Luciano Darderi vs Mattia BellucciPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Luciano Darderi and Mattia Bellucci have met 3 times since 2023; Luciano Darderi leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Australian Open in 2023 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Darderi has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Darderi has taken 4 sets to Bellucci's 3. Their most recent meeting: Luciano Darderi won at Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Darderi | Bellucci | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Luciano Darderi | Mattia Bellucci | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 55% | 16/29 | 71% | 25/35 |
| Wins a set when losing | 38% | 9/24 | 33% | 9/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 42% | 22/53 | 31% | 19/62 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 43% | 12/28 | 56% | 15/27 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 10/20 | 61% | 19/31 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 53% | 10/19 | 48% | 12/25 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 22/27 | 86% | 30/35 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 59% | 16/27 | 71% | 25/35 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Darderi 1, Bellucci 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Darderi
💥 Big Hitter
Bellucci
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Aug 25, 2026
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem
H Hard · 2nd Round
Apr 1, 2026
Grand Prix Hassan II - Marrakech
C Clay · 2nd Round
Jan 12, 2023
Australian Open
H Hard · 3rd Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Darderi | Bellucci | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Luciano Darderi | Mattia Bellucci | ||
| 1 or more | 95% | 18/19 | 100% | 17/17 |
| 3 or more | 79% | 15/19 | 100% | 17/17 |
| 5 or more | 47% | 9/19 | 94% | 16/17 |
| 10 or more | 16% | 3/19 | 29% | 5/17 |
| 15 or more | 11% | 2/19 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/17 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Darderi | Bellucci |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–8 | 10–7 |
| Avg odds | 2.16 | 2.05 |
| ROI % | +2.8% | -10.8% |
| Units P/L | +0.55u | -1.84u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Darderi | Bellucci |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 3 | 10 |
| Distance | 1,092 mi · 1,758 km | 927 mi · 1,492 km |
| Route | JPN → CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Darderi and Bellucci posted a 40% win rate.
| Opponent | Darderi | Bellucci |
|---|---|---|
| Kyrian Jacquet | L 36 67 | L 76 46 67 |
| Casper Ruud | W 76 63 | L 16 26 46 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | L 16 06 | L 67 46 |
| Martin Landaluce | L 36 76 46 | W 64 67 61 |
| Rinky Hijikata | L 46 26 | W 76 63 |
| Brandon Nakashima | L 26 36 | L 36 46 |
| Gabriel Diallo | W | L 67 46 |
| Sebastian Baez | W 64 63 | L 57 36 |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | L 36 63 510 | W 57 62 63 |
| Yannick Hanfmann | W 75 63 | W 75 67 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Kyrian Jacquet
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Casper Ruud
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Alexander Zverev
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 8
Dane Sweeny
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Dalibor Svrcina
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Harry Wendelken
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Botic van de Zandschulp
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 3rd Round
Aug 26
Yi Zhou
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 7
Alexandre Muller
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 6
Elias Ymer
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Lloyd Harris
Jingshan Challenger · Final
Oct 4
Yanki Erel
Jingshan Challenger · Semifinals
Oct 3
Adam Walton
Jingshan Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Alexandre Muller
Jingshan Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 30
Keisuke Saitoh
Jingshan Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 64–66 matches
| Metric | Darderi | Bellucci |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 56% | 55% |
| Sets won | 54% | 53% |
| Games won | 51% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Darderi | Bellucci |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Darderi | Bellucci |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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