Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes vs Rio NoguchiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes and Rio Noguchi have met 1 time since 2026; Rio Noguchi leads 1–0. Across all meetings Valdes has taken 1 sets to Noguchi's 2. Their most recent meeting: Rio Noguchi won at Cancun Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Carlos Alvarez Valdes | Noguchi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes | Rio Noguchi | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 5/7 | 59% | 22/37 |
| Wins a set when losing | 67% | 4/6 | 33% | 10/30 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 46% | 6/13 | 37% | 25/67 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 2/4 | 39% | 13/33 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 75% | 3/4 | 65% | 20/31 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 0% | 0/3 | 37% | 7/19 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 78% | 7/9 | 82% | 27/33 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 56% | 5/9 | 67% | 22/33 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Carlos Alvarez Valdes 0, Noguchi 0).
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 18, 2026
Cancun Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Valdes | Noguchi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes | Rio Noguchi | ||
| 1 or more | 43% | 3/7 | 62% | 8/13 |
| 3 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 8% | 1/13 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Valdes | Noguchi |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–4 | 7–8 |
| Avg odds | 1.89 | 2.06 |
| ROI % | -43.7% | -35.1% |
| Units P/L | -3.06u | -5.26u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Valdes | Noguchi |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 3 |
| Matches | 1 | 5 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 754 mi · 1,213 km |
| Route | ITA | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alessandro Spadola
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Giorgio Tabacco
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · 1st Round
Oct 6
Svyatoslav Gulin
Bari Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 27
Rio Noguchi
Cancun Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 18
Karl Poling
M25 East Lansing · Final
Aug 16
Max Sheldon
M25 East Lansing · Semifinals
Aug 15
Tyler Bowers
M25 East Lansing · Quarterfinals
Aug 14
Noah Zamora
M25 East Lansing · 2nd Round
Aug 13
Alexandre Muller
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Dalibor Svrcina
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 23
Masamichi Imamura
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 22
Pavel Kotov
Guangzhou Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Colin Sinclair
Guangzhou Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 16
Kaichi Uchida
Guangzhou Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 14
Omar Jasika
Shanghai Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 9
Rigele Te
Shanghai Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 7
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 13–67 matches
| Metric | Valdes | Noguchi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 54% | 55% |
| Sets won | 56% | 53% |
| Games won | 54% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Valdes | Noguchi |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Valdes | Noguchi |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.