Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Luciano DarderiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Juan Manuel Cerundolo and Luciano Darderi have met 7 times since 2022; Luciano Darderi leads 4–3. Their first meeting came at Vicenza Challenger in 2022 on clay. On clay courts Darderi leads 4–3. Across all meetings Cerundolo has taken 7 sets to Darderi's 9. Their most recent meeting: Luciano Darderi won at Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Manuel Cerundolo | Darderi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Juan Manuel Cerundolo | Luciano Darderi | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 62% | 21/34 | 55% | 16/29 |
| Wins a set when losing | 32% | 7/22 | 38% | 9/24 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 20/56 | 42% | 22/53 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 41% | 7/17 | 43% | 12/28 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 63% | 10/16 | 50% | 10/20 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 47% | 8/17 | 53% | 10/19 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 27/30 | 81% | 22/27 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 70% | 21/30 | 59% | 16/27 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 5 of 7 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Manuel Cerundolo 2, Darderi 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Cerundolo
💥 Big Hitter
Darderi
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Juan Manuel Cerundolo and Luciano Darderi are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 4,120 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
7 career meetings, newest first
Apr 25, 2026
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 2nd Round
Feb 17, 2026
Rio Open - Rio de Janeiro
C Clay · 1st Round
Feb 29, 2024
Movistar Chile Open - Santiago
C Clay · 2nd Round
Feb 17, 2024
Rio de Janeiro
C Clay · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 13, 2023
Buenos Aires Challenger
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Oct 5, 2023
Campinas Challenger
C Clay · 2nd Round
May 25, 2022
Vicenza Challenger
C Clay · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Cerundolo | Darderi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Juan Manuel Cerundolo | Luciano Darderi | ||
| 1 or more | 94% | 17/18 | 95% | 18/19 |
| 3 or more | 72% | 13/18 | 79% | 15/19 |
| 5 or more | 61% | 11/18 | 47% | 9/19 |
| 10 or more | 11% | 2/18 | 16% | 3/19 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 11% | 2/19 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/19 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Cerundolo | Darderi |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–8 | 12–8 |
| Avg odds | 2.95 | 2.16 |
| ROI % | -2.4% | +2.8% |
| Units P/L | -0.36u | +0.55u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Cerundolo | Darderi |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 5 | 3 |
| Distance | 1,611 mi · 2,592 km | 1,092 mi · 1,758 km |
| Route | CHN | JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Cerundolo has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Darderi's 60%).
| Opponent | Cerundolo | Darderi |
|---|---|---|
| Casper Ruud | L 16 26 | W 76 63 |
| Sebastian Baez | W | W 64 63 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | W 76 67 63 | L 16 06 |
| Brandon Nakashima | L 36 57 | L 26 36 |
| Pedro Martinez | W 62 26 63 | W 60 61 |
| Marco Trungelliti | L 26 16 | L 46 67 |
| Miomir Kecmanovic | W 36 63 75 | L 64 26 36 |
| Daniel Altmaier | W 64 64 | W 64 64 |
| Andrea Pellegrino | W 64 63 | W 63 36 108 |
| Yannick Hanfmann | W 64 67 64 | W 75 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Carlos Alcaraz
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Nicolas Mejia
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Bu Yunchaokete
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Sep 30
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 2nd Round
Sep 26
Yi Zhou
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 24
Arthur Gea
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 2
Ignacio Buse
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · Quarterfinals
Aug 27
Sebastian Baez
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 3rd Round
Aug 26
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Kyrian Jacquet
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Casper Ruud
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Alexander Zverev
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 8
Dane Sweeny
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Dalibor Svrcina
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Harry Wendelken
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Botic van de Zandschulp
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 3rd Round
Aug 26
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 63–64 matches
| Metric | Cerundolo | Darderi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 59% | 56% |
| Sets won | 54% | 54% |
| Games won | 51% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Cerundolo | Darderi |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 2 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Cerundolo | Darderi |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 3 | 4 |
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