Leylah Fernandez vs Peyton StearnsPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇨🇦Leylah Fernandez
#32 · 23 yrs · Left-Handed
3 meetings · sets 3–4
🇺🇸Peyton Stearns
#54 · 24 yrs · Right-Handed
Leylah Fernandez and Peyton Stearns have met 3 times since 2023; Peyton Stearns leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Grand Prix De SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem - Rabat in 2023 on clay. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Fernandez has taken 3 sets to Stearns's 4. Their most recent meeting: Peyton Stearns won at China Open - Beijing (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Fernandez | Stearns | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Leylah Fernandez | Peyton Stearns | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 17/25 | 75% | 15/20 |
| Wins a set when losing | 31% | 8/26 | 42% | 8/19 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 16/51 | 33% | 13/39 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 48% | 16/33 | 46% | 11/24 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 53% | 9/17 | 53% | 8/15 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 29% | 5/17 | 56% | 5/9 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 75% | 21/28 | 90% | 18/20 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 61% | 17/28 | 75% | 15/20 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Fernandez 1, Stearns 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Fernandez
💥 Big Hitter
Stearns
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 3,090 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Sep 27, 2024
China Open - Beijing
H Hard · 2nd Round
Aug 8, 2023
Omnium Banque Nationale - Montreal
H Hard · 1st Round
May 24, 2023
Grand Prix De SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem - Rabat
C Clay · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Fernandez | Stearns | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Leylah Fernandez | Peyton Stearns | ||
| 1 or more | 91% | 10/11 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 3 or more | 55% | 6/11 | 43% | 3/7 |
| 5 or more | 27% | 3/11 | 43% | 3/7 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Fernandez | Stearns |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–6 | 4–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.10 | 1.75 |
| ROI % | -8.7% | -35.8% |
| Units P/L | -0.87u | -3.22u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Fernandez | Stearns |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 3 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 4 | 4 |
| Distance | 411 mi · 662 km | 1,228 mi · 1,977 km |
| Route | CAN → POL | ECU → CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Stearns has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Fernandez's 60%).
| Opponent | Fernandez | Stearns |
|---|---|---|
| Janice Tjen | L 16 67 | W 64 64 |
| Magdalena Frech | W 64 36 64 | W 64 62 |
| Maria Sakkari | W 76 64 | W 63 61 |
| Mccartney Kessler | L 36 26 | L 06 63 46 |
| Oksana Selekhmeteva | W 76 36 61 | W 61 57 75 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Xiyu Wang
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 17
Naomi Osaka
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 10
Mirra Andreeva
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Renata Zarazua
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Alexandra Eala
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Magda Linette
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 27
Janice Tjen
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Xi Yao Wang
Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg · 2nd Round
Jun 23
Clara Tauson
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Harriet Dart
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Elena Gabriela Ruse
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 3
Elvina Kalieva
The Memphis Classic - Memphis · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Tatiana Prozorova
The Memphis Classic - Memphis · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Mary Stoiana
The Memphis Classic - Memphis · 1st Round
Jul 29
Nikola Bartunkova
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Kimberly Birrell
Eastbourne
Jun 21
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 39–51 matches
| Metric | Fernandez | Stearns |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 49% | 51% |
| Sets won | 49% | 53% |
| Games won | 52% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Fernandez | Stearns |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 250 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Fernandez | Stearns |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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