Karen Khachanov vs Tomas MachacPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Karen Khachanov and Tomas Machac have met 2 times since 2024; Karen Khachanov leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Australian Open - Melbourne in 2024 on hard. On hard courts Khachanov leads 2–0. Khachanov has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Khachanov has taken 5 sets to Machac's 2. Their most recent meeting: Karen Khachanov won at Almaty Open - Almaty (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Khachanov | Machac | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Karen Khachanov | Tomas Machac | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 9/18 | 50% | 8/16 |
| Wins a set when losing | 39% | 7/18 | 47% | 7/15 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 44% | 16/36 | 48% | 15/31 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 25% | 7/28 | 35% | 6/17 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 63% | 5/8 | 57% | 8/14 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 32% | 6/19 | 57% | 8/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 78% | 14/18 | 100% | 11/11 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 50% | 9/18 | 73% | 8/11 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Khachanov 0, Machac 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Khachanov
🤖 Servebot
Machac
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 4,846 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Oct 22, 2026
Almaty Open - Almaty
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jan 19, 2024
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 3rd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Khachanov | Machac | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Karen Khachanov | Tomas Machac | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 17/17 | 100% | 12/12 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 17/17 | 83% | 10/12 |
| 5 or more | 77% | 13/17 | 58% | 7/12 |
| 10 or more | 29% | 5/17 | 8% | 1/12 |
| 15 or more | 6% | 1/17 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Khachanov | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–6 | 5–8 |
| Avg odds | 1.87 | 1.85 |
| ROI % | +8.4% | -43.7% |
| Units P/L | +1.34u | -5.68u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Khachanov | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 8 | 7 |
| Distance | 3,216 mi · 5,175 km | 3,216 mi · 5,175 km |
| Route | CHN → KAZ | CHN → KAZ |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 7 shared opponents, both Khachanov and Machac posted a 43% win rate.
| Opponent | Khachanov | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Molcan | W 75 63 | L 36 26 |
| Arthur Gea | W 63 76 60 | L 36 46 |
| Yannick Hanfmann | W 63 64 64 | W 76 67 64 |
| Alexander Zverev | L 36 67 67 | L 46 26 26 |
| Flavio Cobolli | L 60 67 76 26 26 | L 16 46 |
| Ugo Humbert | L 36 63 67 | W 64 67 62 |
| Jaume Munar | L 67 63 36 | W 64 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Tomas Machac
Almaty Open - Almaty · 2nd Round
Oct 22
Rei Sakamoto
Almaty Open - Almaty · 1st Round
Oct 20
Alex de Minaur
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 4th Round
Oct 13
Adrian Mannarino
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Arthur Fery
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Hubert Hurkacz
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Alex Molcan
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Felix Auger-Aliassime
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Sep 30
Karen Khachanov
Almaty Open - Almaty · 2nd Round
Oct 22
Zangar Nurlanuly
Almaty Open - Almaty · 1st Round
Oct 21
Liam Draxl
Jinan Challenger · Quarterfinals
Oct 16
Aleksandar Vukic
Jinan Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 15
Alexandre Muller
Jinan Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 13
Alexander Bublik
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Zhizhen Zhang
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 7
Alex Molcan
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 37–50 matches
| Metric | Khachanov | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 56% | 51% |
| Sets won | 55% | 51% |
| Games won | 53% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Khachanov | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Khachanov | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
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