Luciano Darderi vs Mattia BellucciPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ฎ๐นLuciano Darderi
#22 ยท 24 yrs ยท R
3 meetings ยท sets 4โ3

๐ฎ๐นMattia Bellucci
#96 ยท 25 yrs ยท L
3Luciano Darderi and Mattia Bellucci have met 3 times since 2023; Luciano Darderi leads 2โ1. Their first meeting came at Australian Open in 2023 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1โ1. Darderi has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Darderi has taken 4 sets to Bellucci's 3. Their most recent meeting: Luciano Darderi won at Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Darderi | Bellucci | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Luciano Darderi | Mattia Bellucci | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 60% | 21/35 | 68% | 19/28 |
| Wins a set when losing | 36% | 9/25 | 30% | 8/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 23/60 | 31% | 17/55 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 52% | 17/33 | 47% | 9/19 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 43% | 9/21 | 59% | 19/32 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 52% | 11/21 | 52% | 12/23 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 84% | 27/32 | 83% | 25/30 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 66% | 21/32 | 63% | 19/30 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Darderi 1, Bellucci 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Darderi
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Bellucci
๐ค Servebot
Matchup analysis
๐ฅ Big Hitter vs ๐ค Servebot is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 3,444 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Aug 25, 2026
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem
H Hard ยท 2nd Round
Apr 1, 2026
Grand Prix Hassan II - Marrakech
C Clay ยท 2nd Round
Jan 12, 2023
Australian Open
H Hard ยท 3rd Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Darderi | Bellucci | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Luciano Darderi | Mattia Bellucci | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 15/15 | 100% | 14/14 |
| 3 or more | 87% | 13/15 | 93% | 13/14 |
| 5 or more | 47% | 7/15 | 93% | 13/14 |
| 10 or more | 7% | 1/15 | 29% | 4/14 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/14 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Darderi | Bellucci |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9โ7 | 7โ7 |
| Avg odds | 1.97 | 2.37 |
| ROI % | -0.4% | +11.2% |
| Units P/L | -0.07u | +1.57u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Darderi | Bellucci |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 6 | 5 |
| Distance | 1,024 mi ยท 1,648 km | 1,024 mi ยท 1,648 km |
| Route | CAN โ USA | CAN โ USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Bellucci has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Darderi's 30%).
| Opponent | Darderi | Bellucci |
|---|---|---|
| Botic van de Zandschulp | L 16 06 | L 67 46 |
| Martin Landaluce | L 36 76 46 | W 64 67 61 |
| Rinky Hijikata | L 46 26 | W 76 63 |
| Brandon Nakashima | L 26 36 | L 36 46 |
| Sebastian Baez | W 64 63 | L 57 36 |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | L 36 63 510 | W 57 62 63 |
| Ethan Quinn | L 67 57 26 | L 64 46 57 |
| Yannick Hanfmann | W 75 63 | W 75 67 62 |
| Roman Andres Burruchaga | W 63 76 | W 64 64 |
| Casper Ruud | L 16 16 | L 16 26 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Botic van de Zandschulp
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem ยท 3rd Round
Aug 26
Mattia Bellucci
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem ยท 2nd Round
Aug 25
Rinky Hijikata
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 16
Brandon Nakashima
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท Quarterfinals
Aug 11
Nuno Borges
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 4th Round
Aug 8
Juncheng Shang
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 3rd Round
Aug 6
Alexander Blockx
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril ยท Semifinals
Jul 25
Jaime Faria
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Luciano Darderi
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem ยท 2nd Round
Aug 25
Martin Landaluce
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem ยท 1st Round
Aug 23
Jakub Mensik
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 15
Zachary Svajda
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 1st Round
Aug 14
Sebastian Baez
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 1st Round
Aug 4
Ugo Humbert
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne ยท 1st Round
Jun 23
Raphael Collignon
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle ยท 2nd Round
Jun 18
Alexander Bublik
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle ยท 1st Round
Jun 16
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 57โ67 matches
| Metric | Darderi | Bellucci |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 58% | 49% |
| Sets won | 55% | 48% |
| Games won | 51% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Darderi | Bellucci |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Darderi | Bellucci |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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