Juan Pablo Varillas vs Mariano KestelboimPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇵🇪Juan Pablo Varillas
#232 · 30 yrs · R
4w31 meeting · sets 2–0
🇦🇷Mariano Kestelboim
#829 · 30 yrs · R
12w3Juan Pablo Varillas and Mariano Kestelboim have met 1 time since 2026; Juan Pablo Varillas leads 1–0. Across all meetings Varillas has taken 2 sets to Kestelboim's 0. Their most recent meeting: Juan Pablo Varillas won at Asuncion Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Pablo Varillas | Kestelboim | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Juan Pablo Varillas | Mariano Kestelboim | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 26/36 | 44% | 4/9 |
| Wins a set when losing | 30% | 8/27 | 20% | 2/10 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 29% | 18/63 | 37% | 7/19 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 35% | 6/17 | 80% | 4/5 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 91% | 10/11 | 50% | 6/12 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 43% | 10/23 | 67% | 4/6 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 34/38 | 89% | 8/9 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 68% | 26/38 | 44% | 4/9 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Pablo Varillas 1, Kestelboim 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Varillas
🪃 Counterpuncher
Kestelboim
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs ⚔️ The Gladiator is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 1,935 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Mar 17, 2026
Asuncion Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Varillas | Kestelboim |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–2 | 0–1 |
| Avg odds | 2.21 | 3.26 |
| ROI % | +49.5% | -100.0% |
| Units P/L | +3.47u | -1.00u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Varillas | Kestelboim |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 1 | — |
| Matches | 1 | — |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | SMR | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Kestelboim has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Varillas's 17%).
| Opponent | Varillas | Kestelboim |
|---|---|---|
| Lautaro Midon | L 67 46 | W 26 63 63 |
| Alex Barrena | L 62 26 36 | L 06 16 |
| Franco Roncadelli | L 64 26 26 | L 36 67 |
| Mateus Alves | L 26 26 | W 64 46 62 |
| Sebastian Gima | L 46 26 | W 64 61 |
| Daniel Dutra da Silva | W 61 63 | L 76 57 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Mili Poljicak
San Marino Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 1
Timofey Skatov
San Marino Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Francesco Maestrelli
San Marino Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Jacopo Vasami
San Marino Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Nicolas Mejia
Bogota Challenger · Semifinals
Jul 11
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
Bogota Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 10
Luis Carlos Alvarez
Bogota Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 8
Bruno Fernandez
Bogota Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 7
Iliyan Radulov
Open Sopra Steria de Lyon · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 7
Sumit Nagal
Neckarcup 2.0 · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 1
Matias Soto
Santa Cruz de la Sierra Challenger · 1st Round
Apr 14
Juan Pablo Varillas
Asuncion Challenger · 1st Round
Mar 17
Juan Bautista Torres
Tigre 1 Challenger · 1st Round
Feb 17
Facundo Mena
Dove Men+Care Concepción · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jan 27
Mateus Alves
Dove Men+Care Concepción · 1st Round Qualifying
Jan 26
Nicolas Kicker
Lima 3 Challenger · 1st Round
Nov 4
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 19–63 matches
| Metric | Varillas | Kestelboim |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 57% | 47% |
| Sets won | 56% | 44% |
| Games won | 52% | 48% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Varillas | Kestelboim |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Varillas | Kestelboim |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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