Juan Pablo Varillas vs Mariano KestelboimPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

🇵🇪Juan Pablo Varillas
#200 · 30 yrs · R
1 meeting · sets 2–0
🇦🇷Mariano Kestelboim
#1021 · 30 yrs · R
3wJuan Pablo Varillas and Mariano Kestelboim have met 1 time since 2026; Juan Pablo Varillas leads 1–0. Across all meetings Varillas has taken 2 sets to Kestelboim's 0. Their most recent meeting: Juan Pablo Varillas won at Asuncion Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Pablo Varillas | Kestelboim | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Juan Pablo Varillas | Mariano Kestelboim | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 62% | 24/39 | 25% | 1/4 |
| Wins a set when losing | 30% | 8/27 | 14% | 1/7 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 35% | 23/66 | 36% | 4/11 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 25% | 5/20 | 100% | 1/1 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 75% | 12/16 | 50% | 4/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 52% | 14/27 | 67% | 2/3 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 33/37 | 100% | 4/4 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 65% | 24/37 | 25% | 1/4 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Pablo Varillas 1, Kestelboim 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Varillas
🪃 Counterpuncher
Kestelboim
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
The 🪃 Counterpuncher archetype wins about 53% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 2,464 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Juan Pablo Varillas.
Counterpuncher players often use elite bp conversion and strong return game to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Mar 17, 2026
Asuncion Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Varillas | Kestelboim |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–6 | 0–1 |
| Avg odds | 2.12 | 1.22 |
| ROI % | +32.2% | -100.0% |
| Units P/L | +5.79u | -1.00u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Varillas | Kestelboim |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 1 |
| Matches | 3 | 1 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | ARG | ARG |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 1 shared opponent, both Varillas and Kestelboim posted a 0% win rate.
| Opponent | Varillas | Kestelboim |
|---|---|---|
| Facundo Mena | L | L 46 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Felipe Meligeni Alves
Antofagasta Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 6
Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo
Buenos Aires Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Murkel Dellien
Buenos Aires Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 23
Tomas Farjat
Buenos Aires Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Hernando Jose Escurra Isnardi
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, PER-PAR 3-2 · Rubber 5
Sep 19
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, PER-PAR 3-2 · Rubber 2
Sep 18
Thiago Seyboth Wild
Genoa Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 11
Francesco Passaro
Genoa Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Fermin Tenti
Buenos Aires Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 21
Iliyan Radulov
Open Sopra Steria de Lyon · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 7
Sumit Nagal
Neckarcup 2.0 · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 1
Matias Soto
Santa Cruz de la Sierra Challenger · 1st Round
Apr 14
Natan Rodrigues
Campinas Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Apr 5
Juan Pablo Varillas
Asuncion Challenger · 1st Round
Mar 17
Juan Bautista Torres
Tigre 1 Challenger · 1st Round
Feb 17
Facundo Mena
Dove Men+Care Concepción · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jan 27
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 11–66 matches
| Metric | Varillas | Kestelboim |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 59% | 36% |
| Sets won | 55% | 35% |
| Games won | 52% | 45% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Varillas | Kestelboim |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Varillas | Kestelboim |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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