Juan Carlos Aguilar vs Juan Pablo VarillasPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇨🇦Juan Carlos Aguilar
#1394 · 27 yrs · R
28w1 meeting · sets 0–2
🇵🇪Juan Pablo Varillas
#232 · 30 yrs · R
4w3Juan Carlos Aguilar and Juan Pablo Varillas have met 1 time since 2025; Juan Pablo Varillas leads 1–0. Across all meetings Aguilar has taken 0 sets to Varillas's 2. Their most recent meeting: Juan Pablo Varillas won at Guayaquil Challenger (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Carlos Aguilar | Pablo Varillas | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Juan Carlos Aguilar | Juan Pablo Varillas | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 3/4 | 72% | 26/36 |
| Wins a set when losing | 14% | 1/7 | 30% | 8/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 18% | 2/11 | 29% | 18/63 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 0% | 0/2 | 35% | 6/17 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 100% | 1/1 | 91% | 10/11 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 100% | 1/1 | 43% | 10/23 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 75% | 3/4 | 89% | 34/38 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 75% | 3/4 | 68% | 26/38 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Carlos Aguilar 0, Pablo Varillas 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Aguilar
🧱 The Wall
Varillas
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🪃 Counterpuncher archetype wins about 54% vs 🧱 The Wall across 753 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Juan Pablo Varillas.
Counterpuncher players often use elite bp conversion and strong return game to pressure the the wall's elite returner.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Nov 18, 2025
Guayaquil Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Aguilar | Varillas |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 5–2 |
| Avg odds | - | 2.21 |
| ROI % | - | +49.5% |
| Units P/L | - | +3.47u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Aguilar | Varillas |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 1 |
| Matches | — | 1 |
| Distance | — | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | — | SMR |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Andres Martin
Metepec Challenger · 1st Round
Feb 17
Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo
AAT Challenger Edicion TCA · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jan 12
Thiago Cigarran
AAT Challenger Edicion TCA · 1st Round Qualifying
Jan 11
Christoph Negritu
Temuco Challenger · 1st Round
Nov 25
Juan Pablo Varillas
Guayaquil Challenger · 1st Round
Nov 18
Tomas Martinez
Guayaquil · 2nd Round Qualifying
Nov 17
Ignacio Carou
Guayaquil · 1st Round Qualifying
Nov 16
Louis Wessels
Drummondville Challenger · 1st Round
Nov 12
Mili Poljicak
San Marino Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 1
Timofey Skatov
San Marino Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Francesco Maestrelli
San Marino Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Jacopo Vasami
San Marino Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Nicolas Mejia
Bogota Challenger · Semifinals
Jul 11
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
Bogota Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 10
Luis Carlos Alvarez
Bogota Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 8
Bruno Fernandez
Bogota Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 7
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 11–63 matches
| Metric | Aguilar | Varillas |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 36% | 57% |
| Sets won | 38% | 56% |
| Games won | 44% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Aguilar | Varillas |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Aguilar | Varillas |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.