Juan Pablo Varillas vs Luka PavlovicPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Juan Pablo Varillas and Luka Pavlovic have met 2 times since 2025; Luka Pavlovic leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Mexico City Challenger in 2025 on clay. Pavlovic has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Varillas has taken 2 sets to Pavlovic's 4. Their most recent meeting: Luka Pavlovic won at U.S. Open - New York (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Pablo Varillas | Pavlovic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Juan Pablo Varillas | Luka Pavlovic | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 62% | 24/39 | 58% | 15/26 |
| Wins a set when losing | 30% | 8/27 | 42% | 11/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 35% | 23/66 | 42% | 22/52 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 25% | 5/20 | 38% | 8/21 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 75% | 12/16 | 69% | 20/29 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 52% | 14/27 | 56% | 14/25 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 33/37 | 79% | 22/28 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 65% | 24/37 | 54% | 15/28 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Pablo Varillas 0, Pavlovic 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Varillas
🪃 Counterpuncher
Pavlovic
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 55% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 3,438 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Luka Pavlovic.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Aug 24, 2026
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Apr 11, 2025
Mexico City Challenger
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Varillas | Pavlovic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Juan Pablo Varillas | Luka Pavlovic | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 17/17 | 100% | 15/15 |
| 3 or more | 53% | 9/17 | 100% | 15/15 |
| 5 or more | 41% | 7/17 | 73% | 11/15 |
| 10 or more | 6% | 1/17 | 53% | 8/15 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 20% | 3/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 7% | 1/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Varillas | Pavlovic |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–6 | 9–7 |
| Avg odds | 2.12 | 2.05 |
| ROI % | +32.2% | -13.2% |
| Units P/L | +5.79u | -2.11u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Varillas | Pavlovic |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 4 |
| Matches | 3 | 6 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 2,414 mi · 3,885 km |
| Route | ARG | VIE → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Pavlovic has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Varillas's 0%).
| Opponent | Varillas | Pavlovic |
|---|---|---|
| Felipe Meligeni Alves | L 36 16 | L 67 67 |
| Alan Magadan | L 16 46 | W 64 63 |
| Facundo Mena | L | W 76 46 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Felipe Meligeni Alves
Antofagasta Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 6
Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo
Buenos Aires Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Murkel Dellien
Buenos Aires Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 23
Tomas Farjat
Buenos Aires Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Hernando Jose Escurra Isnardi
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, PER-PAR 3-2 · Rubber 5
Sep 19
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, PER-PAR 3-2 · Rubber 2
Sep 18
Thiago Seyboth Wild
Genoa Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 11
Francesco Passaro
Genoa Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Kangyuan Shi
Jinan Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 12
Thomas Fancutt
Jinan Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Ilia Simakin
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Lloyd Harris
Jingshan Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Akira Santillan
Jingshan Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Alexandre Muller
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 22
Hunter Heck
Phan Thiet 4 Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 16
Ha Minh Duc Vu
Phan Thiet 4 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 15
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 53–66 matches
| Metric | Varillas | Pavlovic |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 59% | 49% |
| Sets won | 55% | 49% |
| Games won | 52% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Varillas | Pavlovic |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Varillas | Pavlovic |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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