Kaichi Uchida vs Takuya KumasakaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Kaichi Uchida and Takuya Kumasaka have met 4 times since 2024; Kaichi Uchida leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Nonthaburi 4 in 2024 on hard. On hard courts Uchida leads 3–1. Uchida has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Uchida has taken 6 sets to Kumasaka's 2. Their most recent meeting: Kaichi Uchida won at M25 Takasaki 1 (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Uchida | Kumasaka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Kaichi Uchida | Takuya Kumasaka | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 64% | 14/22 | 78% | 21/27 |
| Wins a set when losing | 31% | 11/35 | 33% | 10/30 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 19/57 | 28% | 16/57 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 43% | 10/23 | 53% | 17/32 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 42% | 13/31 | 38% | 8/21 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 43% | 6/14 | 50% | 8/16 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 71% | 17/24 | 86% | 24/28 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 58% | 14/24 | 75% | 21/28 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Uchida 3, Kumasaka 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Uchida
🤖 Servebot
Kumasaka
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 55% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 3,438 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Kaichi Uchida.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Sep 20, 2025
M25 Takasaki 1
H Hard · Semifinals
Sep 10, 2025
M25 Sapporo 2
H Hard · 1st Round
Sep 6, 2025
M25 Sapporo 1
H Hard · Semifinals
Sep 23, 2024
Nonthaburi 4
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Uchida | Kumasaka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Kaichi Uchida | Takuya Kumasaka | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 8/8 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 8/8 | 43% | 3/7 |
| 5 or more | 75% | 6/8 | 14% | 1/7 |
| 10 or more | 13% | 1/8 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Uchida | Kumasaka |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–7 | 3–6 |
| Avg odds | 3.43 | 2.35 |
| ROI % | -60.0% | -34.7% |
| Units P/L | -5.40u | -3.12u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Uchida | Kumasaka |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 2 | — |
| Distance | 765 mi · 1,231 km | — |
| Route | CHN | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Uchida has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Kumasaka's 17%).
| Opponent | Uchida | Kumasaka |
|---|---|---|
| Federico Cina | L 16 26 | L 16 06 |
| Tianhui Zhang | L 16 67 | W 61 63 |
| Robin Bertrand | W 36 75 61 | L 26 36 |
| Fajing Sun | L 46 26 | L 26 26 |
| Ryotaro Taguchi | W 64 64 | L 57 16 |
| Yuta Shimizu | W 61 62 | L 06 75 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Ilya Ivashka
Jinan Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 12
Jesse Delaney
Jinan Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Ryan Seggerman
Wuning 3 Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Masamichi Imamura
Wuning 3 Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 6
Federico Cina
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 22
Rio Noguchi
Guangzhou Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 14
Linang Xiao
Shanghai Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 7
Hanyi Liu
Zhangjiagang Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 31
Martin Borisiouk
Phan Thiet 3 Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 6
Joshua Charlton
Zhangjiagang Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 30
Hayato Matsuoka
Astana Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 12
Colin Sinclair
Astana Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 11
Alexander Donski
Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 4
Florent Bax
Samsun Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Luka Pavlovic
Segovia Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 21
Sergio Callejon Hernando
Segovia Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jul 20
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 57–58 matches
| Metric | Uchida | Kumasaka |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 39% | 48% |
| Sets won | 41% | 50% |
| Games won | 47% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Uchida | Kumasaka |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M25 | 3 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Uchida | Kumasaka |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 1 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.