Kaichi Uchida vs Marc PolmansPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Kaichi Uchida and Marc Polmans have met 6 times since 2018; Marc Polmans leads 5–1. Their first meeting came at Burnie in 2018 on hard. On hard courts Polmans leads 3–1. On clay courts Polmans leads 2–0. Polmans has won the last 2 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Polmans leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Uchida has taken 4 sets to Polmans's 10. Their most recent meeting: Marc Polmans won at M25 Perth 2 (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Uchida | Polmans | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Kaichi Uchida | Marc Polmans | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 64% | 14/22 | 64% | 14/22 |
| Wins a set when losing | 31% | 11/35 | 31% | 5/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 19/57 | 34% | 13/38 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 43% | 10/23 | 56% | 9/16 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 42% | 13/31 | 47% | 8/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 43% | 6/14 | 56% | 9/16 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 71% | 17/24 | 94% | 17/18 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 58% | 14/24 | 78% | 14/18 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 6 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Uchida 1, Polmans 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Uchida
🤖 Servebot
Polmans
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
6 career meetings, newest first
Oct 12, 2025
M25 Perth 2
H Hard · Final
Apr 3, 2023
Murcia Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Mar 6, 2019
Zhuhai
H Hard · Round of 32
Feb 10, 2019
Bangkok 1A
H Hard · Round of 32
Apr 9, 2018
Sarasota
C Clay · Round of 32
Jan 31, 2018
Burnie
H Hard · Round of 32
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Uchida | Polmans |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–7 | 0–1 |
| Avg odds | 3.43 | 2.12 |
| ROI % | -60.0% | -100.0% |
| Units P/L | -5.40u | -1.00u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Uchida | Polmans |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 2 | — |
| Distance | 765 mi · 1,231 km | — |
| Route | CHN | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 1 shared opponent, both Uchida and Polmans posted a 0% win rate.
| Opponent | Uchida | Polmans |
|---|---|---|
| James McCabe | L 46 57 | L 26 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Ilya Ivashka
Jinan Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 12
Jesse Delaney
Jinan Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Ryan Seggerman
Wuning 3 Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Masamichi Imamura
Wuning 3 Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 6
Federico Cina
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 22
Rio Noguchi
Guangzhou Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 14
Linang Xiao
Shanghai Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 7
Hanyi Liu
Zhangjiagang Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 31
Sebastian Gorzny
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 22
Grigor Dimitrov
Mallorca Championships - Mallorca · 1st Round
Jun 23
Abedallah Shelbayh
Mallorca Championships - Mallorca · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jun 21
Jamie Mackenzie
Mallorca Championships - Mallorca · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 20
Benjamin Bonzi
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 6
Henri Squire
Bad Rappenau Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 2
Jeremy Schifris
Neckarcup 2.0 · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 1
Daniel Elahi Galan
Neckarcup 2.0 · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 1
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 38–57 matches
| Metric | Uchida | Polmans |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 39% | 58% |
| Sets won | 41% | 55% |
| Games won | 47% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Uchida | Polmans |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 1 |
| ITF M25 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 4 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Uchida | Polmans |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 3 |
| Clay | 0 | 2 |
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