Katerina Siniakova vs Leylah FernandezPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇨🇿Katerina Siniakova
#87 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
4 meetings · sets 5–5
🇨🇦Leylah Fernandez
#25 · 23 yrs · Left-Handed
TitleKaterina Siniakova and Leylah Fernandez have met 4 times since 2022; they are level 2–2. Their first meeting came at French Open - Paris in 2022 on clay. On hard courts Siniakova leads 2–1. Siniakova has won the last 2 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Fernandez leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Siniakova has taken 5 sets to Fernandez's 5. Their most recent meeting: Katerina Siniakova won at BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Siniakova | Fernandez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Katerina Siniakova | Leylah Fernandez | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 76% | 13/17 | 69% | 22/32 |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 9/18 | 31% | 8/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 37% | 13/35 | 31% | 18/58 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 52% | 11/21 | 50% | 20/40 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 75% | 9/12 | 56% | 10/18 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 43% | 3/7 | 29% | 5/17 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 76% | 13/17 | 79% | 27/34 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 76% | 13/17 | 65% | 22/34 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Siniakova 1, Fernandez 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Siniakova
🏹 Frontrunner
Fernandez
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
🏹 Frontrunner vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 728 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Mar 7, 2026
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 2nd Round
Oct 21, 2023
Jiangxi Open - Nanchang
H Hard · Semifinals
Oct 15, 2023
Hong Kong Tennis Open - Hong Kong
H Hard · Final
May 25, 2022
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Siniakova | Fernandez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Katerina Siniakova | Leylah Fernandez | ||
| 1 or more | 83% | 5/6 | 93% | 14/15 |
| 3 or more | 50% | 3/6 | 40% | 6/15 |
| 5 or more | 17% | 1/6 | 13% | 2/15 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Siniakova | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–3 | 11–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.80 | 2.16 |
| ROI % | -18.3% | +32.2% |
| Units P/L | -1.10u | +5.15u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Siniakova | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 3 |
| Events | 1 | 3 |
| Matches | 2 | 7 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 3,433 mi · 5,525 km |
| Route | ROU | SGP → ROU → CZE |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Siniakova has a higher win rate against shared opponents (40% vs Fernandez's 30%).
| Opponent | Siniakova | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Kamilla Rakhimova | L | L 26 64 36 |
| Magda Linette | W 64 63 | W 61 64 |
| Mirra Andreeva | W 46 76 63 | W 62 75 |
| Jessica Pegula | L 26 46 | L 61 46 36 |
| Naomi Osaka | L 26 75 16 | L 46 46 |
| Liudmila Samsonova | L 36 57 | W 57 75 63 |
| Rebeka Masarova | W 62 64 | L 64 46 46 |
| Victoria Mboko | L 75 46 26 | L 46 46 |
| Anna Blinkova | W 62 62 | L 67 46 |
| Diana Shnaider | L 16 62 57 | L 36 06 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Elina Svitolina
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Magda Linette
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Naomi Osaka
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Elisabetta Cocciaretto
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Madison Keys
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Kamilla Rakhimova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Nikola Bartunkova
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Ekaterina Alexandrova
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 1st Round
Oct 12
Kamilla Rakhimova
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Talia Gibson
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · Final
Sep 27
Maja Chwalinska
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · Semifinals
Sep 26
Mirra Andreeva
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Alycia Parks
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · 2nd Round
Sep 23
Kyoka Okamura
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · 1st Round
Sep 21
Jessica Pegula
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 35–58 matches
| Metric | Siniakova | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 49% | 55% |
| Sets won | 52% | 54% |
| Games won | 51% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Siniakova | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 1 |
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 250 | 1 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Siniakova | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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