Juan Pablo Varillas vs Thiago Agustin TirantePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ต๐ชJuan Pablo Varillas
#232 ยท 30 yrs ยท R
4w36 meetings ยท sets 7โ7

๐ฆ๐ทThiago Agustin Tirante
#42 ยท 25 yrs ยท R
4Juan Pablo Varillas and Thiago Agustin Tirante have met 6 times since 2021; they are level 3โ3. Their first meeting came at Ambato Challenger in 2021 on clay. On clay courts they are level 3โ3. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Tirante leading those 1โ0. Across all meetings Varillas has taken 7 sets to Tirante's 7. Their most recent meeting: Juan Pablo Varillas won at Buenos Aires (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Pablo Varillas | Agustin Tirante | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Juan Pablo Varillas | Thiago Agustin Tirante | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 26/36 | 59% | 24/41 |
| Wins a set when losing | 30% | 8/27 | 24% | 6/25 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 29% | 18/63 | 35% | 23/66 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 35% | 6/17 | 17% | 3/18 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 91% | 10/11 | 73% | 11/15 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 43% | 10/23 | 55% | 16/29 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 34/38 | 91% | 31/34 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 68% | 26/38 | 71% | 24/34 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 6 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Pablo Varillas 2, Agustin Tirante 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Varillas
๐ช Counterpuncher
Tirante
๐ค Servebot
Matchup analysis
The ๐ค Servebot archetype wins about 57% vs ๐ช Counterpuncher across 2,280 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Thiago Agustin Tirante.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
6 career meetings, newest first
Feb 11, 2023
Buenos Aires
C Clay ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 16, 2022
Santo Domingo Challenger
C Clay ยท 1st Round
Aug 12, 2022
Lima Challenger
C Clay ยท Quarterfinals
Apr 1, 2022
Pereira Challenger
C Clay ยท Quarterfinals
Mar 8, 2022
Santiago Challenger
C Clay ยท 1st Round
Sep 26, 2021
Ambato Challenger
C Clay ยท Final
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Varillas | Tirante | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Juan Pablo Varillas | Thiago Agustin Tirante | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 10/10 | 100% | 14/14 |
| 3 or more | 70% | 7/10 | 100% | 14/14 |
| 5 or more | 50% | 5/10 | 86% | 12/14 |
| 10 or more | 10% | 1/10 | 21% | 3/14 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 7% | 1/14 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 7% | 1/14 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Varillas | Tirante |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5โ2 | 9โ3 |
| Avg odds | 2.21 | 2.21 |
| ROI % | +49.5% | +55.9% |
| Units P/L | +3.47u | +6.71u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Varillas | Tirante |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 2 | 9 |
| Distance | 0 mi ยท 0 km | 712 mi ยท 1,146 km |
| Route | SMR | CAN โ USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Tirante has a higher win rate against shared opponents (44% vs Varillas's 22%).
| Opponent | Varillas | Tirante |
|---|---|---|
| Francesco Maestrelli | W 76 46 63 | L 67 46 |
| Nicolas Mejia | L 46 75 16 | L 67 46 |
| Roman Andres Burruchaga | L 26 36 | L 16 16 |
| Facundo Diaz Acosta | L 36 67 | W 76 64 |
| Alex Barrena | L 62 26 36 | W 75 67 63 |
| Pedro Boscardin Dias | L 26 67 | L 67 63 57 |
| Diego Dedura | L 46 67 | W 62 63 |
| Adolfo Daniel Vallejo | L 46 26 | L 46 26 |
| Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | W 64 76 | W 46 75 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Mili Poljicak
San Marino Challenger ยท Semifinals
Aug 1
Timofey Skatov
San Marino Challenger ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Francesco Maestrelli
San Marino Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Jul 30
Jacopo Vasami
San Marino Challenger ยท 1st Round
Jul 28
Nicolas Mejia
Bogota Challenger ยท Semifinals
Jul 11
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
Bogota Challenger ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 10
Luis Carlos Alvarez
Bogota Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Jul 8
Bruno Fernandez
Bogota Challenger ยท 1st Round
Jul 7
Arthur Fils
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Jakub Mensik
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 4th Round
Aug 19
Martin Landaluce
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 3rd Round
Aug 17
Novak Djokovic
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 15
Jan Choinski
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 1st Round
Aug 13
Learner Tien
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 4th Round
Aug 9
Alexei Popyrin
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 3rd Round
Aug 8
Taylor Fritz
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 2nd Round
Aug 5
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 63โ72 matches
| Metric | Varillas | Tirante |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 57% | 61% |
| Sets won | 56% | 56% |
| Games won | 52% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Varillas | Tirante |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 2 | 3 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Varillas | Tirante |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 3 | 3 |
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