Juan Pablo Varillas vs Riccardo BonadioPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ต๐ชJuan Pablo Varillas
#232 ยท 30 yrs ยท R
4w32 meetings ยท sets 2โ2
๐ฎ๐นRiccardo Bonadio
Unranked
100w4Juan Pablo Varillas and Riccardo Bonadio have met 2 times since 2018; they are level 1โ1. Their first meeting came at San Benedetto in 2018 on clay. On clay courts they are level 1โ1. Across all meetings Varillas has taken 2 sets to Bonadio's 2. Their most recent meeting: Riccardo Bonadio won at Sassuolo (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Pablo Varillas | Bonadio | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Juan Pablo Varillas | Riccardo Bonadio | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 26/36 | โ | |
| Wins a set when losing | 30% | 8/27 | โ | |
| Goes to a deciding set | 29% | 18/63 | โ | |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 35% | 6/17 | โ | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 91% | 10/11 | โ | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 43% | 10/23 | โ | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 34/38 | โ | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 68% | 26/38 | โ | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample โ read with care. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Pablo Varillas 0, Bonadio 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Varillas
๐ช Counterpuncher
Bonadio
โ๏ธ Grinder
Matchup analysis
๐ช Counterpuncher vs โ๏ธ Grinder is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 1,208 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jun 18, 2024
Sassuolo
C Clay ยท Round of 32
Jul 3, 2018
San Benedetto
C Clay ยท 3rd Round Qualifying
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Varillas | Bonadio |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5โ2 | - |
| Avg odds | 2.21 | - |
| ROI % | +49.5% | - |
| Units P/L | +3.47u | - |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Varillas | Bonadio |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | โ |
| Events | 1 | โ |
| Matches | 1 | โ |
| Distance | 0 mi ยท 0 km | โ |
| Route | SMR | โ |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Mili Poljicak
San Marino Challenger ยท Semifinals
Aug 1
Timofey Skatov
San Marino Challenger ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Francesco Maestrelli
San Marino Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Jul 30
Jacopo Vasami
San Marino Challenger ยท 1st Round
Jul 28
Nicolas Mejia
Bogota Challenger ยท Semifinals
Jul 11
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
Bogota Challenger ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 10
Luis Carlos Alvarez
Bogota Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Jul 8
Bruno Fernandez
Bogota Challenger ยท 1st Round
Jul 7
Ivan Marrero Curbelo
Villena ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Carlos Taberner
Cordenons ยท Quarterfinals
Aug 9
Joel Schwaerzler
Cordenons ยท Round of 16
Aug 8
Vitaliy Sachko
Cordenons ยท Round of 32
Aug 6
Ignacio Buse
Milan ยท 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 24
Gabriele Piraino
Milan ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 23
Daniel Altmaier
Sassuolo ยท Quarterfinals
Jun 20
Fabio Fognini
Sassuolo ยท Round of 16
Jun 19
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 63โ63 matches
| Metric | Varillas | Bonadio |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 57% | - |
| Sets won | 56% | - |
| Games won | 52% | - |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Varillas | Bonadio |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Varillas | Bonadio |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 1 |
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