Katie Boulter vs Paula BadosaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇬🇧Katie Boulter
#60 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
2 meetings · sets 3–3
🇪🇸Paula Badosa
#83 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
5wKatie Boulter and Paula Badosa have met 2 times since 2024; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at French Open - Paris in 2024 on clay. Across all meetings Boulter has taken 3 sets to Badosa's 3. Their most recent meeting: Katie Boulter won at Wimbledon - London (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Boulter | Badosa | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Katie Boulter | Paula Badosa | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 60% | 12/20 | 78% | 18/23 |
| Wins a set when losing | 35% | 7/20 | 50% | 8/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 15/40 | 33% | 13/39 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 45% | 10/22 | 55% | 17/31 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 47% | 8/17 | 50% | 4/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 67% | 6/9 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 78% | 18/23 | 83% | 19/23 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 52% | 12/23 | 78% | 18/23 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Boulter 0, Badosa 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Boulter
🤖 Servebot
Badosa
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 3,090 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jun 30, 2025
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 1st Round
May 28, 2024
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Boulter | Badosa | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Katie Boulter | Paula Badosa | ||
| 1 or more | 80% | 8/10 | 94% | 16/17 |
| 3 or more | 30% | 3/10 | 71% | 12/17 |
| 5 or more | 10% | 1/10 | 35% | 6/17 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 6% | 1/17 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/17 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Boulter | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–5 | 13–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.26 | 1.70 |
| ROI % | +3.4% | +18.2% |
| Units P/L | +0.31u | +3.09u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Boulter | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 3 | — |
| Distance | 411 mi · 662 km | — |
| Route | CAN → POL | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 5 shared opponents, both Boulter and Badosa posted a 20% win rate.
| Opponent | Boulter | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Linda Noskova | L 36 36 | L 16 36 |
| Elena Rybakina | W 75 26 64 | L 36 26 |
| Eva Lys | L 46 63 46 | L 62 57 46 |
| Elena Gabriela Ruse | L 67 67 | W 26 62 75 |
| Elina Svitolina | L 57 46 | L 75 26 57 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Linda Noskova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Katie Volynets
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Kayla Cross
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 3
Ashlyn Krueger
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Tyra Caterina Grant
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Leylah Fernandez
Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg · 1st Round
Jun 21
Donna Vekic
The HSBC Championships - London · Semifinals
Jun 13
Elena Rybakina
The HSBC Championships - London · Quarterfinals
Jun 12
Mayar Sherif
MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Panna Udvardy
MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Katarzyna Kawa
MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg · 1st Round
Jul 22
Tamara Zidansek
UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi · Semifinals
Jul 18
Panna Udvardy
UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Alevtina Ibragimova
UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Anhelina Kalinina
UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi · 1st Round
Jul 14
Simona Waltert
Nordea Open - Bastad · Final
Jul 11
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 39–40 matches
| Metric | Boulter | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 50% | 59% |
| Sets won | 49% | 59% |
| Games won | 50% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Boulter | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Boulter | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.