Leylah Fernandez vs Victoria MbokoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐จ๐ฆLeylah Fernandez
#25 ยท 23 yrs ยท Left-Handed
Title2 meetings ยท sets 1โ4

๐จ๐ฆVictoria Mboko
#15 ยท 19 yrs ยท Right-Handed
18wLeylah Fernandez and Victoria Mboko have met 2 times since 2025; Victoria Mboko leads 2โ0. Their first meeting came at Hong Kong Tennis Open - Hong Kong in 2025 on hard. Mboko has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Fernandez has taken 1 sets to Mboko's 4. Their most recent meeting: Victoria Mboko won at Internationaux de Strasbourg - Strasbourg (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Fernandez | Mboko | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Leylah Fernandez | Victoria Mboko | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 69% | 22/32 | 56% | 18/32 |
| Wins a set when losing | 31% | 8/26 | 27% | 3/11 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 18/58 | 40% | 17/43 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 20/40 | 50% | 16/32 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 56% | 10/18 | 60% | 6/10 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 29% | 5/17 | 46% | 6/13 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 79% | 27/34 | 100% | 26/26 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 65% | 22/34 | 69% | 18/26 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Fernandez 0, Mboko 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Fernandez
๐ค Servebot
Mboko
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
๐ค Servebot vs ๐ฅ Big Hitter is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 3,072 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
May 21, 2026
Internationaux de Strasbourg - Strasbourg
C Clay ยท Quarterfinals
Nov 1, 2025
Hong Kong Tennis Open - Hong Kong
H Hard ยท Semifinals
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Fernandez | Mboko |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11โ5 | - |
| Avg odds | 2.16 | - |
| ROI % | +32.2% | - |
| Units P/L | +5.15u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Fernandez | Mboko |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | โ |
| Events | 3 | โ |
| Matches | 7 | โ |
| Distance | 3,433 mi ยท 5,525 km | โ |
| Route | SGP โ ROU โ CZE | โ |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Mboko has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Fernandez's 50%).
| Opponent | Fernandez | Mboko |
|---|---|---|
| Talia Gibson | W 75 60 | W 67 61 64 |
| Mirra Andreeva | W 62 75 | W 76 46 60 |
| Renata Zarazua | W 62 62 | W 61 61 |
| Alexandra Eala | L 26 67 | W 36 63 64 |
| Katerina Siniakova | L 75 46 67 | W 57 64 62 |
| Anna Blinkova | L 67 46 | W 62 60 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 76 46 67 | W 75 46 64 |
| Eva Lys | W 64 61 | W 61 61 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Ekaterina Alexandrova
Wuhan Open - Wuhan ยท 1st Round
Oct 12
Kamilla Rakhimova
China Open - Beijing ยท 2nd Round
Oct 3
Talia Gibson
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore ยท Final
Sep 27
Maja Chwalinska
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore ยท Semifinals
Sep 26
Mirra Andreeva
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore ยท Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Alycia Parks
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore ยท 2nd Round
Sep 23
Kyoka Okamura
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore ยท 1st Round
Sep 21
Jessica Pegula
U.S. Open - New York ยท 3rd Round
Sep 4
Karolina Pliskova
The HSBC Championships - London ยท 2nd Round
Jun 10
Madison Keys
French Open - Paris ยท 3rd Round
May 30
Katerina Siniakova
French Open - Paris ยท 2nd Round
May 28
Nikola Bartunkova
French Open - Paris ยท 1st Round
May 26
Emma Navarro
Internationaux de Strasbourg - Strasbourg ยท Final
May 23
Jaqueline Cristian
Internationaux de Strasbourg - Strasbourg ยท Semifinals
May 22
Leylah Fernandez
Internationaux de Strasbourg - Strasbourg ยท Quarterfinals
May 21
Lois Boisson
Internationaux de Strasbourg - Strasbourg ยท 2nd Round
May 19
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 43โ58 matches
| Metric | Fernandez | Mboko |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 55% | 74% |
| Sets won | 54% | 65% |
| Games won | 53% | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Fernandez | Mboko |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 250 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Fernandez | Mboko |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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