Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Luca Van AsschePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Juan Manuel Cerundolo and Luca Van Assche have met 3 times since 2022; Juan Manuel Cerundolo leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Roland Garros in 2022 on clay. On clay courts Cerundolo leads 2–0. Across all meetings Cerundolo has taken 4 sets to Assche's 2. Their most recent meeting: Juan Manuel Cerundolo won at Bordeaux Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Manuel Cerundolo | Van Assche | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Juan Manuel Cerundolo | Luca Van Assche | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 62% | 21/34 | 59% | 29/49 |
| Wins a set when losing | 32% | 7/22 | 37% | 10/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 20/56 | 39% | 30/76 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 41% | 7/17 | 50% | 25/50 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 63% | 10/16 | 63% | 12/19 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 47% | 8/17 | 41% | 9/22 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 27/30 | 95% | 39/41 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 70% | 21/30 | 71% | 29/41 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Manuel Cerundolo 2, Van Assche 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Cerundolo
💥 Big Hitter
Assche
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🪃 Counterpuncher is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 3,969 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
May 13, 2026
Bordeaux Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Jun 30, 2025
Wimbledon
G Grass · 1st Round Qualifying
May 22, 2022
Roland Garros
C Clay · 1st Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Cerundolo | Assche | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Juan Manuel Cerundolo | Luca Van Assche | ||
| 1 or more | 94% | 17/18 | 88% | 15/17 |
| 3 or more | 72% | 13/18 | 71% | 12/17 |
| 5 or more | 61% | 11/18 | 24% | 4/17 |
| 10 or more | 11% | 2/18 | 6% | 1/17 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/17 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Cerundolo | Assche |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–8 | 11–7 |
| Avg odds | 2.95 | 2.27 |
| ROI % | -2.4% | +26.1% |
| Units P/L | -0.36u | +4.69u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Cerundolo | Assche |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 5 | 2 |
| Distance | 1,611 mi · 2,592 km | 1,092 mi · 1,758 km |
| Route | CHN | JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 8 shared opponents, both Cerundolo and Assche posted a 38% win rate.
| Opponent | Cerundolo | Assche |
|---|---|---|
| Bu Yunchaokete | L 26 75 46 | L 67 36 |
| Yannick Hanfmann | W 64 67 64 | L 26 46 |
| Gustavo Heide | W 64 63 | W 63 64 |
| Raphael Collignon | L 61 67 57 | L 46 06 |
| Zdenek Kolar | W 46 63 64 | W 16 63 64 |
| Brandon Nakashima | L 36 57 | L 76 46 75 16 36 |
| Camilo Ugo Carabelli | L 57 16 | L 60 36 26 |
| Vit Kopriva | L 46 46 | W 63 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Carlos Alcaraz
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Nicolas Mejia
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Bu Yunchaokete
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Sep 30
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 2nd Round
Sep 26
Yi Zhou
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 24
Arthur Gea
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 2
Ignacio Buse
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · Quarterfinals
Aug 27
Sebastian Baez
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 3rd Round
Aug 26
Bu Yunchaokete
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Arthur Fils
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Sep 30
Denis Shapovalov
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Cameron Norrie
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 25
Stefanos Sakellaridis
Quebec City Challenger · Final
Aug 23
Hugo Gaston
Quebec City Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 22
Benjamin Bonzi
Quebec City Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 63–80 matches
| Metric | Cerundolo | Assche |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 59% | 64% |
| Sets won | 54% | 59% |
| Games won | 51% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Cerundolo | Assche |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Cerundolo | Assche |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 2 | 0 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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