Katerina Siniakova vs Leylah FernandezPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇨🇿Katerina Siniakova
#39 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
4 meetings · sets 5–5
🇨🇦Leylah Fernandez
#32 · 23 yrs · Left-Handed
Katerina Siniakova and Leylah Fernandez have met 4 times since 2022; they are level 2–2. Their first meeting came at French Open - Paris in 2022 on clay. On hard courts Siniakova leads 2–1. Siniakova has won the last 2 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Fernandez leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Siniakova has taken 5 sets to Fernandez's 5. Their most recent meeting: Katerina Siniakova won at BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Siniakova | Fernandez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Katerina Siniakova | Leylah Fernandez | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 80% | 16/20 | 68% | 17/25 |
| Wins a set when losing | 42% | 8/19 | 31% | 8/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 12/39 | 31% | 16/51 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 12/24 | 48% | 16/33 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 71% | 10/14 | 53% | 9/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 44% | 4/9 | 29% | 5/17 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 84% | 16/19 | 75% | 21/28 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 84% | 16/19 | 61% | 17/28 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Siniakova 1, Fernandez 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Siniakova
🏹 Frontrunner
Fernandez
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🏹 Frontrunner vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,181 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Mar 7, 2026
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 2nd Round
Oct 21, 2023
Jiangxi Open - Nanchang
H Hard · Semifinals
Oct 15, 2023
Hong Kong Tennis Open - Hong Kong
H Hard · Final
May 25, 2022
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Siniakova | Fernandez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Katerina Siniakova | Leylah Fernandez | ||
| 1 or more | 86% | 6/7 | 91% | 10/11 |
| 3 or more | 57% | 4/7 | 55% | 6/11 |
| 5 or more | 14% | 1/7 | 27% | 3/11 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/11 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Siniakova | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–4 | 4–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.98 | 2.10 |
| ROI % | -20.9% | -8.7% |
| Units P/L | -1.67u | -0.87u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Siniakova | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 2 | 4 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 411 mi · 662 km |
| Route | POL | CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Siniakova has a higher win rate against shared opponents (56% vs Fernandez's 33%).
| Opponent | Siniakova | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Mirra Andreeva | W 46 76 63 | W 61 64 |
| Liudmila Samsonova | L 36 57 | W 57 75 63 |
| Jessica Pegula | L 26 46 | L 26 26 |
| Rebeka Masarova | W 62 64 | L 64 46 46 |
| Victoria Mboko | L 75 46 26 | L 46 46 |
| Anna Blinkova | W 62 62 | L 67 46 |
| Iva Jovic | W 75 63 | W 36 63 62 |
| Diana Shnaider | L 16 62 57 | L 36 06 |
| Dayana Yastremska | W 60 61 | L 16 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Madison Keys
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Nikola Bartunkova
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Qinwen Zheng
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Liudmila Samsonova
Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg · 1st Round
Jun 21
Jessica Pegula
Berlin Tennis Open - Berlin · 2nd Round
Jun 17
Rebeka Masarova
Berlin Tennis Open - Berlin · 1st Round
Jun 16
Yue Yuan
Berlin
Jun 15
Xiyu Wang
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 17
Naomi Osaka
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 10
Mirra Andreeva
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Renata Zarazua
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Alexandra Eala
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Magda Linette
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 27
Janice Tjen
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Xi Yao Wang
Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg · 2nd Round
Jun 23
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 39–51 matches
| Metric | Siniakova | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 51% | 49% |
| Sets won | 53% | 49% |
| Games won | 52% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Siniakova | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 1 |
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 250 | 1 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Siniakova | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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