Juan Pablo Varillas vs Matej DodigPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Juan Pablo Varillas and Matej Dodig have met 1 time since 2026; Matej Dodig leads 1–0. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Dodig leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Varillas has taken 0 sets to Dodig's 2. Their most recent meeting: Matej Dodig won at Como Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Pablo Varillas | Dodig | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Juan Pablo Varillas | Matej Dodig | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 62% | 24/39 | 57% | 24/42 |
| Wins a set when losing | 30% | 8/27 | 43% | 10/23 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 35% | 23/66 | 43% | 28/65 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 25% | 5/20 | 46% | 19/41 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 75% | 12/16 | 75% | 18/24 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 52% | 14/27 | 53% | 16/30 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 33/37 | 89% | 32/36 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 65% | 24/37 | 67% | 24/36 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Pablo Varillas 0, Dodig 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Varillas
🪃 Counterpuncher
Dodig
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 3,969 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Sep 6, 2026
Como Challenger
C Clay · Final
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Varillas | Dodig | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Juan Pablo Varillas | Matej Dodig | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 17/17 | 95% | 18/19 |
| 3 or more | 53% | 9/17 | 90% | 17/19 |
| 5 or more | 41% | 7/17 | 58% | 11/19 |
| 10 or more | 6% | 1/17 | 21% | 4/19 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/19 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/19 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Varillas | Dodig |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–6 | 17–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.12 | 2.07 |
| ROI % | +32.2% | +16.9% |
| Units P/L | +5.79u | +3.54u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Varillas | Dodig |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 1 | — |
| Matches | 3 | — |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | ARG | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Dodig has a higher win rate against shared opponents (75% vs Varillas's 25%).
| Opponent | Varillas | Dodig |
|---|---|---|
| Thiago Seyboth Wild | L 16 67 | L 57 64 26 |
| Franco Agamenone | L 67 26 | W |
| Mili Poljicak | L 57 46 | W 62 63 |
| Timofey Skatov | W 64 64 | W 63 46 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Felipe Meligeni Alves
Antofagasta Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 6
Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo
Buenos Aires Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Murkel Dellien
Buenos Aires Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 23
Tomas Farjat
Buenos Aires Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Hernando Jose Escurra Isnardi
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, PER-PAR 3-2 · Rubber 5
Sep 19
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, PER-PAR 3-2 · Rubber 2
Sep 18
Thiago Seyboth Wild
Genoa Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 11
Francesco Passaro
Genoa Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Elmer Moller
Braga Challenger · Final
Oct 11
Lukas Neumayer
Braga Challenger · Semifinals
Oct 10
Marvin Moeller
Braga Challenger · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Miguel Damas
Braga Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Andrea Pellegrino
Braga Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 7
Alexander Zverev
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, GER-CRO · Rubber 1
Sep 19
Thiago Seyboth Wild
Genoa Challenger · Semifinals
Sep 12
Enrico Dalla Valle
Genoa Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 11
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 65–66 matches
| Metric | Varillas | Dodig |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 59% | 65% |
| Sets won | 55% | 59% |
| Games won | 52% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Varillas | Dodig |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Varillas | Dodig |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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