Head-to-Head

Karen Khachanov vs Rei SakamotoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

🇷🇺Karen Khachanov

#25 · 30 yrs · R

0–0

First meeting

🇯🇵Rei Sakamoto

#124 · 20 yrs · R

Upcoming match

Tournament: Almaty Open - Almaty
Level: ATP 250
Round: 1st Round
Surface: Hard
Date & time: October 20 · 10:30 AM ET

Book odds

Rei Sakamoto2.613.00

Karen Khachanov1.501.40

Set spread

Sakamoto -1.54.88

Khachanov +1.51.15

Game spread

Sakamoto +31.82

Khachanov -31.89

SakamotoHard-court specialist (82%)KhachanovHard-court specialist (65%)

Record at prices like this

Rei Sakamoto3.00implies 27%won 17%−10 pts

At 3.00 or longer, Rei Sakamoto has won 4 of 23 (17%). The price implied 27%, so Rei Sakamoto has fallen 10 points short of it.

Karen Khachanov1.40implies 75%won 78%+3 pts

At 1.40 or shorter, Karen Khachanov has won 107 of 137 (78%). The price implied 75%, so Karen Khachanov has beaten it by 3 points.

Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.

Karen Khachanov and Rei Sakamoto meet next at the Almaty Open - Almaty on October 20 on hard.

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Spread & Straight-Sets Form

Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months

Indicator	Khachanov	Sakamoto
Indicator	Karen Khachanov		Rei Sakamoto
Wins in straight sets	50%	8/16	63%	30/48
Wins a set when losing	42%	8/19	25%	6/24
Goes to a deciding set	46%	16/35	33%	24/72
Covers −1.5 sets as favorite	22%	6/27	47%	24/51
Covers +1.5 sets as underdog	63%	5/8	56%	10/18
Tiebreak sets won	28%	5/18	51%	20/39
Wins after taking set 1	75%	12/16	90%	38/42
Wins 2-0 after taking set 1	50%	8/16	71%	30/42

Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.

Style Matchup

Playing styles and historical archetype record

Khachanov

🤖 Servebot

High ace rateDominant serviceWeaker returnBig first serve

Sakamoto

🤖 Servebot

High ace rateDominant serviceWeaker returnBig first serve

Matchup analysis

Both Karen Khachanov and Rei Sakamoto are 🤖 Servebot types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 6,464 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.

Previous meetings

First career meeting

Khachanov and Sakamoto have never faced each other on tour.

Prop Research

Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days

Outcome	Khachanov	Sakamoto
Outcome	Karen Khachanov		Rei Sakamoto
1 or more	100%	16/16	100%	22/22
3 or more	100%	16/16	96%	21/22
5 or more	75%	12/16	82%	18/22
10 or more	31%	5/16	46%	10/22
15 or more	6%	1/16	23%	5/22
20 or more	0%	0/16	5%	1/22

Player ROI

Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days

Metric	Khachanov	Sakamoto
W-L	8–6	16–6
Avg odds	1.95	1.83
ROI %	+4.4%	+18.6%
Units P/L	+0.62u	+4.09u

Travel

Last 30 days

Metric	Khachanov	Sakamoto
Countries	2	3
Events	3	3
Matches	6	8
Distance	3,216 mi · 5,175 km	3,645 mi · 5,866 km
Route	CHN → KAZ	JPN → CHN → KAZ

Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.

Common opponents

Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months

Sakamoto has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Khachanov's 40%).

Opponent	Khachanov	Sakamoto
Alex de Minaur	L 36 46	L 67 46
Marco Trungelliti	W 76 57 61 76	W 63 75
Alex Molcan	W 75 63	L 46 06
Aleksandar Kovacevic	L 75 36 67	W 64 36 76
Michael Mmoh	L 67 67	W 64 64

Recent Form

Last five matches per player

Khachanov

LWWLWWLW

Alex de Minaur

Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 4th Round

Oct 13

Adrian Mannarino

Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round

Oct 11

Arthur Fery

Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round

76⁶

6⁵7

76²

Oct 9

Hubert Hurkacz

China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals

6²7

Oct 4

Alex Molcan

China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round

Oct 2

Felix Auger-Aliassime

China Open - Beijing · 1st Round

Sep 30

Alexander Zverev

U.S. Open - New York · Semifinals

6⁷7

Sep 11

Alexander Blockx

U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals

Sep 10

Sakamoto

WWLWWWWL

Gabriel Diallo

Almaty Open - Almaty · 3rd Round Qualifying

Oct 18

Amir Omarkhanov

Almaty Open - Almaty · 1st Round Qualifying

Oct 17

Alex de Minaur

Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round

6⁶7

Oct 11

Andrey Rublev

Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round

Oct 9

Marco Trungelliti

Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round

Oct 7

Kyrian Jacquet

Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round Qualifying

76⁶

76⁸

Oct 6

Seongchan Hong

Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying

Oct 5

Matteo Arnaldi

Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round