Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi vs Matheus Pucinelli De AlmeidaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇦🇷Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi
#329 · 22 yrs · R
4w3 meetings · sets 2–6
🇧🇷Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
#255 · 25 yrs · R
Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi and Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida have met 3 times since 2024; Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at Villa Maria Challenger in 2024 on clay. On clay courts Almeida leads 3–0. Almeida has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Ambrogi has taken 2 sets to Almeida's 6. Their most recent meeting: Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida won at Piracicaba Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Emanuel Ambrogi | Pucinelli De Almeida | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 28/39 | 72% | 33/46 |
| Wins a set when losing | 30% | 8/27 | 48% | 12/25 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 29% | 19/66 | 35% | 25/71 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 47% | 9/19 | 50% | 22/44 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 53% | 9/17 | 85% | 11/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 38% | 5/13 | 30% | 6/20 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 34/40 | 87% | 40/46 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 70% | 28/40 | 72% | 33/46 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Emanuel Ambrogi 0, Pucinelli De Almeida 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ambrogi
🪃 Counterpuncher
Almeida
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
The 🪃 Counterpuncher archetype wins about 53% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 2,464 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi.
Counterpuncher players often use elite bp conversion and strong return game to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jun 22, 2026
Piracicaba Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Jun 11, 2025
Santa Fe Challenger
C Clay · 2nd Round
Oct 10, 2024
Villa Maria Challenger
C Clay · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Ambrogi | Almeida | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 4/4 | 80% | 16/20 |
| 3 or more | 75% | 3/4 | 35% | 7/20 |
| 5 or more | 25% | 1/4 | 5% | 1/20 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/4 | 0% | 0/20 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/4 | 0% | 0/20 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/4 | 0% | 0/20 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Ambrogi | Almeida |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 1–2 | 14–8 |
| Avg odds | 2.35 | 1.86 |
| ROI % | -32.0% | +0.2% |
| Units P/L | -0.96u | +0.05u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Ambrogi | Almeida |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 4 |
| Distance | — | 835 mi · 1,344 km |
| Route | — | ARG → BRA |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Almeida has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Ambrogi's 40%).
| Opponent | Ambrogi | Almeida |
|---|---|---|
| Genaro Alberto Olivieri | L 57 16 | W 63 63 |
| Alex Barrena | L 26 36 | W 75 63 |
| Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos | W 75 60 | W 36 63 60 |
| Nicolas Kicker | L 26 46 | L 46 63 46 |
| Hernan Casanova | L 67 26 | W 57 63 62 |
| Eduardo Ribeiro | L 36 63 26 | W 61 64 |
| Samuel Heredia | W 67 63 62 | W 63 46 64 |
| Johan Alexander Rodriguez | W 62 63 | W 75 63 |
| Gonzalo Villanueva | L 63 67 26 | L 63 57 16 |
| Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | W 64 64 | L 67 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
J.J. Wolf
Tiburon Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 14
Oleksii Krutykh
Prague Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 17
Vojtech Mares
Prague Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 16
Alex Barrena
Todi Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 13
Duje Ajdukovic
Todi Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 11
Oleksii Krutykh
Hagen Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 2
Nicolas Kicker
Liberec Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 27
Hernan Casanova
Bogota Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 9
Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva
Antofagasta Challenger · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Genaro Alberto Olivieri
Antofagasta Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 7
Alex Barrena
Antofagasta Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 6
Tomas Barrios Vera
Curitiba Challenger · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva
Curitiba Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 30
Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos
Curitiba Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Hugo Dellien
Buenos Aires Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Remy Bertola
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, BRA-SUI 3-1 · Rubber 4
Sep 19
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 67–71 matches
| Metric | Ambrogi | Almeida |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 60% | 65% |
| Sets won | 57% | 62% |
| Games won | 53% | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Ambrogi | Almeida |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 3 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Ambrogi | Almeida |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 3 |
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