Juan Pablo Varillas vs Timofey SkatovPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Juan Pablo Varillas and Timofey Skatov have met 1 time since 2026; Juan Pablo Varillas leads 1–0. Across all meetings Varillas has taken 2 sets to Skatov's 0. Their most recent meeting: Juan Pablo Varillas won at San Marino Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Pablo Varillas | Skatov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Juan Pablo Varillas | Timofey Skatov | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 26/36 | 78% | 21/27 |
| Wins a set when losing | 30% | 8/27 | 31% | 10/32 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 29% | 18/63 | 27% | 16/59 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 35% | 6/17 | 39% | 12/31 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 91% | 10/11 | 59% | 16/27 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 43% | 10/23 | 36% | 8/22 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 34/38 | 79% | 23/29 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 68% | 26/38 | 72% | 21/29 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Pablo Varillas 1, Skatov 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Varillas
🪃 Counterpuncher
Skatov
🎾 All-Court
Matchup analysis
The 🎾 All-Court archetype wins about 55% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 682 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Timofey Skatov.
All-Court players often use tactical versatility and net approach ability to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 31, 2026
San Marino Challenger
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Varillas | Skatov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Juan Pablo Varillas | Timofey Skatov | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 10/10 | 71% | 10/14 |
| 3 or more | 70% | 7/10 | 21% | 3/14 |
| 5 or more | 50% | 5/10 | 14% | 2/14 |
| 10 or more | 10% | 1/10 | 7% | 1/14 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 7% | 1/14 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 7% | 1/14 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Varillas | Skatov |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–2 | 9–10 |
| Avg odds | 2.21 | 2.78 |
| ROI % | +49.5% | +16.6% |
| Units P/L | +3.47u | +3.16u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Varillas | Skatov |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 1 | 2 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 5,267 mi · 8,476 km |
| Route | SMR | GER → MEX |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Varillas has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Skatov's 0%).
| Opponent | Varillas | Skatov |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Barrena | L 62 26 36 | L 67 26 |
| Gonzalo Villanueva | W 63 75 | L 36 16 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Mili Poljicak
San Marino Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 1
Timofey Skatov
San Marino Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Francesco Maestrelli
San Marino Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Jacopo Vasami
San Marino Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Nicolas Mejia
Bogota Challenger · Semifinals
Jul 11
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
Bogota Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 10
Luis Carlos Alvarez
Bogota Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 8
Bruno Fernandez
Bogota Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 7
Gauthier Onclin
Cancun Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 20
Alex Barrena
Hagen Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 3
Juan Pablo Varillas
San Marino Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Otto Virtanen
San Marino Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Thomas Faurel
San Marino Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Andrey Rublev
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Jesper de Jong
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 1st Round
Jul 21
Raphael Collignon
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad · 1st Round
Jul 13
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 60–63 matches
| Metric | Varillas | Skatov |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 57% | 45% |
| Sets won | 56% | 47% |
| Games won | 52% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Varillas | Skatov |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Varillas | Skatov |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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