Juan Pablo Varillas vs Thiago Agustin TirantePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇵🇪Juan Pablo Varillas
#200 · 30 yrs · R
6 meetings · sets 7–7
🇦🇷Thiago Agustin Tirante
#54 · 25 yrs · R
Juan Pablo Varillas and Thiago Agustin Tirante have met 6 times since 2021; they are level 3–3. Their first meeting came at Ambato Challenger in 2021 on clay. On clay courts they are level 3–3. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Tirante leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Varillas has taken 7 sets to Tirante's 7. Their most recent meeting: Juan Pablo Varillas won at Buenos Aires (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Pablo Varillas | Agustin Tirante | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Juan Pablo Varillas | Thiago Agustin Tirante | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 62% | 24/39 | 60% | 21/35 |
| Wins a set when losing | 30% | 8/27 | 32% | 8/25 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 35% | 23/66 | 37% | 22/60 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 25% | 5/20 | 20% | 3/15 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 75% | 12/16 | 72% | 13/18 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 52% | 14/27 | 54% | 13/24 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 33/37 | 87% | 27/31 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 65% | 24/37 | 68% | 21/31 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 6 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Pablo Varillas 2, Agustin Tirante 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Varillas
🪃 Counterpuncher
Tirante
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 55% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 3,438 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Thiago Agustin Tirante.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
6 career meetings, newest first
Feb 11, 2023
Buenos Aires
C Clay · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 16, 2022
Santo Domingo Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Aug 12, 2022
Lima Challenger
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Apr 1, 2022
Pereira Challenger
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Mar 8, 2022
Santiago Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Sep 26, 2021
Ambato Challenger
C Clay · Final
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Varillas | Tirante | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Juan Pablo Varillas | Thiago Agustin Tirante | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 17/17 | 100% | 13/13 |
| 3 or more | 53% | 9/17 | 100% | 13/13 |
| 5 or more | 41% | 7/17 | 92% | 12/13 |
| 10 or more | 6% | 1/17 | 31% | 4/13 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 15% | 2/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 8% | 1/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Varillas | Tirante |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–6 | 7–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.12 | 2.26 |
| ROI % | +32.2% | +35.4% |
| Units P/L | +5.79u | +4.25u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Varillas | Tirante |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 3 | 3 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 663 mi · 1,067 km |
| Route | ARG | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Tirante has a higher win rate against shared opponents (44% vs Varillas's 33%).
| Opponent | Varillas | Tirante |
|---|---|---|
| Jan-Lennard Struff | L 46 26 | L 16 46 |
| Adolfo Daniel Vallejo | W 57 76 63 | L 46 26 |
| Francesco Passaro | W 75 61 | W 64 75 |
| Francesco Maestrelli | W 76 46 63 | L 67 46 |
| Roman Andres Burruchaga | L 26 36 | L 16 16 |
| Facundo Diaz Acosta | L 36 67 | W 76 64 |
| Alex Barrena | L 62 26 36 | W 75 67 63 |
| Diego Dedura | L 46 67 | W 62 63 |
| Pedro Boscardin Dias | L 26 67 | L 67 63 57 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Felipe Meligeni Alves
Antofagasta Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 6
Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo
Buenos Aires Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Murkel Dellien
Buenos Aires Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 23
Tomas Farjat
Buenos Aires Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Hernando Jose Escurra Isnardi
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, PER-PAR 3-2 · Rubber 5
Sep 19
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, PER-PAR 3-2 · Rubber 2
Sep 18
Thiago Seyboth Wild
Genoa Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 11
Francesco Passaro
Genoa Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Rafael Jodar
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Hamad Medjedovic
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Jan-Lennard Struff
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Sep 30
Mert Alkaya
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, ARG-TUR 3-1 · Rubber 2
Sep 19
Adrian Mannarino
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Arthur Fils
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Jakub Mensik
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Martin Landaluce
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 17
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 66–67 matches
| Metric | Varillas | Tirante |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 59% | 57% |
| Sets won | 55% | 54% |
| Games won | 52% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Varillas | Tirante |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 2 | 3 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Varillas | Tirante |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 3 | 3 |
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