Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Luciano DarderiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ฆ๐ทJuan Manuel Cerundolo
#51 ยท 24 yrs ยท L
37 meetings ยท sets 7โ9

๐ฎ๐นLuciano Darderi
#22 ยท 24 yrs ยท R
Juan Manuel Cerundolo and Luciano Darderi have met 7 times since 2022; Luciano Darderi leads 4โ3. Their first meeting came at Vicenza Challenger in 2022 on clay. On clay courts Darderi leads 4โ3. Across all meetings Cerundolo has taken 7 sets to Darderi's 9. Their most recent meeting: Luciano Darderi won at Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Manuel Cerundolo | Darderi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Juan Manuel Cerundolo | Luciano Darderi | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 61% | 22/36 | 60% | 21/35 |
| Wins a set when losing | 38% | 8/21 | 36% | 9/25 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 39% | 22/57 | 38% | 23/60 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 36% | 5/14 | 52% | 17/33 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 80% | 12/15 | 43% | 9/21 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 9/18 | 52% | 11/21 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 29/33 | 84% | 27/32 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 22/33 | 66% | 21/32 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 5 of 7 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Manuel Cerundolo 2, Darderi 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Cerundolo
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Darderi
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Juan Manuel Cerundolo and Luciano Darderi are ๐ฅ Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 2,644 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
7 career meetings, newest first
Apr 25, 2026
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay ยท 2nd Round
Feb 17, 2026
Rio Open - Rio de Janeiro
C Clay ยท 1st Round
Feb 29, 2024
Movistar Chile Open - Santiago
C Clay ยท 2nd Round
Feb 17, 2024
Rio de Janeiro
C Clay ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 13, 2023
Buenos Aires Challenger
C Clay ยท Quarterfinals
Oct 5, 2023
Campinas Challenger
C Clay ยท 2nd Round
May 25, 2022
Vicenza Challenger
C Clay ยท 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Cerundolo | Darderi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Juan Manuel Cerundolo | Luciano Darderi | ||
| 1 or more | 94% | 15/16 | 100% | 15/15 |
| 3 or more | 81% | 13/16 | 87% | 13/15 |
| 5 or more | 63% | 10/16 | 47% | 7/15 |
| 10 or more | 31% | 5/16 | 7% | 1/15 |
| 15 or more | 6% | 1/16 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Cerundolo | Darderi |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9โ5 | 9โ7 |
| Avg odds | 2.79 | 1.97 |
| ROI % | +57.4% | -0.4% |
| Units P/L | +8.04u | -0.07u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Cerundolo | Darderi |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 6 | 6 |
| Distance | 1,024 mi ยท 1,648 km | 1,024 mi ยท 1,648 km |
| Route | CAN โ USA | CAN โ USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Cerundolo has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Darderi's 50%).
| Opponent | Cerundolo | Darderi |
|---|---|---|
| Botic van de Zandschulp | W 76 67 63 | L 16 06 |
| Felix Auger Aliassime | L 57 16 | W 64 64 |
| Brandon Nakashima | L 36 57 | L 26 36 |
| Casper Ruud | L 16 26 | L 16 16 |
| Pedro Martinez | W 62 26 63 | W 60 61 |
| Marco Trungelliti | L 26 16 | L 46 67 |
| Miomir Kecmanovic | W 36 63 75 | L 64 26 36 |
| Daniel Altmaier | W 64 64 | W 64 64 |
| Andrea Pellegrino | W 64 63 | W 63 36 108 |
| Yannick Hanfmann | W 64 67 64 | W 75 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Ignacio Buse
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem ยท Quarterfinals
Aug 27
Dhakshineswar Suresh
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem ยท 2nd Round
Aug 25
Felix Auger Aliassime
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 3rd Round
Aug 19
Arthur Rinderknech
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 16
Mark Lajal
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 1st Round
Aug 14
Casper Ruud
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 2nd Round
Aug 5
Hamad Medjedovic
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 1st Round
Aug 4
Marco Trungelliti
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel ยท 1st Round
Jul 21
Botic van de Zandschulp
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem ยท 3rd Round
Aug 26
Mattia Bellucci
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem ยท 2nd Round
Aug 25
Rinky Hijikata
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 16
Brandon Nakashima
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท Quarterfinals
Aug 11
Nuno Borges
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 4th Round
Aug 8
Juncheng Shang
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 3rd Round
Aug 6
Alexander Blockx
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril ยท Semifinals
Jul 25
Jaime Faria
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 63โ67 matches
| Metric | Cerundolo | Darderi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 62% | 58% |
| Sets won | 57% | 55% |
| Games won | 52% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Cerundolo | Darderi |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 2 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Cerundolo | Darderi |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 3 | 4 |
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