Lorenzo Sonego and Pablo Carreno Busta have met 3 times since 2019; Pablo Carreno Busta leads 2–1. Their most recent meeting: Pablo Carreno Busta won at Barcelona (2022).
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sonego
🎯 Baseliner
Busta
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 53% vs 🏹 Frontrunner across 106 matches in our dataset — a stylistic lean toward Lorenzo Sonego.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the frontrunner's fast starts.
3 career meetings, newest first
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Sonego | Busta | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Lorenzo Sonego | Pablo Carreno Busta | ||
| 1 or more | 82% | 9/11 | 92% | 11/12 |
| 3 or more | 46% | 5/11 | 50% | 6/12 |
| 5 or more | 27% | 3/11 | 25% | 3/12 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 25% | 3/12 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/12 |
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sonego | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–8 | 5–3 |
| Avg odds | 2.81 | 2.03 |
| ROI % | -51.8% | +10.4% |
| Units P/L | -5.18u | +0.83u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Busta has a higher win rate against shared opponents (40% vs Sonego's 20%).
| Opponent | Sonego | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Ben Shelton | L 57 36 | L 46 26 46 |
| Mattia Bellucci | L 46 61 57 | W 64 26 76 |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | L 67 46 | L 36 36 |
| Dusan Lajovic | L 36 67 | L 46 63 36 |
| Pedro Martinez | W 62 26 64 | W 64 46 64 |
Last five matches per player
Ben Shelton
Terra Wortmann Open · Round of 32
Jun 17
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Terra Wortmann Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 14
Filip Cristian Jianu
Terra Wortmann Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 1
Tommy Paul
Roland Garros · Round of 64
May 27
Pierre-Hugues Herbert
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Edas Butvilas
Gonet Geneva Open · Round of 32
May 18
Ignacio Buse
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 128
May 7
Mattia Bellucci
Sardegna Open · Round of 32
Apr 29
Rafael Jodar
Roland Garros · Round of 16
May 31
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Roland Garros · Round of 32
May 29
Thanasi Kokkinakis
Roland Garros · Round of 64
May 27
Jiri Lehecka
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Sebastian Baez
Copa Faulconbridge · Round of 16
May 14
Francisco Comesana
Copa Faulconbridge · Round of 32
May 12
Alejandro Tabilo
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 128
May 6
Martin Damm
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · 1st Round Qualifying
May 4
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 42–57 matches
| Metric | Sonego | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 43% | 67% |
| Sets won | 45% | 60% |
| Games won | 49% | 53% |
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Sonego | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 1 |
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Sonego | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
