Kaichi Uchida vs Marc PolmansPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Kaichi Uchida and Marc Polmans have met 6 times since 2018; Marc Polmans leads 5–1. Their first meeting came at Burnie in 2018 on hard. On hard courts Polmans leads 3–1. On clay courts Polmans leads 2–0. Polmans has won the last 2 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Polmans leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Uchida has taken 4 sets to Polmans's 10. Their most recent meeting: Marc Polmans won at M25 Perth 2 (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Uchida | Polmans | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Kaichi Uchida | Marc Polmans | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 70% | 26/37 | 66% | 21/32 |
| Wins a set when losing | 31% | 10/32 | 38% | 6/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 30% | 21/69 | 35% | 17/48 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 61% | 23/38 | 62% | 16/26 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 41% | 12/29 | 50% | 7/14 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 41% | 7/17 | 60% | 12/20 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 86% | 30/35 | 93% | 27/29 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 26/35 | 72% | 21/29 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 6 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Uchida 1, Polmans 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Uchida
🤖 Servebot
Polmans
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 🏹 Frontrunner is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 767 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
6 career meetings, newest first
Oct 12, 2025
M25 Perth 2
H Hard · Final
Apr 3, 2023
Murcia Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Mar 6, 2019
Zhuhai
H Hard · Round of 32
Feb 10, 2019
Bangkok 1A
H Hard · Round of 32
Apr 9, 2018
Sarasota
C Clay · Round of 32
Jan 31, 2018
Burnie
H Hard · Round of 32
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Uchida | Polmans | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Kaichi Uchida | Marc Polmans | ||
| 1 or more | 75% | 3/4 | 100% | 6/6 |
| 3 or more | 75% | 3/4 | 50% | 3/6 |
| 5 or more | 25% | 1/4 | 17% | 1/6 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/4 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/4 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/4 | 0% | 0/6 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Uchida | Polmans |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 0–6 | 1–2 |
| Avg odds | 3.16 | 3.71 |
| ROI % | -100.0% | -57.0% |
| Units P/L | -6.00u | -1.71u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Uchida | Polmans |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 1 | — |
| Matches | 1 | — |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | CHN | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Polmans has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Uchida's 33%).
| Opponent | Uchida | Polmans |
|---|---|---|
| James McCabe | L 46 57 | L 26 67 |
| Scott Jones | L 57 26 | W 61 63 |
| Cruz Hewitt | W 62 64 | W 62 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Tianhui Zhang
M15 Maanshan · 1st Round
Aug 26
Alexis Galarneau
Granby Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 14
Daniel Milavsky
Newport Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 9
Jack Kennedy
Cary Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 29
Bernard Tomic
Wimbledon · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 22
Quinn Vandecasteele
Dublin Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 14
Pierre-Hugues Herbert
Roland Garros · 1st Round Qualifying
May 19
Max Houkes
Tunis Challenger · 1st Round
May 11
Grigor Dimitrov
Mallorca Championships - Mallorca · 1st Round
Jun 23
Henri Squire
Bad Rappenau Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 2
Jeremy Schifris
Neckarcup 2.0 · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 1
Daniel Elahi Galan
Neckarcup 2.0 · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 1
Tristan Schoolkate
Mexico City Challenger · 2nd Round
Apr 8
Rodrigo Alujas
Mexico City Challenger · 1st Round
Apr 6
Chris Rodesch
Morelia Challenger · 2nd Round
Mar 25
Facundo Mena
Morelia Challenger · 1st Round
Mar 24
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 48–69 matches
| Metric | Uchida | Polmans |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 54% | 67% |
| Sets won | 53% | 62% |
| Games won | 51% | 55% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Uchida | Polmans |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 1 |
| ITF M25 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 4 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Uchida | Polmans |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 3 |
| Clay | 0 | 2 |
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