Laura Siegemund vs Naomi OsakaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇩🇪Laura Siegemund
#102 · 38 yrs · Right-Handed
9w34 meetings · sets 2–6
🇯🇵Naomi Osaka
#13 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
Laura Siegemund and Naomi Osaka have met 4 times since 2017; Naomi Osaka leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Rome in 2017 on clay. On clay courts Osaka leads 2–1. Osaka has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Siegemund has taken 2 sets to Osaka's 6. Their most recent meeting: Naomi Osaka won at French Open - Paris (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Siegemund | Osaka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Laura Siegemund | Naomi Osaka | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 5/10 | 71% | 22/31 |
| Wins a set when losing | 40% | 6/15 | 33% | 4/12 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 44% | 11/25 | 30% | 13/43 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 3/6 | 53% | 17/32 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 53% | 10/19 | 67% | 6/9 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 33% | 4/12 | 64% | 9/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 60% | 6/10 | 88% | 29/33 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 50% | 5/10 | 67% | 22/33 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Siegemund 1, Osaka 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Siegemund
🎯 Baseliner
Osaka
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 54% vs 🎯 Baseliner across 330 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Naomi Osaka.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the baseliner's precise groundstrokes.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
May 26, 2026
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 1st Round
Aug 28, 2018
US Open
H Hard · Round of 128
Apr 4, 2018
Charleston
C Clay · Round of 32
May 17, 2017
Rome
C Clay · Round of 64
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Siegemund | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 1–3 | 12–3 |
| Avg odds | 2.55 | 1.50 |
| ROI % | -66.0% | +15.1% |
| Units P/L | -2.64u | +2.27u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Siegemund | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 5 |
| Distance | — | 350 mi · 563 km |
| Route | — | AUT → CAN |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Osaka has a higher win rate against shared opponents (63% vs Siegemund's 25%).
| Opponent | Siegemund | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Elise Mertens | L 26 46 | W 61 62 |
| Alexandra Eala | L 76 36 36 | L 46 26 |
| Daria Kasatkina | L 26 36 | W 61 63 |
| Ekaterina Alexandrova | W 64 67 61 | W 62 62 |
| Magdalena Frech | W 64 76 | W 64 61 |
| Amanda Anisimova | L 16 36 | L 76 67 36 |
| Iga Swiatek | L 26 36 | L 26 16 |
| Coco Gauff | L 36 06 | W 63 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Elise Mertens
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Sara Bejlek
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 23
Amanda Anisimova
The HSBC Championships - London · 2nd Round
Jun 10
Francesca Jones
The HSBC Championships - London · 1st Round
Jun 9
Naomi Osaka
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 26
Karolina Pliskova
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome · 3rd Round
May 10
Ekaterina Alexandrova
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome · 2nd Round
May 8
Sara Bejlek
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome · 1st Round
May 6
Elena Rybakina
National Bank Open - Toronto · Quarterfinals
Aug 12
Leylah Fernandez
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 10
Elise Mertens
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Panna Udvardy
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Alexandra Eala
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · Semifinals
Aug 1
Elisabetta Cocciaretto
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Karolina Muchova
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 7
Aryna Sabalenka
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 5
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 25–43 matches
| Metric | Siegemund | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 40% | 72% |
| Sets won | 43% | 67% |
| Games won | 48% | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Siegemund | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 2 |
| WTA 500 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Siegemund | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 2 |
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