Juan Pablo Varillas vs Sumit NagalPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ต๐ชJuan Pablo Varillas
#200 ยท 30 yrs ยท R
3 meetings ยท sets 3โ4

๐ฎ๐ณSumit Nagal
#253 ยท 29 yrs ยท R
5Juan Pablo Varillas and Sumit Nagal have met 3 times since 2018; Sumit Nagal leads 2โ1. Their first meeting came at Genova in 2018 on clay. On clay courts Nagal leads 2โ1. Across all meetings Varillas has taken 3 sets to Nagal's 4. Their most recent meeting: Juan Pablo Varillas won at Hamburg European Open - Hamburg (2021).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Pablo Varillas | Nagal | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Juan Pablo Varillas | Sumit Nagal | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 62% | 24/39 | 68% | 15/22 |
| Wins a set when losing | 30% | 8/27 | 46% | 13/28 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 35% | 23/66 | 40% | 20/50 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 25% | 5/20 | 24% | 6/25 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 75% | 12/16 | 60% | 12/20 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 52% | 14/27 | 36% | 5/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 33/37 | 70% | 19/27 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 65% | 24/37 | 56% | 15/27 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Pablo Varillas 1, Nagal 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Varillas
๐ช Counterpuncher
Nagal
๐ช Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
Both Juan Pablo Varillas and Sumit Nagal are ๐ช Counterpuncher types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,190 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jul 13, 2021
Hamburg European Open - Hamburg
C Clay ยท 1st Round
Apr 30, 2019
Savannah
C Clay ยท Round of 64
Sep 4, 2018
Genova
C Clay ยท 3rd Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Varillas | Nagal | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Juan Pablo Varillas | Sumit Nagal | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 17/17 | 55% | 6/11 |
| 3 or more | 53% | 9/17 | 18% | 2/11 |
| 5 or more | 41% | 7/17 | 9% | 1/11 |
| 10 or more | 6% | 1/17 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/11 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Varillas | Nagal |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12โ6 | 4โ8 |
| Avg odds | 2.12 | 2.31 |
| ROI % | +32.2% | -40.3% |
| Units P/L | +5.79u | -4.84u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Varillas | Nagal |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | โ |
| Events | 1 | โ |
| Matches | 3 | โ |
| Distance | 0 mi ยท 0 km | โ |
| Route | ARG | โ |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Across 6 shared opponents, both Varillas and Nagal posted a 33% win rate.
| Opponent | Varillas | Nagal |
|---|---|---|
| Matej Dodig | L 36 67 | L 26 46 |
| Jan Kumstat | W 64 63 | L 57 36 |
| Mili Poljicak | L 57 46 | W 64 36 75 |
| Mariano Kestelboim | W 60 64 | L 26 61 67 |
| Zdenek Kolar | L 67 76 67 | W 64 76 |
| Diego Dedura | L 46 67 | L 76 36 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Felipe Meligeni Alves
Antofagasta Challenger ยท 1st Round
Oct 6
Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo
Buenos Aires Challenger ยท Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Murkel Dellien
Buenos Aires Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Sep 23
Tomas Farjat
Buenos Aires Challenger ยท 1st Round
Sep 22
Hernando Jose Escurra Isnardi
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, PER-PAR 3-2 ยท Rubber 5
Sep 19
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, PER-PAR 3-2 ยท Rubber 2
Sep 18
Thiago Seyboth Wild
Genoa Challenger ยท Quarterfinals
Sep 11
Francesco Passaro
Genoa Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Sep 10
Luka Mikrut
Braga Challenger ยท 1st Round
Oct 7
Soon Woo Kwon
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, KOR-IND ยท Rubber 4
Sep 19
Hyeon Chung
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, KOR-IND ยท Rubber 2
Sep 18
Arthur Gea
U.S. Open - New York ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Jan Kumstat
Prague Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Aug 19
Eduardo Ribeiro
Prague Challenger ยท 1st Round
Aug 17
Max Houkes
Hamburg Challenger ยท 1st Round
Aug 11
Jan Kumstat
Liberec Challenger ยท Semifinals
Aug 1
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 50โ66 matches
| Metric | Varillas | Nagal |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 59% | 44% |
| Sets won | 55% | 48% |
| Games won | 52% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Varillas | Nagal |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Varillas | Nagal |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 2 |
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