Katie Boulter vs Paula BadosaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇬🇧Katie Boulter
#54 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
2 meetings · sets 3–3
🇪🇸Paula Badosa
#58 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
Katie Boulter and Paula Badosa have met 2 times since 2024; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at French Open - Paris in 2024 on clay. Across all meetings Boulter has taken 3 sets to Badosa's 3. Their most recent meeting: Katie Boulter won at Wimbledon - London (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Boulter | Badosa | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Katie Boulter | Paula Badosa | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 62% | 13/21 | 74% | 20/27 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 7/21 | 39% | 7/18 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 15/42 | 31% | 14/45 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 46% | 11/24 | 51% | 19/37 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 41% | 7/17 | 38% | 3/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 60% | 6/10 | 50% | 7/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 79% | 19/24 | 88% | 21/24 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 54% | 13/24 | 83% | 20/24 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Boulter 0, Badosa 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Boulter
💥 Big Hitter
Badosa
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Katie Boulter and Paula Badosa are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,594 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jun 30, 2025
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 1st Round
May 28, 2024
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Boulter | Badosa | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Katie Boulter | Paula Badosa | ||
| 1 or more | 50% | 4/8 | 92% | 12/13 |
| 3 or more | 13% | 1/8 | 62% | 8/13 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 15% | 2/13 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Boulter | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–5 | 9–4 |
| Avg odds | 3.03 | 1.77 |
| ROI % | -36.1% | -4.9% |
| Units P/L | -2.89u | -0.64u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Boulter | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 2 | 6 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 10,936 mi · 17,599 km |
| Route | ROU | BRA → ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 5 shared opponents, both Boulter and Badosa posted a 20% win rate.
| Opponent | Boulter | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Linda Noskova | L 36 36 | L 16 36 |
| Elena Rybakina | W 75 26 64 | L 36 26 |
| Eva Lys | L 46 63 46 | L 62 57 46 |
| Elena Gabriela Ruse | L 67 67 | W 26 62 75 |
| Elina Svitolina | L 57 46 | L |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Karolina Muchova
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Mai Hontama
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Sep 30
Karolina Muchova
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Carol Young Suh Lee
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Linda Noskova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Katie Volynets
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Kayla Cross
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 3
Ashlyn Krueger
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Jelena Ostapenko
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Daria Kasatkina
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Nadia Podoroska
SP Open - Sao Paulo · Semifinals
Sep 19
Mary Stoiana
SP Open - Sao Paulo · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Jazmin Ortenzi
SP Open - Sao Paulo · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Justina Mikulskyte
SP Open - Sao Paulo · 1st Round
Sep 16
Coco Gauff
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 4
Daria Kasatkina
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 2
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 42–45 matches
| Metric | Boulter | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 50% | 60% |
| Sets won | 49% | 59% |
| Games won | 49% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Boulter | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Boulter | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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