challenger (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | McDonald | Krueger | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Mackenzie McDonald | Mitchell Krueger | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 65% | 13/20 | 50% | 11/22 |
| Wins a set when losing | 32% | 9/28 | 35% | 9/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 16/48 | 42% | 20/48 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 42% | 11/26 | 36% | 9/25 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 37% | 7/19 | 50% | 11/22 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 24% | 4/17 | 31% | 8/26 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 74% | 14/19 | 81% | 17/21 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 68% | 13/19 | 52% | 11/21 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 5 of 6 completed meetings ended in straight sets (McDonald 4, Krueger 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
McDonald
⚙️ Grinder
Krueger
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 55% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 682 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Mitchell Krueger.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
6 career meetings, newest first
Sep 26, 2024
Nonthaburi 4 Challenger
H Hard · 2nd Round
Feb 10, 2019
Dallas
H Hard · Final
Jan 12, 2019
Newport Beach
H Hard · Round of 32
Jun 6, 2017
Surbiton
G Grass · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jul 13, 2016
Lexington
H Hard · Round of 32
Nov 15, 2015
Champaign
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | McDonald | Krueger | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Mackenzie McDonald | Mitchell Krueger | ||
| 1 or more | 86% | 6/7 | 100% | 9/9 |
| 3 or more | 57% | 4/7 | 89% | 8/9 |
| 5 or more | 57% | 4/7 | 33% | 3/9 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/9 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | McDonald | Krueger |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–7 | 5–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.21 | 2.61 |
| ROI % | -56.3% | +17.0% |
| Units P/L | -5.63u | +1.53u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | McDonald | Krueger |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 3 |
| Matches | 1 | 8 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 2,418 mi · 3,891 km |
| Route | POR | USA |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Krueger has a higher win rate against shared opponents (25% vs McDonald's 0%).
| Opponent | McDonald | Krueger |
|---|---|---|
| Toby Samuel | L 57 16 | W 64 64 |
| Dalibor Svrcina | L 64 26 57 | L 67 46 |
| Yibing Wu | L 67 61 57 | L 57 46 |
| Liam Draxl | L 63 67 26 | L 36 61 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Ryan Nijboer
Braga Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 7
Toby Samuel
Porto Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Dalibor Svrcina
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 28
Thiago Seyboth Wild
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Stefano Napolitano
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Jacob Fearnley
Quebec City Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 20
Yibing Wu
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 11
Alex Michelsen
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Abedallah Shelbayh
Columbus Challenger · Semifinals
Oct 3
Keegan Smith
Columbus Challenger · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Stefan Kozlov
Columbus Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Tyler Zink
Columbus Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 28
Sebastian Gorzny
San Diego 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Michael Zheng
Tiburon Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Ryan Seggerman
Tiburon Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Keegan Smith
Tiburon Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 15
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 48–51 matches
| Metric | McDonald | Krueger |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 41% | 46% |
| Sets won | 43% | 46% |
| Games won | 49% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | McDonald | Krueger |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 4 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | McDonald | Krueger |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 2 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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