Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi vs Matheus Pucinelli De AlmeidaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
๐ฆ๐ทLuciano Emanuel Ambrogi
#320 ยท 22 yrs ยท R
3 meetings ยท sets 2โ6

๐ง๐ทMatheus Pucinelli De Almeida
#254 ยท 25 yrs ยท R
4Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi and Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida have met 3 times since 2024; Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida leads 3โ0. Their first meeting came at Villa Maria Challenger in 2024 on clay. On clay courts Almeida leads 3โ0. Almeida has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Ambrogi has taken 2 sets to Almeida's 6. Their most recent meeting: Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida won at Piracicaba Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Emanuel Ambrogi | Pucinelli De Almeida | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 73% | 33/45 | 72% | 31/43 |
| Wins a set when losing | 41% | 12/29 | 48% | 12/25 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 32% | 24/74 | 35% | 24/68 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 43% | 9/21 | 45% | 18/40 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 61% | 11/18 | 77% | 10/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 38% | 6/16 | 37% | 7/19 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 40/47 | 84% | 38/45 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 70% | 33/47 | 69% | 31/45 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Emanuel Ambrogi 0, Pucinelli De Almeida 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ambrogi
โ๏ธ The Gladiator
Almeida
โ๏ธ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
Both Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi and Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida are โ๏ธ The Gladiator types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 1,488 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jun 22, 2026
Piracicaba Challenger
C Clay ยท 1st Round
Jun 11, 2025
Santa Fe Challenger
C Clay ยท 2nd Round
Oct 10, 2024
Villa Maria Challenger
C Clay ยท 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Ambrogi | Almeida | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida | ||
| 1 or more | 86% | 12/14 | 82% | 23/28 |
| 3 or more | 43% | 6/14 | 36% | 10/28 |
| 5 or more | 36% | 5/14 | 11% | 3/28 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/28 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/28 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/28 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Ambrogi | Almeida |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6โ4 | 16โ6 |
| Avg odds | 1.83 | 1.75 |
| ROI % | -3.6% | +11.1% |
| Units P/L | -0.36u | +2.45u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Ambrogi | Almeida |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 3 |
| Matches | 2 | 7 |
| Distance | 0 mi ยท 0 km | 454 mi ยท 731 km |
| Route | ITA | GER โ GBR |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Almeida has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Ambrogi's 50%).
| Opponent | Ambrogi | Almeida |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Barrena | L 26 36 | L 61 67 46 |
| Nicolas Kicker | L 26 46 | L 46 63 46 |
| Hernan Casanova | L 67 26 | W 57 63 62 |
| Eduardo Ribeiro | L 36 63 26 | W 61 64 |
| Samuel Heredia | W 67 63 62 | W 63 46 64 |
| Johan Alexander Rodriguez | W 62 63 | W 75 63 |
| Gonzalo Villanueva | L 63 67 26 | L 63 57 16 |
| Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos | W 75 60 | W 63 46 62 |
| Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | W 64 64 | L 67 67 |
| Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | W 61 62 | W 62 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alex Barrena
Todi Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Aug 13
Duje Ajdukovic
Todi Challenger ยท 1st Round
Aug 11
Nicolas Kicker
Liberec Challenger ยท 1st Round
Jul 27
Hernan Casanova
Bogota Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Jul 9
Sergio Luis Hernandez Ramirez
Bogota Challenger ยท 1st Round
Jul 7
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
Piracicaba Challenger ยท 1st Round
Jun 22
Guido Ivan Justo
Asuncion Challenger ยท Quarterfinals
Jun 18
Santiago Rodriguez Taverna
Asuncion Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Jun 17
Oliver Tarvet
Roehampton 2 Challenger ยท 1st Round
Aug 25
Oliver Tarvet
Roehampton 1 Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Aug 19
Peter Makk
Roehampton 1 Challenger ยท 1st Round
Aug 18
Jan Kumstat
Hamburg Challenger ยท Semifinals
Aug 15
Dylan Dietrich
Hamburg Challenger ยท Quarterfinals
Aug 14
Max Schoenhaus
Hamburg Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Aug 12
Florian Broska
Hamburg Challenger ยท 1st Round
Aug 11
Federico Agustin Gomez
Bonn Challenger ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 68โ75 matches
| Metric | Ambrogi | Almeida |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 63% |
| Sets won | 60% | 61% |
| Games won | 54% | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Ambrogi | Almeida |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 3 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Ambrogi | Almeida |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 3 |
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