Guido Ivan Justo vs Luciano Emanuel AmbrogiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇦🇷Guido Ivan Justo
#188 · 28 yrs · R
Title34 meetings · sets 7–3
🇦🇷Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi
#329 · 22 yrs · R
4wGuido Ivan Justo and Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi have met 4 times since 2026; Guido Ivan Justo leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Santa Cruz de la Sierra Challenger in 2026 on clay. On clay courts Justo leads 3–1. Across all meetings Justo has taken 7 sets to Ambrogi's 3. Their most recent meeting: Guido Ivan Justo won at Asuncion Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ivan Justo | Emanuel Ambrogi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Guido Ivan Justo | Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 34/48 | 72% | 28/39 |
| Wins a set when losing | 39% | 11/28 | 30% | 8/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 25/76 | 29% | 19/66 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 46% | 12/26 | 47% | 9/19 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 89% | 16/18 | 53% | 9/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 48% | 10/21 | 38% | 5/13 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 93% | 42/45 | 85% | 34/40 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 76% | 34/45 | 70% | 28/40 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ivan Justo 2, Emanuel Ambrogi 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Justo
⚔️ The Gladiator
Ambrogi
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🪃 Counterpuncher archetype wins about 53% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 2,464 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi.
Counterpuncher players often use elite bp conversion and strong return game to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Jun 18, 2026
Asuncion Challenger
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Jun 13, 2026
San Miguel de Tucuman Challenger
C Clay · Semifinals
May 13, 2026
Cordoba Challenger
C Clay · 2nd Round
Apr 14, 2026
Santa Cruz de la Sierra Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Justo | Ambrogi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Guido Ivan Justo | Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | ||
| 1 or more | 80% | 12/15 | 100% | 4/4 |
| 3 or more | 20% | 3/15 | 75% | 3/4 |
| 5 or more | 7% | 1/15 | 25% | 1/4 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/4 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/4 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/4 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Justo | Ambrogi |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–1 | 1–2 |
| Avg odds | 2.14 | 2.35 |
| ROI % | +89.0% | -32.0% |
| Units P/L | +8.01u | -0.96u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Justo | Ambrogi |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 1 |
| Matches | 7 | 1 |
| Distance | 835 mi · 1,344 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | ARG → BRA | USA |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Justo has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Ambrogi's 40%).
| Opponent | Justo | Ambrogi |
|---|---|---|
| Gonzalo Villanueva | W 62 64 | L 63 67 26 |
| Juan Bautista Torres | L 36 36 | L 62 16 46 |
| Diego Dedura | L 46 26 | L 36 67 |
| Genaro Alberto Olivieri | W 63 61 | L 57 16 |
| Hernan Casanova | W 63 46 64 | L 67 26 |
| Juan Sebastian Gomez | W 61 61 | W 62 64 |
| Juan Alejandro Hernandez | W 60 61 | W 64 36 60 |
| Thiago Cigarran | W 64 64 | W 61 36 63 |
| Eduardo Ribeiro | W 76 75 | L 36 63 26 |
| Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | W | W 61 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva
Antofagasta Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 7
Francisco Comesana
Antofagasta Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 6
Gustavo Heide
Curitiba Challenger · Final
Oct 4
Tomas Barrios Vera
Curitiba Challenger · Semifinals
Oct 3
Gonzalo Villanueva
Curitiba Challenger · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Pedro Sakamoto
Curitiba Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Franco Roncadelli
Curitiba Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 30
Facundo Mena
Buenos Aires Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 23
J.J. Wolf
Tiburon Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 14
Oleksii Krutykh
Prague Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 17
Vojtech Mares
Prague Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 16
Alex Barrena
Todi Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 13
Duje Ajdukovic
Todi Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 11
Oleksii Krutykh
Hagen Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 2
Nicolas Kicker
Liberec Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 27
Hernan Casanova
Bogota Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 9
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 67–76 matches
| Metric | Justo | Ambrogi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 63% | 60% |
| Sets won | 60% | 57% |
| Games won | 55% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Justo | Ambrogi |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 3 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Justo | Ambrogi |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 3 | 1 |
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