Juan Pablo Varillas vs Sumit NagalPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Juan Pablo Varillas and Sumit Nagal have met 3 times since 2018; Sumit Nagal leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Genova in 2018 on clay. On clay courts Nagal leads 2–1. Across all meetings Varillas has taken 3 sets to Nagal's 4. Their most recent meeting: Juan Pablo Varillas won at Hamburg European Open - Hamburg (2021).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Pablo Varillas | Nagal | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Juan Pablo Varillas | Sumit Nagal | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 26/36 | 71% | 24/34 |
| Wins a set when losing | 30% | 8/27 | 54% | 15/28 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 29% | 18/63 | 40% | 25/62 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 35% | 6/17 | 35% | 11/31 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 91% | 10/11 | 72% | 18/25 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 43% | 10/23 | 39% | 7/18 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 34/38 | 76% | 31/41 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 68% | 26/38 | 59% | 24/41 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Pablo Varillas 1, Nagal 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Varillas
🪃 Counterpuncher
Nagal
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
Both Juan Pablo Varillas and Sumit Nagal are 🪃 Counterpuncher types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 2,818 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jul 13, 2021
Hamburg European Open - Hamburg
C Clay · 1st Round
Apr 30, 2019
Savannah
C Clay · Round of 64
Sep 4, 2018
Genova
C Clay · 3rd Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Varillas | Nagal | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Juan Pablo Varillas | Sumit Nagal | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 10/10 | 63% | 12/19 |
| 3 or more | 70% | 7/10 | 16% | 3/19 |
| 5 or more | 50% | 5/10 | 11% | 2/19 |
| 10 or more | 10% | 1/10 | 0% | 0/19 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/19 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/19 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Varillas | Nagal |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–2 | 10–7 |
| Avg odds | 2.21 | 1.84 |
| ROI % | +49.5% | +10.6% |
| Units P/L | +3.47u | +1.80u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Varillas | Nagal |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 3 |
| Matches | 2 | 5 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 593 mi · 954 km |
| Route | SMR | CZE → GER → CZE |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Nagal has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Varillas's 25%).
| Opponent | Varillas | Nagal |
|---|---|---|
| Mili Poljicak | L 57 46 | W 64 36 75 |
| Mariano Kestelboim | W 60 64 | L 26 61 67 |
| Zdenek Kolar | L 67 76 67 | W 64 76 |
| Diego Dedura | L 46 67 | L 76 36 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Mili Poljicak
San Marino Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 1
Timofey Skatov
San Marino Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Francesco Maestrelli
San Marino Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Jacopo Vasami
San Marino Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Nicolas Mejia
Bogota Challenger · Semifinals
Jul 11
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
Bogota Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 10
Luis Carlos Alvarez
Bogota Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 8
Bruno Fernandez
Bogota Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 7
Jan Kumstat
Prague Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 19
Eduardo Ribeiro
Prague Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 17
Max Houkes
Hamburg Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 11
Jan Kumstat
Liberec Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 1
Martin Krumich
Liberec Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Petr Brunclik
Liberec Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Inaki Montes-De La Torre
Liberec Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 27
Andrej Nedic
Tampere Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 21
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 62–63 matches
| Metric | Varillas | Nagal |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 57% | 55% |
| Sets won | 56% | 56% |
| Games won | 52% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Varillas | Nagal |
|---|---|---|
| ATP World Tour 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Varillas | Nagal |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 2 |
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