Leylah Fernandez vs Shuai ZhangPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐จ๐ฆLeylah Fernandez
#33 ยท 23 yrs ยท Left-Handed
2 meetings ยท sets 4โ0

๐จ๐ณShuai Zhang
#54 ยท 37 yrs ยท Right-Handed
33Leylah Fernandez and Shuai Zhang have met 2 times since 2021; Leylah Fernandez leads 2โ0. Their first meeting came at Volvo Car Open - Charleston in 2021 on clay. Fernandez has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Fernandez has taken 4 sets to Zhang's 0. Their most recent meeting: Leylah Fernandez won at U.S. Open - New York (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Fernandez | Zhang | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Leylah Fernandez | Shuai Zhang | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 69% | 18/26 | 67% | 22/33 |
| Wins a set when losing | 31% | 8/26 | 26% | 7/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 16/52 | 30% | 18/60 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 17/34 | 50% | 14/28 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 53% | 9/17 | 43% | 13/30 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 29% | 5/17 | 67% | 6/9 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 76% | 22/29 | 90% | 28/31 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 62% | 18/29 | 71% | 22/31 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Fernandez 2, Zhang 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Fernandez
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Zhang
๐ฏ Baseliner
Matchup analysis
The ๐ฅ Big Hitter archetype wins about 54% vs ๐ฏ Baseliner across 402 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Leylah Fernandez.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the baseliner's precise groundstrokes.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Aug 30, 2026
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard ยท 1st Round
Apr 6, 2021
Volvo Car Open - Charleston
C Clay ยท 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Fernandez | Zhang | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Leylah Fernandez | Shuai Zhang | ||
| 1 or more | 92% | 11/12 | 50% | 5/10 |
| 3 or more | 58% | 7/12 | 10% | 1/10 |
| 5 or more | 25% | 3/12 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/10 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Fernandez | Zhang |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5โ6 | 6โ8 |
| Avg odds | 2.03 | 3.15 |
| ROI % | -4.3% | -15.6% |
| Units P/L | -0.47u | -2.19u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Fernandez | Zhang |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 4 |
| Events | 3 | 4 |
| Matches | 5 | 6 |
| Distance | 979 mi ยท 1,576 km | 3,545 mi ยท 5,705 km |
| Route | CAN โ POL โ NED | CAN โ POL โ AUT โ NED |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Fernandez has a higher win rate against shared opponents (44% vs Zhang's 33%).
| Opponent | Fernandez | Zhang |
|---|---|---|
| Ann Li | W 63 62 | L 57 36 |
| Alexandra Eala | L 26 67 | L 36 26 |
| Xi Yao Wang | L 36 46 | W 64 62 |
| Magdalena Frech | W 64 36 64 | W 62 64 |
| Eva Lys | W 64 61 | W 64 63 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 76 46 67 | L 36 57 |
| Sorana Cirstea | W 64 64 | L 36 46 |
| Dayana Yastremska | L 16 26 | L 36 26 |
| Coco Gauff | L 46 64 57 | L 36 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Shuai Zhang
U.S. Open - New York ยท 1st Round
Aug 30
Xiyu Wang
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 17
Naomi Osaka
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 4th Round
Aug 10
Mirra Andreeva
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 3rd Round
Aug 7
Renata Zarazua
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 2nd Round
Aug 6
Alexandra Eala
Mubadala DC Open - Washington ยท 2nd Round
Jul 29
Magda Linette
Mubadala DC Open - Washington ยท 1st Round
Jul 27
Janice Tjen
Wimbledon - London ยท 1st Round
Jun 29
Leylah Fernandez
U.S. Open - New York ยท 1st Round
Aug 30
Maria Timofeeva
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey ยท 1st Round
Aug 26
Ann Li
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 16
Kayla Day
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 1st Round
Aug 15
Aryna Sabalenka
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 3rd Round
Aug 7
Yulia Putintseva
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 1st Round
Aug 3
Karolina Muchova
Wimbledon - London ยท 2nd Round
Jul 1
Bianca Andreescu
Wimbledon - London ยท 1st Round
Jun 29
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 52โ60 matches
| Metric | Fernandez | Zhang |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 50% | 55% |
| Sets won | 50% | 53% |
| Games won | 52% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Fernandez | Zhang |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 500 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Fernandez | Zhang |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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