Kaichi Uchida vs Takuya KumasakaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Kaichi Uchida and Takuya Kumasaka have met 4 times since 2024; Kaichi Uchida leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Nonthaburi 4 in 2024 on hard. On hard courts Uchida leads 3–1. Uchida has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Uchida has taken 6 sets to Kumasaka's 2. Their most recent meeting: Kaichi Uchida won at M25 Takasaki 1 (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Uchida | Kumasaka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Kaichi Uchida | Takuya Kumasaka | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 70% | 26/37 | 72% | 23/32 |
| Wins a set when losing | 31% | 10/32 | 34% | 10/29 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 30% | 21/69 | 31% | 19/61 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 61% | 23/38 | 50% | 17/34 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 41% | 12/29 | 38% | 8/21 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 41% | 7/17 | 42% | 8/19 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 86% | 30/35 | 87% | 27/31 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 26/35 | 74% | 23/31 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Uchida 3, Kumasaka 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Uchida
🤖 Servebot
Kumasaka
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 57% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 2,280 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Kaichi Uchida.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Sep 20, 2025
M25 Takasaki 1
H Hard · Semifinals
Sep 10, 2025
M25 Sapporo 2
H Hard · 1st Round
Sep 6, 2025
M25 Sapporo 1
H Hard · Semifinals
Sep 23, 2024
Nonthaburi 4
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Uchida | Kumasaka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Kaichi Uchida | Takuya Kumasaka | ||
| 1 or more | 75% | 3/4 | 100% | 11/11 |
| 3 or more | 75% | 3/4 | 46% | 5/11 |
| 5 or more | 25% | 1/4 | 18% | 2/11 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/4 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/4 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/4 | 0% | 0/11 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Uchida | Kumasaka |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 0–6 | 6–7 |
| Avg odds | 3.16 | 2.03 |
| ROI % | -100.0% | -31.9% |
| Units P/L | -6.00u | -4.15u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Uchida | Kumasaka |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 1 | 3 |
| Distance | — | 2,135 mi · 3,436 km |
| Route | CHN | POL → KAZ |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Uchida has a higher win rate against shared opponents (78% vs Kumasaka's 44%).
| Opponent | Uchida | Kumasaka |
|---|---|---|
| Tianhui Zhang | L 16 67 | W 61 63 |
| Robin Bertrand | W 36 75 61 | L 26 36 |
| Taisei Ichikawa | W 62 26 75 | L 64 46 36 |
| Naoki Nakagawa | W 36 63 63 | W 75 75 |
| Cruz Hewitt | W 62 64 | W 75 61 |
| Fajing Sun | L 46 26 | L 26 26 |
| Ryotaro Taguchi | W 64 64 | L 57 16 |
| Shunsuke Nakagawa | W 61 60 | W 76 63 |
| Yuta Shimizu | W 61 62 | L 06 75 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Tianhui Zhang
M15 Maanshan · 1st Round
Aug 26
Alexis Galarneau
Granby Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 14
Daniel Milavsky
Newport Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 9
Jack Kennedy
Cary Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 29
Bernard Tomic
Wimbledon · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 22
Quinn Vandecasteele
Dublin Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 14
Pierre-Hugues Herbert
Roland Garros · 1st Round Qualifying
May 19
Max Houkes
Tunis Challenger · 1st Round
May 11
Hayato Matsuoka
Astana Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 12
Colin Sinclair
Astana Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 11
Alexander Donski
Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 4
Florent Bax
Samsun Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Luka Pavlovic
Segovia Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 21
Pavel Lagutin
Pozoblanco challenger
Jul 13
Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez
Pozoblanco challenger
Jul 12
Robin Bertrand
M25 Roda de Bara · 2nd Round
Jul 8
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 62–69 matches
| Metric | Uchida | Kumasaka |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 54% | 53% |
| Sets won | 53% | 53% |
| Games won | 51% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Uchida | Kumasaka |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M25 | 3 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Uchida | Kumasaka |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 1 |
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